Interim Index of Industrial Production

(Average 1946 = 100)

All industries

Manufacturing industries

1947

1948

Points Increase

1947

1948

Points Increase

3rd Quarter

109

115

October

120

126

November

123

129

115

123

++++

+ 6

6969

110

118

8

122

128

123

132

+ 9

115

125

+10

December

Coal

9. The weekly output of deep-mined coal in February was 4,092,000 tons, almost exactly the same as in November last. This represented an increase of 4.5 per cent. over the level of output in February 1948. Production this year has been exceeding the provisional weekly targets and total production of deep- mined coal for the first eleven weeks of the year amounted to 44 5 million tons- 1.02 million tons more than in the corresponding period of last year.

Output of Deep-mined Coal

(Weekly averages)

1947-48 ..

Th. tons

1948-49 Th. tons

Change Per cent.

November

4,000

4,094

December and January

+ 2.4

3,760

3.864

+ 2.8

February

3,915

4,092

+4.5

March, 1st week

3,991

4,084

42.3

2nd week

3,980

4,128

+3·7

3rd week

4,031

4,112

+2:0

10. Output per manshift at the coal face continues to rise slowly and in the second week of March was 3.04 tons. For five successive weeks it has been above 3 tons. Absence from work, however, rose steadily from 13.96 per cent in the second week of January to 15.86 per cent. in the first week of March and was appreciably higher than in the corresponding period of last year.

Man-power, Absence from Work and Productivity at the Coalface

Workers at

Output per manshift at coalface

coalface (thousands)

Absence from work at coalface

(per cent.)

(tons)

1948

1949

1948

1949

1948

1949

February-

1st week 2nd week

291

297

14.69

14.96

2.91

2.98

....

291

297

14.53

15.41

2.95

3.02

3rd week

291

298

13.87

15.61

2.92

$3.01

...

4th week

292

298

14.10

15.65

2.92

3.03

March-

1st week...

292

298

13.75

15.86

2.93

3.01

2nd week

292

298

14.28

15:67

2.93

3.04

11. Total distributed stocks of coal amounted to 11.09 million tons at 12th March-2.54 million tons less than a year ago, but 5:88 million tons greater

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Page 475

Iron and Steel

3

12. Phe outputfof8 steel ingots and castings rose to lag047tonsfi48 She first week of February and the weekly average for the month of 311,000 tons was the highest ever recorded, exceeding the previous high level of 303,000 tons a week achieved in November. This further expansion in steel production was due largely to increased supplies of both imported and home-produced scrap. Pig- iron production, though greater than in January, was less than in November 1948. Stocks of scrap declined in February but are expected to be maintained at just over 500,000 tons during March and April. Stocks of pig-iron also declined in February but are expected to rise to 500,000 tons by the end of April.Das fitness Textiles

·

13. The output of cotton yarn (including cotton-waste yarn) rose to 18 18 million lb. in the first week of February but declined to 17 70 million lb. in the first week of March. This was below the rate of 18 27 million lb. a week in October 1948 and the post-war peak of 18 36 million lb. a week in November. ... 14. Production of rayon yarn in January attained a new high level of 13-8 million lbs.1 per cent. greater than the previous high level in November and 13 per cent. above the level in January 1948. Output of staple fibre also rose in January but was still below the level reached last September.

!

15. Output of other textiles also rose in January but was still below the highest levels attained in 1948.

Motor vehicles

16. The number of passenger cars produced rose to 7,478 a week in February exceeding the previous record of 7,232 a week achieved in June 1948: The proportion of these cars produced for export declined again to 63 6 per cent. compared with an average of 74 1 per cent. in the second quarter of 1948 and the number produced for the home market rose from 1,972 a week in the last quarter of 1948 to 2,718 a week in February. The number of large passenger cars (over 2,200 c.c.) produced for export declined in February.

Weekly output of passenger cars (including chassis)

Percentage of total passenger car production

Number of large passenger cars (over 2,200 c.c.) produced

for export

For home

Total

market

For export

1948 Ist: Quarter

69.5

230...

106

124

2nd Quarter

74.1

280

112

168

3rd--Quarter

70-7

501.

233

268

4th Quarter

68.1

847

341

506

1949 January

64.3

937

310

627

February

63.6

994

393

601

17. The value of exports of passenger cars to the United States déclined sharply from an average of £634,000 a month in the last quarter of 1948 to £186,000 in February. Exports to Canada in January and February were also lower than in the last half of 1948.

Export of all Passenger Cars (including chassis)

(Monthly averages)

£ thousand

Total to all

To

countries

United States

To Canada

1948 1st Quarter

4,575

286

52

2nd Quarter

5,582

360

251

3rd Quarter

4,697

593

433

4th Quarter

5,233

634

460

February

1949 Januaryge 476 of 488

5,325

325

4,543

186

Page 478f 488

36719

386

B 2

242

4

18. Production of commercial vehicles also rose in January to 3,892 a week- a rape exceeded fong in October last. Production pas only slightly lower in February. 1,981 vehicles a week were produced for export compared with the previous record of 1,984 a week in September 1948.

III.-Building

19. The number of new permanent houses (excluding aluminium houses) completed rose in February to 15,606. 15,367 new houses were started in February, so that the number of houses under construction was reduced by only 239 to 186,591 at the end of the month.

20. New contracts, which declined from 18,435 in December to 14,507 in January, rose to 15,297 in February.

IV.

External Trade

21. The final figures of overseas trade in the short month of February show a drop in the value of British exports to £140.7 million from the record level of £159.2 million achieved in January. The volume of exports in February is provisionally estimated at 143 per cent. of the volume in 1938. The value of imports, however, fell from £187.2 million in January to £162.0 million in February and the adverse visible balance (exports and re-exports (f.o.b.) less imports (c.i.f.)) declined further from £22.9 to £16.9 million-the lowest level since July 1946.

22. Although the value of British exports to the Western Hemisphere rose further to £26.5 million in January this represented only 16 7 per cent. of total British exports compared with 17.6 per cent. in the last quarter of 1948. The value of exports to the United States rose to £5.95 million in January compared with a monthly average of £5 60 during the last quarter of 1948 but the proportion of our total exports going to the United States fell from 3.9 to 3.7 per cent. Exports to Canada and Newfoundland declined in January both in value and as a proportion of total exports.

British Exports to the Western Hemisphere

(Monthly averages)

Total to Western Hemisphere

To United States

To Canada and New- foundland

Per cent. of total British exports

£ million

Το Western Hemisphere

To United

To Canada

and New-

States

foundland

1938

6.9

1.7

2.0

17.7

4.4

5.0

1947

14.9

4.0

3.7

15.7

4.2

3.9

1948 1st Quarter

20.5

5.8

5.1

17.4

4.9

4.4

2nd Quarter

20.3

5-1

5.8

15.6

3.9

4.5

3rd Quarter

21.8

5-7

6.2

16.1.

4:2

4.6

4th Quarter

25.5

5-6

6.9

17:6

3.9

4.7

1949 January

26.5

5.9.

5.8

16.7

3.7

3.6

V.-Balance of Payments

23. The gold and dollar deficit in February was again fairly low-£21 million compared with £19 million in January. Expenditure on imports as a whole has not been running significantly below the programme. But drawings by the rest of the sterling area have been comparatively light and Colonial receipts, particu- larly from West African cocoa and Malayan tin, have been heavy and a good deal in excess of earlier forecasts. We paid $7 million to Belgium in February, following $11 million in January. Even so the drain was lower than had been

expected. Much the same applies to Switzerland where, in the two months

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