CONFIDENTIAL.

(1)

Enclosure No. 2.

76

MEMORANDUM

on the present increases in taxation and the

probable effect on the trade of Hong Kong.

Two questions naturally arise:

(1) For how long will this scale of

taxation remain unincreased? and

(2) Will Likin really be abolished?

The effect of an original import duty

of 12% on the actual consumer of the article

-

on

the man in the street is comparatively insignificant.

The Chinese is a multiple buyer on an extremely small

scale. What he needs he will buy, and the increase

of a few cents in the dollar will be a small

deterrent. Similarly 30% on luxury goods will not (presuming the list, once determined upon, be adhered to) to any great extent deter those classes who can

afford such articles at all from paying an extra

one-third. That which is needful to a prosperous

conditions of trade is, however, that the merchant,

that is, the whole-sale importer, shall understand just what taxing his business is to be called on

to bear, further it is a great need that such imposts to be as far as possible consolidated in a single payment and the administration of collection as

much as possible centralized in one place. it

is, in short, any uncertainty regarding charges to be

met

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