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OF 1941
From NEW YORK.
March 5, 1941.
Third Article by Freda Utley
What will happen
in the Far East?
NE of the great questions is needed to enable Germany
of 1941 is whether Japan to win a quick victory, 1835 1400.00 will honour her obligations 1935 1900.00 to the Axis.
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She would then, doubtless,
Will she involve herself in attempt to cut off Singapore by occupying Indo-China war with Britain and the and Siam or move against United States as soon as the the Dutch East Indies. extent and nature of Ameri-
can aid to Britain is held by However, it is difficult to Germany to constitute an conceive of Japan imple- act of war?
menting her promises to the Axis unless the "China In-
Hongkong Telegraph. of the United States in ex-
Wednesday, March 5, 1941. Wyndhom St., Hongkong Telephone: 20615
secure
"Should Japan ontor the war against England, the United States would almost cortainly fight her."
mese Soviet Republic in the North-West.
peror leans, and who are dea- perately anxious not to let Japan involve horself in a war which would destroy them, have re- tained sufficient political power to prevent Japan implementing her promise to the Axis.
British successes and Ameri- can aid to China strengthen their hands, but British reverses or indications that the United States will do everything to avoid war in the Pacific would probably enable the military and naval extremists to put Japan into the war as Germany's ally.
The Far Eastern war in 1941 must coalesce with the European war and Britain, willy nilly, must become the ally of China whose war against aggression was for so long regarded with indiffer- ence by many Englishmen..
Facts To Face
It is hardly an exaggeration
on
Japan's decision must de cident" can be liquidated, pend upon three factors: and unless she can Russia, the extent of Ameri- her rear by a pact with the can aid to China, and the U.S.S.R. success of the Japanese mili- [tary Fascists in converting Nineteen - forty-one will Japan into a National Social- show whether Russia will be list State.
forced or lured into such a Germany might have suc- pact by German pressure. ceeded in her recent efforts The concentration of Ger-
Should such an order be given to bring about peace between man troops in Rumania may China and Japan had it not conceivably have precisely by Moscow and obeyed by the to say that the fate of Britain's
Communists, Chiang might be Asiatic Empire depends been for the prompt action this end in view.
forced by a majority of Kuomin- China, who for so long has bat- Stalin dare not fight Ger- tang lenders to accept. Ger- tled alone. Indeed, the fate of tending new credits to China many on account of the many's offer to mediate peace England herself must be vitally affected by the steadfastness of and promising her arms and economic, military and poli- with Japan.
the Chinese in rejecting all Ger- China's decision would then man offers to save a good part aeroplanes while banning tical weaknesses of his re-
necessarily depend upon how of their country from Japan f exports of scrap, iron to gime. Japan.
He is likely to come to much aid Britain and America only they will make peace."
give.
Should Japan enter the war terms with Tokyo if pressed
against England the United sufficiently hard by Hitler. China's Communists
States will almost certainly fight Chiang Kai-shek way But Hitler may not be con-
-Chiang's awareness of the un- her, to the great advantage of thereby given an assurance vinced that Japan will dare certainty of Russian aid and of Germany in the short run. that henceforth American to involve herself in war the dangerous possibility of a
In the long run the impetus aid would be substantial and with the United States, at Russo-Japanese understanding is given to American arms produc- American opposition to least until the Japanese Fas- shown by his recent measures to tion by involvement in the war hem in the Chinese Communista might outweigh the advantage Japanese aggression ex- cists have won complete con- and the Eighth Route Army in to Germany of securing the pressed in deeds instead of trol at home.
the north-west, by encircling Japanese Navy against England. War against Japan would only in words.
He may therefore not yet them with 200,000 troops, thus
America than a declaration of that Roosevelt in his most on Stalin.
It is of great significance be exercising real pressure leaving them no outlet except probably be less unpopular in
through Japanese-held Shansi.
Tension between the Commu- war against Germany, since It must also be remember- nists and the Chinese Govern- there are no minorities here in recent speeches has included that the reaction is caused more by China with Britain and ed that it is to Stalin's ment has never been as great as sympathy with Japan.
Anglo-Indian relations are also Ulian as the result of any deliberate Greece as the nations on advantage, as well as to now.
see Japanese Japan is unlikely to defy a vital factor. Should we have whose success in resisting Hitler's, to
the courage and wisdom to America unless her Fascists can tends. Possibly tuo, there has been aggression the United States aggression diverted south- institute a totalitarian economy promise India freedom and treat
· THE prefix "Special to the Telegraph” is used by the "Hongkong Telegraph' to indicate nowa which fa ririelly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni cations Ordinance, 1936. Bach newN AS bears the Indication “UP” la received in
Hongkong on the date of publication by serve all rights and forbid republications,
the United Press Associations, who ros alther wholly or la part without previous arrangement
NOT THE TIME FOR
COMPLACENCY
HONGKONG'S calmness in the
face of the Far Eastern crisis which
has arisen just lately has been so
striking ns to warrant the auspicion
indifference and smug complacency
and objective appraisal of the por-
Help For China
wards.
She May..
L.
and social system on the Nazi her as an ally, her vast material, model in place of the present moral, and man-power resources semi-feudal, semi- "capitalist" could be mobilised to save the East from totalitarian tyranny.
Nothing would do more to con Great Obstacle
vince doubting Americans of
so much cry of "Wolf! Wolf!" during safety depends, and for The post 18 months that the populace whom the United States will has become suspicious and disbeliev- become an arsenal.
Russia cannot afford to let set-up. ing. It is not with the intention of The prospect of real aid Japan become master of all causing disquiet and fear that atten- from America, and of a com- China, but might be glad to see
tion is drawn to the political signi- plete American embargo on Japan to withdraw a large part tion of the Emperor as the abandonment
a compromise peace enabling The great obstacle Is the posi- what we are fighting for than an
of
Imperialist
TO-MORROW
ficance of the Japanese manoeuvres the export of war material of her army from China and em- "Divine" Leader of the nation. domination of India. in Kwangtung, Hainan, Formosa, to Japan must strengthen boldening her to take the ineal- On account of this Japan.is ex- -Indo-China-and-Thalland,-but-it-does-the-hands-of-Chiang Kai--culable risks of war with the periencing the same difficulty inTM seem vitally necessary that Hong-shek and all Chinese patriots British Empire and the United going Nazi as she formerly ex- kong, and especially the huge Chinese as against those who are in- States.
perienced in trying to become a population here should be alive to clined to compromise with
If American and British sup- democracy. the possibilities.
port of China prevents such a Hence the efforts of the Faş- Japan and conclude a peace peace, Stalin could serve Hitler's cists to deprive the Emperor of enabling Javan to limit her interests and perhaps see his temporal power and seclude him commitments in China in own, advantage in ordering the as a powerless god like his an- order to attack the British Chinese Communists to with- cestors before the Restoration.
draw their support from the Up to date those big, business Empire.
Generalissimo, and form a Chi- interests, to whose side the Em-
The popular belief beard expressed in the Colony to-day is that Hong kong will never be attacked; in these
times, when events move with such
rapidity and changes in the inter-
national situation are effected over- night, this is a dangerous assumption.
Embargo Failure
Rather should the Chinese massey However, the United here be encouraged to treat the situa States is still supplying tion with serious suspicion and ask Japan with large quantities themselves, "In the event of Hong of materials, presumably in kong belog attacked, what am I go the hope that by gentle | Importare both question is of vital handling Japan can be kept Importance both to the welfare and from entering the
nately of the people and .to the successful defence of the Colony against any stich nitack.
the Rt. Hon. Hugh Dalı ton, Minister of Econo mic Warfare, discusses in an interview with Maurice Webb the question, "Will Our Blockade Win?”
Mussolini's London Flop
By Hannen Swaffer
How long will Mussolini sur- is mightier than the sword. Mus- from England that 1 am writing this. vive as the Dictator of solini's power with the latter is my opinion of your play., I feel war Italy?
unquestioned. Readers will be quite safe here.
The Italian headwaiters present against England.
When will the Royal Family, anxious to test his skill with the all came out looking as if they liked Unfortunately, although the heads of the Army and the former."
it. The Belgian, Italian and German It is fully recognised that the big-this policy may have some- depressed workers join in a re- Yet it was not till his brutal Ambassadora smiled, diplomatically,
assault on little Greece that Mus- gest problem which will confront the thing to be said for it poli- volt? authorities in the event of an attack tically, it has enabled Japan
Never so quickly, in the hour solini's power with the sword sent there were at least ten of them
was tested. tens of thousands of Chinese, not essential war materials and tered. on Hongkong is proper control of the to lay in large stores of of test, was the reputation of a world figure so suddenly shat-
only who are nirendy resident on the
to be an easy one.
I REMEMBER an Italian head waiter whose leg I. frequent- ly pulled with the words, "How's your fat friend?"
He had better go back writing novels!
to
"All the would-be Mussolinis 'pre-
-looked very Napoleonic."
AFTER a caustic criticism of the
play, I concluded:
"Frankly, Mussolini, why do you island, but those who will endeavour to make it less likely than it
Ree in Napoleon only a conqueror to flock across the harbour. It will was a year or two ago that be an immense, perhaps impossible a complete embargo" would.
Do you remember how, in who was betrayed? Why must te April, 1932, Mussolini's only see history as npageant of men of task to prevent chaos. The official halt Japanese aggression.
play, written with Forzana, was might and pomp? mind is probably grappling with the
produced in London?
"We saw nothing of his millions of problem at the moment, although the) Moreover, the failure to
He would walk away pained
victima the victims of power and Ho called it "Napoleon, the majesty and dominion over suffering, solution at first sight does not appear impose an embargo not only and then, returning time after Hundred Days."
men and stricken women. Put that. disheartened the Chinese, time, recite this monologue:— Sydney Carroll, the manager, in your next pluy!" In this connection it would seem but has deprived the United
"When I come to London they and John Drinkwater, who that the Chinese community leaders States of vital materials and say: 'Ah, dago, hokey-pokey, adapted it, received from the NOT even as a dramatist dki Mus-.
solini have all his own way. organ-grinder."
'King of Italy, no doubt because possibilities of finding scheme machines.
He "They ask me, 'Where's your Mussolini ordered it, the degrees every adaptor altered his play in a was dictator in Italy-but whereby considerable number of Lack of these is to-day monkey?' and laughi,
of Knight Commander of the different way in every country in Chinese in the Colony could be trans-holding up part of the "Now, Italia great! Mussolini Crown of Italy; Robert Atkins, which it was produced. ferred to other and rointively afer American arms production stop the hokey-pokey, any 'No who played Napoleon, and Paris cut out Wellington and all.
might help. Earnest inquiry into the
areas before the danger of attack is
Imminent may well produce a prac-programme.
tical plan. Alternatively these gentle- men could actively co-operate with
| Government by urging the Chinese populace to take advantage of any mooted offelal scheme.
And Russia?
The accumulation of re- serves in Japan may now be
Arthur monkeya.'
Wontner, who was the English and German officers. "Mussolini great man. Evvi- Fouche, received a Knighthood Weimar cut out Wellington and the English but left in the Germans. va Italin."
In the same order.
London (made cuts. The head waiter is interned.
Yet the play ran for less than
Forzina must have got tired of a monthi
calling on his fellow-author and say- IT was with curiosity I picked
Ing: "Mastor, they've altered your up a novel called "The Car- I WROTE, as my criticism, an open play again!"
A stampede out of Hongkong at sufficient to enable her to inal's Mistress." Published in
letter, addressed, "Dear Duce,"
LL the Sociely nobs of London
this stage would certainly be pre-riskt a war with Britain and 1920, it bore, on the cover, the "bett ferable to the panic which would America if once she is con-name of the author, Bonito Mus- away to mysterious islands, and then--but the sequel was a sordid row in Italy your critics nro sent A went along and praised the play vinced that her aid is all that solini, and the words: "The pen sometimes never heard of again, it is over the income-tax on Musso's fecal
Inevitably result from any assault.oni The Colony.
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