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Thursday,
HONGKONG TELEGRAPH
August 28, 1941..
HAPPINESS IN THE BALTIC
By Billiken
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Germany's Major
Blunder
By Victor Gordon
Lennox
Diplomatie Correspondent, London "Daily Telegraph" For twenty-two months the pendulum of war fortunes has swung steadily in favour of aggressor Germany. To-day we sco Germany labouring in the tolla of hor first major mig calculation or blunder. The Ger- man armies, were to have been in Moscow within eight days some say ten.
By now Russian organised resistance was to have crumbled, revolution broken out, a Quis- ling Government installed in the Kremlin and the scene was to have been set for presenta- tion to Britain-and the world of the Nazi New Order peace programme. But Hitler is still far from the objectives which his armies were to have taken, while the United States, re-
Hongkong Telegraph. covered from the first shock of
Thursday, Aug. 28, 1941.
Wyndham St., Hongkong Telephone: 20015
is used by the Hongkong Telegraph to indicate news which is strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni- cations Ordinance, 2015. Such new AS heats the Indication "UP" is received in Hongkong on the date of publication by the United Press, Associations, wha re- serve all rights and forbid republications, either wholly or in part without previous arrangement,
TIME TO ATTACK? FT would appear to an amateur student of strategy that the develop ment of the war has opened great possibilities to the Imperiul. com- mand. At Home we have now. an army that must be the best in the world after a summer of strenuous training with the best weapons and of with a backbone of veterans several hard-fought though unstic- cessful campaigns in France, Nor- way and elsewhere. Our production has had rellot from continuous bombing and has made great pro- #ress. With such forces it is certain that we can hold freedom's most Im-
finding Russia and Britain fight- ing on the same side, is nc- celerating its progression from non-belligerency to para-belli-
Blairdr
"We are lucky! I've heard that the Nazis are preparing more convoys,”
Japan's Dilemma
The Japanese Government is
in the difficult position of being
a member of the Axis group
By LORD STRABOLGI
Government in Tokyo desired to Lack of Resources
archipelago and the Southern Venture
Tis: prefix "special to the Telegraph gerency. That is precisely what Hitler schemed to anticipate, If he realises that he is in dan and under obligation to Germany The governments of Britain, out and, in the meantime, all ger of failing we may expect to and Italy to help them in the Australia and New Zealand vessels flying the Japanese flag see the most reckless employ-event of another Great Power could never allow the Japanese would be liable to capturo. ment of his available forces in
entering the war. Russia is to establish themselves in the Japanese trade to the castward a frenzied endeavour to cateli now in the war, and this condi- Dutch East Indics, if for no either through the Panama up with the original programme. tlon might therefore be sup- other reason than that a suc- Canal or round Cape Horn, posed to have been fulfilled by cessful Japanese lodgment in would be at the mercy of the the outbreak of war between this chain of rich islands would British Navy.
I am leaving out of account any Germany and Russia. On the be regarded as a preliminary to Because Russin is opposing a other hand Japan has a recent attacks in the future on both possible action by the United States
The American Govern of America, to the treaty of neutrality and non- Australia and Burma and pos- mont has declared that it will not stubborn resistance
tolerate any alterations in the status enemy and hitherto has pre-aggression with Russia. If the sibly India.
quo with regard to the Dutch East vented him from galning his
Indies. Even if the Japanese left the objectives we must not lightly escape from this dilemma and
Tokyo Another certain factor in the Dutch East Indies alone for the time to remain neutral, it could, në
being the Government In assume that the outcome is a foregone conclusion. No such doubt, be argued that Germany situation is that Japan's re- could reckon, as a certainty on the easy optimism is to be found in had made the first hostile move sources would not permit her to cutting off of all oll zupplies from the Moscow.
against Russia and that Japan engage in a first-class campaign US.A.
As the Dutch all supplies would has not been consulted before against Russia in the East he cut off Japan would have to In London we are aware that
hand.
simultaneously with a great live on her, reserves of petroleum. tho Soviet leaders are fully con-
The Japanese Government still drive to the south against the scious of the great weight of
which the German clings to the tradition of ob- Malay
It is known In the event of the decision being pressure forces can bring to bear on the serving international law and Dutch Islands. whole length of this tremendous not engaging in unprovoked that the Japanese Mercantile taken to concentrate on war to the on the German Marine is barely sufficient for south, that is against the British front. At the present time the aggression
would have to anticipate the Russians most dangerous thrust is that model. We see evidence of this Japan's present commitments. Empire, the Japanese Government portant citadel from any invading directed against Leningrad. In in the fiction that the Sino- In 1939 the Japanese Merchant Intervening on the side of Britain, forces that Hitler can produce within these circumstances it is under- Japanese conflict is not a war, Navy numbered 2,837 vessels, thus presenting Japan with a war on New shipa three fronts. It is known that the the next twelve months. The ques-standable that the Russian mili- but an "incident." Neverthe of 5,620,845 tons.
Siberia are
organised tion for our command to consider is tary mission in London is ask-less, if the Japanese Govern have been built since the out- Russian military and aerial forces in
commandependently
and force of "Whether the British-Garrison shoulding for all measures of aid and ment decided that it was in the break of the present war, and a Siber be kept at home or used to invade distraction which Britain can ultimate-interest-of-the-nation number have been lost by Ger- and that there la
Province
From there, provide. Moscow probably re- to intervene, reasons and ex- man submarine attack and other long-Bombered.
warlike actions. On balance, it
could attack the cognises that these must pri- cuses would be forthcoming.
crowded and vulnerable Japanesa The number of planes we can af-marily be confined to air opera- Tokyo Should Realise to doubtful if the Japanese these bombers
Mercantile Marine. totals more citics. Russia. also has numerous ford to send over Germany theso tions with possible naval diver
The statesmen in Tokyo have, than 6,000,000 tons. A great notilla of submarines at Vladivostok
do considerable damage days and nights would indicate that sions and consolidation of the we have suffelent to lead, protect British positions in theatres nevertheless, to remember, that part of it is engaged in supply- which could
Interfere with supply ships and The troopships serving the needs of the and consolidate un invasion force not yet wholly satisfactory. no great economic advantages ing the immense armies on the in the Sea of Japan and which might
Such would be the situation in would follow-from a joint Axis mainland of China.
one victory over Russia. The north- mainder is fully employed in Japanese ormies in China. across the Channel especially as the Libya incidentally the
Japun has a great asset In her the third largest in the world. distance in short enough to maintain
area where additional tanks ern half of the island of Sakha- carrying Japanese exports which
super-dreadnought of Siberia, which would be economy of the nation is not to
battleships, two of tage by British forces.
Japan's share of the spoils, are be crippled and in importing the completed and aro as powerful as not particularly valuable. True, pétroleum, iron ore, rubber, any in the world. there are fishing and mining cotton, wool, and other products ported by two brand-new smaller battleships of pocket battleship rights of some value to be ac- in which Japan herself is de batt
hundred good
good destroyers and atty vince has a severe climate and for her present war
to sixty submarines. Nevertheless. Japanese settlers do not thrive against China and for her own
of the German and the situation in cold weather countries. This industries.*
An additional war would place Italian Navics is such that consider has been shown already in Manchukuo, where the Japanese the utmost strain on Japan's able British reinforcemonts could be manage to live as officials and Mercantile Marine, and two sent to the Pacific and there would traders but have made no head- additional wars would create an
Attack on Russia way as farmers. The attractive impossible situation. prizes in the Pacific lle to the south, and here, the Dutch East Now if the Government of
the continent.
A
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Hawkins, did: Lord Henry | Were many glasses broken P empty crème de menthe
"None, Sir." amongst my goldfish in the
course of last night's party?" "Nos to my knowledge, Sir. There was no crême de menthe to empty," "Then I must have dreamt
“No casualties to any of the
guests?"
“No, Sir." And judging from the amount of Rose's cousimed, there wift, be no headaches this morn-
It "A vivid dream, Hawkins,ing either. We got through six because their noses all turned and a half bottles of Rose's Lime ted,"
Undoubtedly a dream, Sir, vince.
Juice"
Well, it's all in a good cause. And now, get me a really big I took the precaution of evacuating breakfast. And give the gold- the bowl to my pantry when Lord fish a double ration of ante”. Henry began to sing."
eggs, just to celebrate their Very wien of you, Hawkins. | haltbreadth escape."
and
self-contained,
a constant aerial service. With the might be employed with advan-lin and the Maritime Province must be sold abroad if the it consists of ten which
Channel blocked at both ends, para- chute troops could be dropped Ofty miles behind the French coast to
tackle the enemy held ports while Meantime Britain will be do- noval and air protected transports ing everything possible to col- laid slege from the opposite face.laborate with the United States Once paths to the principal ports in securing the outer defences were laid clear a dozen self-con of the American Continent. In tained armies, could cut right across Washington it seems to be well to Switzerland. When the success believed that bases for the use of a north to south corridor had been of American ships and aircraft determined, the risk of further de- are now available in Northern pleting Britain's garrison could be Ireland. They will be of great value, to United States ships taken and the thousands of trained carrying supplica to Iceland and men who had been' prepared for in- to American war vessels patrol- vasion as well as defence could beling the sea lanes along which released from that zone to free all supplies for Britain can
carried, France of the Nazi troops.
be
the
-in-the......
are just
Theso are sup-
of which
type, six aircrafts about
quired, but the Maritime Pro- ficient and which are necessary
effort cruisers, thirty light
Indies are the great reward.
heavy
tervention of the United States of America with an even more power. always be the nightmare of the in-
of ful, Fleet in the highest state efficiency and preparedness,
Major Struggle
Here is the oil, rubber and Tokyo decides to attack Russia,
Lastly, to add to the difficulties of other tropical products which it must reckon on the British
decisions... is uncertainty Japan needs, and a ready-made Empire immediately declaring Japan's
of the major market for her manufactured war on Japan. This decision about the outcome
the German and Russian
armies. The further question then arises
At present one does not know goods. Japanese activity in would be taken both on political struggle in Eastern Europe between whether to sustain the offensive and what further outposts President French Indo-China and Slam and strategical grounds. It is However this develops, the Russians grontest blitzkrieg the German High press on through the lowlands into Roosevelt and his Ministers (Thailand), the important but in the highest interests of the have succeeded in, resisting this Germany or south Into Italy or to wish to establish in the Central abortive economic negotiations British Empire that Russian - Command has yet undertaken and there is evidence. that Germany a
Increasing consolidate our position. The pre- and Southern Atlantic areus. undertaken with the Govern- sistance to the German armies Comm
The political side of the blitzkrieg sent, tendency is all against per- Unfortunately, although Por- ment of the Dutch East Indies, should be successful and, in dificulties ure
tugal is Britain's oldest ally, and other activities are all any case, prolonged. For the manent defences but we should need Dr. Salazar, her all-powerful evidence of a Japanese move to sake of public opinion in Russia has falled, firstly because the antic!- and even the belligerents against terrific strength and we must have Premier, has no liking for the the south. The Government in it is necessary that all available paled uprising amongst the neutrals a powerful dose of the blitz ready in idea of leasing or lending bases Tokyo must decide whether it aid should be given, and a Communism has not materialised, order to crush the enemy in this one to the United States or per-will attack Russia in the north Japanese attack would have to, and secondly because the Russian revolt. The statesmen in Tokyo great blow. Russia has struck a mítting the Portuguese Atlantio or open up a campaign to the be the signal for British coun- masses show no signs of disunity or . the great blow at Germany's strength islands to pass under American south. The latter would entail traction against the new must consider the danger of the
a great expedition for the in- gressor. and we certainly shall not give her protection. Indeed, the Tor- the opportunity of recuperating if tuguese Government, still fear- vestment and scigo of Singapore. Whichever war Japan decided ruinous step of coming in on and when stio calls halt theful lest the German military and the territory surrounding upon, she would immediately. The peace party in Tokyo will, in machine may one day be launch It. It is quite certain that lose her seaborno trade outside any case be strengthened by the Pact. The Germans propaganda been active In Tokyo," as In considering this offensive woed against the Iberian Penin- Japan would have to beat the the northern Pacific. Japanese signing of the Anglo-Rusalan Mill
that
Great cannot afford to take too much no-sula, seems determined to es- British Empire in this vast area commerce with the rest of the
Britain
would resting
Becka Lavourable tice of Japan. We have offered legi tablish itself and its armed before serious headway could be world must pass to the wost where in
„Kapaż timate conciliation and we have Jald
forces in those island areas, made against the Dutch East ward either through the Straits.
of Malacca, which are dominated opportunity our plans if this fails. Wo: cannot in these directions wo, may Indies.
and E along the luid im- expect to win medinicly and we are no m
are no doubt look for a careful diplomatie It is absolutely certain beyond by the fortress of Singapore, or prepared to suffer temporary re-approach from Washington and any doubt that any Japanese through the Torres Straits to Russia to fight it. verxes to achieve our main object It London-one which will pay movement of hostility against the north of Australia, How now cleas to all observers that there London, and that the British and thrill to consider how near must be due regard to the repercussions the Dutch East Indies would dvor successful the Japanese was never any such Intention In
would be long drawn military partnership to the and the day when the fortunes of war on opinion in certain of the automatically Involvo her in war war operations against Sings-Rukkan peoples will continue in
Latin American states
with the whole, British Empire:
eastern front.
on
give every Allied, subject a
語
Saldo, aty kukutana
for
rafo peaces with the
Govermen Berlin and allowing " Germany
out alone,