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clandestine activities could also be accomplished from other
landing areas.
Nuclear Warfare
9.
CCA forces are still thought to be untrained in the
use of nuclear weapons but it is possible that nuclear
missiles will be made available to them by the Soviet Union in
the period under review. If nuclear weapons become part of the
defence of Hong Kong, the CCA would probably also use them in
attack, although they might be reluctant to start nuclear
warfare because they would not wish to alienate potentially
sympathetic populations here and elsewhere in Asia, and because
they have overwhelming forces available and have no real need of
nuclear weapons. Some training in defensive measures to be
adopted against the nuclear weapons is carried out. This is
likely to further change their tactics, although the overall
number of troops employed in an attack may remain unchanged.
SCALE AND NATURE OF ATTACK
Land
10.
one.
The Chinese, in accordance with Soviet tactical
doctrine, are likely to aim at a superiority of about eight to
Any rundown in the strength of Hong Kong Garrison would
be known and a proportionately smaller Chinese Communist
assault force might then be employed. The smallest operational field unit'is at present an army (strength 50,000).
Any diminution in the strength of the attack would mean that
CCA would offer fewer concentrations for nuclear attack.
There are available within a radius of 400 miles from the
frontier some 260,000 regular troops comprising a balanced
force of infantry, artillery, engineers and some armour. force of this strength could be employed against the Colony
without seriously restricting the Chinese Communist capability
for operations elsewhere.
Sea
Page 92 If the Chinese Communists employed only PageSubf283
/Fleet, they
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