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The circulation of this paper has been strictly limited. It is issued

for the personal use of

TOP SECRET

WASHINGTON DISCUSSIONS

Copy No. 22

Estimates of the Relief the United Kingdom might get (in the year ending 30th June, 1950) from the Various "Short-Term Measures" to be Discussed

1. E.R.P. Administration-Greater Flexibility

This covers two sets of questions: (a) the eligibility of certain commodities and services for E.R.P. finance; and (b) documentation difficulties.

The importance of these figures is that the refusal of the United States authorities to regard certain commodities and services as eligible for E.C.A. (Economic Co-operation Administration) financing, or their insistence on docu- mentation conditions with which we cannot comply, means that we have to pay for them out of our free dollars. This means that these costs are literally a loss to our reserves, for our earnings of dollars are barely enough to cover our dollar expenditure other than on imports into the United Kingdom. If these commodities and services can be transferred to E.C.A. financing, this immediately eases the pressure on our reserves, for it reduces our free dollar expenditure forthwith.

.

Greater flexibility in E.R.P. administration does not provide us with any additional dollars. But it prevents loss in our reserves, by enabling us to use our E.R.P. aid in order to buy the things we really need instead of having to use some of it for the purchase of less-essential goods which we cannot really afford. In short, it enables us to cut our coat according to our cloth.

(a) Eligibility questions.-The main items are:-

*Canadian wheat and flour *Canadian cheese

*Canadian bacon

*Canadian eggs

*Canadian pulp and paper *Canadian timber

*Canadian tobacco

Miscellaneous manufactures Oil.

...

...

$ million (1949-50)

309

15

13

17

10

...

23

8

395

21

12

428

* These are all existing commitments.

$ million

? 10

30

75

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In addition there are:-

Certain dollar freights (mainly on tankers employed

by British oil companies)

Proportion of ships' dollar disbursements

Oil equipment

37521

...

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