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SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT
will
Japan has apparently decided on a change in polley, and is contemplat- ing netion which she feels realise her Bins. One naturally asks what are the prospects for her in this quest for hegemony in Asia. She starts off with a comparatively emply treasury and facing an em- borga on essential materials-avia- tion spirit and scrap metal which hitherto she has been able to import from the United States. Fifty-six per cent. of her requirements come from that country.
This seems to indicate that Japan's trade must immediately suffer eclipse since her merchantships could hardly expert to trade with Europe, India or Australia on anything like the same scale...Japan more than any ! other nation depends on trade for her internal economy, Unlike China stic is not self-supporting, and she cannot divert the materials she re- quires from China, now so bitterly hostile
Japan's greatest anxiety must be her preenrious position in China, where she can neither complete her task of conques!, nor gracefully withdraw from the unhappy adven- fure. The more anxiely she displays in trying to conciliate China, the more she acknowledges her weakness. Japan
!!!
cannot hope to win over China to her side after the way she has merellessly and ruth- lessly destroyed her cltles,
rendered millions homeless.
And
It is the business of statesmen to envisage the future, and the whest of them are those who take into their purview the numerous factors which are at work moulding that future. If an important element is omitted, then the polley which is followed. lends not to good fortune bul disas- ter. The factor which Japan cannot ignore in the estimate they make is the polley of the United States. So far they know that the United States will not view with Indifferences any alteration in the statis quo of the Netherlands. Mr. Cordell Hull the Secretary of State, has made that statement and has not retrneled It.
There is no reason to suppose that Germany or Italy would allow Japan to retain any conquests if they were successful in Europe, and certainly she could not hold them if they were not successful. What must give Japan further cause for fear is the fact that Germany's much vaunted
on Great Britain has not
Fed, and so much was the
ion changed that such an at- tmpt at landing would now
be almost welcomed in the British as it
DEAR JOHN,
TOW that normal life is about to be interrupted
Nabo
and neither of us can
be sure when or where we shall next meet, there are one or two things I feel I should like to say to you.
We are both fortunate that you nre still at school while the world is occupled in turning itself upside down. When the time comes for it
August 8, 1940.
LETTER
TO
MY SON
to right itself again, you will have ramshackle structure for which they
Besides don't forget our talks about what Freedom is. It is by no
menns the same thing, for you and
ព
as it is for Clegg, the road-
mender, or for the miners' sons you were in camp with lost summor. There must be suffering and dark- nesa first, but out of the new die- pensation, in the end, a new freedom will spring, and a better heedom. Revolution is always cruel. but it is seldom barren.
And the suffering and darkness are probably necessary now. Wo have earned them with our indo- lence. You know the tag about a
Goverrunent it
rulers one.
Then again, the whole character people getting the a tremendous part to play-however stand, seemed supremely comic and of warfare is changing. In the old deserves. I have never thought that were to judge the irrelevant. Away went Peter, put days soldiers manning the front line true; but if one small, it will be tremendous. Seeing ing up those ridiculous birds, like a were sustained with the knowledge democracies by their what a mess my generation seems lot of candalised readers of that they were protecting their wives would certainly have to call them unimaginative, to have made of its job (although "Punch," and away went the social and children. To-day they have no effetc. Complacent,
at home or the fact that 50 nations joined in order! I haven't felt so carefree for such certainty. While they are busy indifferent to suffering
in the line their wives and children outside-too comfortable, in fact. sanctions against Italy in 1935 absows months
Our rulers have foreseen nothing. bow near we got to our goal of But that is only one small bit of may be bombed to smithereens `be-
personal emo- mendous psychological difference To-day-France and ourselves are on America. Yesterday edifying bit. Onc's abolishing War), we haven't the right It, and perhaps not a particularly hind their backs. That makes a tre to tell yours anything you must And
tional relenses are not important and it's not a difference that favours calling
China, Abyssinia, Spain, Czecho- that, the survival of war.
slovakia called on us-and got no these days. It Beems to me out for yourselves.
answer. black as things are for us now, and
We are left to fight alone whatever the immediate outcome,
now because we would not fight to the prospects for the world are by
gether when we had the chance and the duty. All the democracies have no means hopeless,
let down all the other democracies:
Historically, my generation doesn'í matter in the slightest any more. We are the past. You' are the fu-
Though we are
engulfed in the
THERE'S another thing, too. We have all heard people pro-
tute. The qualities you will more greatest war in history I feel post testing against the savage dis- the only thing they have done col-
fure.
have already been There aren't any rules of warfare:
lectively is to suffer from a common atrophy of will.
about possibilities regard of the "rules" of war lively optimistic need in the next few years are self- of abolishing wars in the future.
The decent people of this laland adaptability. The Seeing that 1 reliance und world you are growing up into will through one war to end war, does war is a breakdown of rules. For a don't deserve such rulers-though. that sound inad? Some of the fac period of history (in the seven- perhaps, some of us who saw what world, and a be a very different hard one. It will demand discipline tors of current weakness in the de- teenth and eighteenth centuries pre- was happening and tried to say so of you, and service, and I know you mocracies may themselves netunlly eminently) månarelis waging war on were not faithful enough in our pre- order one another agreed on certain rules tests: when normal channels of pub- will give them, because I have noted be symptoms
the beginning of a new spirit moving emerging.
in you and your friends.
of a better
ONE of the things that has so de
we didn't of war because it was necessary for llcity proved insumelent them, in the midst of their aggran- throw up our job and go out into the disements, to avoid a disturbance of streets and factories to agitale and the social order from which they organise derived their privilege: upset it, and
I was born just too soon to avold expecting u necaure of certainty from life-peace, social stability, pressed us has been the reluctance they were gone.. even a degree of enjoyment seemed of the free democracies to prepare
But revolutionary wars are dif-
WELL, now-whatever hap-
a part of one's birthright. You will themselves for defence and (so far ferent-and this is a revolutionary pens-there is going to be a at least not make that mistake! And as the small ones were concerned) war. Hitler doesn't give a damn radical change. Good-bye to all If by any chance these things are to fight for their freedom when the about upsetting the sucial order in that. And this it is that fills. the democracies-in fact, he has ad- me with hope and even a kind added to you all the more preekuus time come. for not having been expected.
But growing defestation of war, vertised that it is one of the things of joy, though I suppose we are
What situation! And yet do you bred from their experience of the he is after. When we have got it
know. at this moment
when our sufferings and futility of the last one into our heads that this war is only about to see the end of many country is in neule peril I don't feel (and coupled with the tremendous th emilitary manifestation of a vast things that I personally trea despondent, I actually feel excited; change in outlook brought about by social, economic and political up- surc. even clated. So much that has been the growing ease of communications, heavel that is shulding and remould-
We have often agreed that this is rotten for so long and seemed to be which
boundaries ing the whole world we shall feet makes national
war of ideas, but so fur all the better about it and we shall stop
to the rubbish heap. thing historie. be construed
after all, even the Nazis have been That is why the other side has out- The very pace of this catastrophe is
marsholled us at every point in the Peoples have begun to question ruthless to a plan.)
gaine. There has been no inspira- whether national sovereignty is any Our country is about to undergo tion here—and, since Munkh, too With what astonishing rupidity longer the supremely important thing sufferings more terrible and wide- little conviction. things that seemed part of the regu- it was. Hence their half-hearted-
Indestructibly entrenched is about to look silly) has set in motion some talking nonsense about "rules." (And Ideas have been on the other side.
a reassurance.
lar pattern of our lives have sudden ness about its defence. I say "be spread than any that have happened Well, now it is the people's turn.
ly become meaningless, I tock Feler gun," because it was, at the time. It for a walk on the hills yesterday. was cought, only a partially- You know how beautifully careful formed, almost sub-conscious kea. we have always been in this little This
gave bru force Its chance. feudal corner of England to conform But the tendency is good. with the social code and to keep. Peter on the leash going through the pheasant woods? Well, yesterday
when I got to the woods something went snap, and I let him off.
Suddenly the pheasants, and his Lordship, and the whole elaborate,
Will America
Come In?
TIE American Institute of Public Opinion has over the past months been taking a census of American opinion on the question: Do you think the United States will go into the war in Europe.or do you think we will stay out of the war?
1939
The trend of American opinion has been as follows:
U.S. wilt U.S. will
go in
stay out October.... 10 p.e.
54 p.c. 19-10 February .: 32 p.c. 08 p.c. May
51 n.c. 49 p.c. The questions for the May result were asked after May 14, the day of the German break-through at Sedan.
Since the Norwegian cam- paign and the beginning of the Low Countries offensive there has been a sharp drop in the number of Americans who feel confident of дл ultimate Allied victory.
Eight months ago 82 per cent. thought the Allies would win, 7 per cent. thought that Germany would win and 11 per cent. held no opinion. In the
first
week of June 55 per cent. thought the Allies would win, 17 per cent. that Germany would win and 28 per cent. held no opinion.
ot)
would give the army of the Empire Germany's inadequate stocks an opportunity which it really secka.petrol, and at the same time making Britain's sea power is unquestioned her ports untenable. That air force is not only superior in skill and and is growing stronger, and at the
in quality of. end of the war will be of enormous courage, but also strength; for quite clearly the Italian machines. These machines are being fleet cannot destroy it and the Gorodded to monthly by the enormous mans have not the means of doing output in Britain, the United States BO. That is, the first reason for the and in Canuda.
These are factors that a delay in the "blitzkrieg". The Japanese statesman will consider be- ond la the destructive power of the British Air Force, which is relent fore he embarks upon a policy which lessly, day and night demolishing is fraught with such danger,,
wise
to it since the Black Death, but
building a
new
don't let us fatter ourselves that What we need to arm ourselves with even if all of us and of our order in this country to-day is not only And when both went down in ruln Freedom would guns but brooms.
brooms have dono perish from the earth. Freedom the guns and will not oblige the Dictators by their job, you and your friends can The small Powers have been doing any such thing. It is of fur get busy on the site that has been caught midway in R irenendous too deep and sturdy a growth for cleared and start political movement--but the end of that--and my generation, though we world. 'the movement, don't you see. is have talked and written so much
I hope you'll do well in the swim- Federation. What, for the moment, about preserving it (and, to do us ming next Saturday. has proved a decisive wenkness you justice, have even done our spot of
Your affectionate... trins the seeds of strength and fighting for it) are certaluly not its sanity. And it will develop.
Inst and only guardians.
UNDYING FLAME
FATHER.
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