incturating in the

ordinary

Ama

Revenire the balance of t

the

1893 Loan which amounts to about $261,236.83. As

the completion of

A

this summ

has to be expanded upon Public works it chargeable to Loan it

ninarzy

Assets

cannot be included in the General Revenue

of

the Colony. And after deducting it we

find that

they are really starting the year with a deficit

amounting to $70,000.

Under these circumstances the estimates ought certainly

to have been prepared so

as to leave

a very

considerable

margin of Revenue over Expenditures, but this

has not been done.

The Estimated Revenue for 1898 is $2,649,867.

The Estimated Expenditure (including P. W. Chargeable to Loan) is $2,118,106

As $137,830 are chargeable to the Loan account,

we are

left with a

surplus of about $17,000.

The Governor's speech is of a very hopeful nature, but it

is misleading as the figures quoted by him do not tally with those

given in the Estimates. The estimated Revenue from

Licenses and the like as stated in his Speech in June

is made up largely of subsidiary items which are put down for the return at the very highest rate which, to judge from his speech, he appears to consider possible. The result arrived at is only a very slight excess of

Revenue over Expenditure.

It is therefore clear that the Hongkong Govt is clearly

sailing dangerously near the wind: and

in sanctioning any

expenditure which is not absolutely necessary,

we should be

very

cautious.

In the event of a serious outbreak of plague (such

as we received news this

morning, 15th, that plague has broken out

in the Colony) the Govt will be sure to find itself in great financial difficulties. Moreover, with the Loan money almost exhausted,

there

are

still heavy expenses, especially in

connection with the Gaol, hanging over their heads

(see 1782): and I do not feel quite certain whether account has been taken of the $98,000 which the Govt has pledged itself

to contribute to the Jubilee Fund. I fancy

taking everything into consideration that we shall have to insist upon new taxation

in Hongkong: but as the present deficit is not

likely to be further increased, it will be sufficient

to reduce

the expenditure where possible and wait

till we

get

a more complete statement

of

the

financial position of the Colony which we asked for

but which the Govt have not sent.

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