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10 Destroyers or Escorts
15 Frigates (including large S/M Chasers)
Submarines
10
50
MTBs
12
Gunboats of various types
18. Internal Diversion.
These attacks would almost certainly
be preceded and combined with extensive acts of terrorism and sabotage designed to divert the resources of the defenders and to impede military preparations and operations.
THE REDUCTION OF THE THREAT
19. Study of the targets, nuclear attack on which might help to reduce to a minimum the scale of the Chinese offensive, is considered under three general headings:-
(a)
airfields
(b) land battle tactical targets
(c) naval targets.
i
We have assumed a bombing accuracy of 50 per cent circular error of 600 feet.
Airfields
20. At present one airfield fully suitable for jet light bombers, and five jet fighter bomber airfields are within range of Hong Kong. A further 11 jet fighter airfields are within jet light bomber range but we would only expect light bombers to operate from any of these fighter airfields in emergency.
21. Although it is impossible to forecast what further airfield construction work may be undertaken, there are about 12 other airfields within jet light bomber range of Hong Kong which might possibly be brought up to modern jet standard.
22. A successful attack on airfields with nuclear weapons will produce the following results: -
(a) aircraft and buildings
(b)
90 per cent would
sustain severe damage on 95 per cent of occasions.
runways would be rendered unusable on 30 per cent of occasions.
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