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In briefing the Secretary of State, as we shall no doubt have to do, for battle on the question of the two (or at least 1) R.A. regiments I think we should bring out clearly the increasing unlikelihood of a successful evacuation of and children in the event of a Chinese attack which the reductions in the garrison have brought about. It would have been a chancy business even before the reductions. Given them, it would be almost a miracle. Therefore, the more we can mitigate the reductions, the better the slim chances would be.

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2. This point would also of course have to be brought out in the brief for the Secretary of State in the discussion on defence matters which he has asked to be arranged with Sir R. Black.

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