239

the force required for the maintenance of onder.

16. We wish to emphasize that it is impossible for Great

Britain to undertake the defence of the Concessions

single-handed. As the dates we have given show, it is

impracticable to transport sufficient Fritish reinforce-

ments before the possible date of arrival of the Chinese

Nationalist Army. Even if it were possibls we should

greatly deprecate isolated action except as the very last

resort as it would inevitably involve us in a war in

'

which in all probability the whole of China rould be

united against us, with disastrous results to our vast

interests throughout the Fast.

17. In these circumstances we attach the first importance

to the organisation of international action. Moreover,

such action must be prompt if Shanghai is to be saved by

military means. As mentioned in our Report of June, 1925

יד

(C.T.D. Paper No.617-B) there is only one nation which

can send large forces to China at short notice, and that

is Japan. Whether Japan's appreciation of the importance

of international solidarity in Chine is sufficiently

strong to induce her to undertake the principal share in

the defence of Shanghai, where British interests predorin-

ate, is a matter on which "e offer no opinion. If, however

an appeal is made to Japan, we recommend that the British

Government should simultaneously offer to send its share

of the international contingent, even though it cannot

arrive until a later stage. We think also that the

French and the United States Governments should also

send their quotas, and, so far as are able to judge from recent tal-grams, they are not unfavourably disposed

in this matter.

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