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SOMETHING TO
THINK ABOUT
Japan has apparently decided, un a change in policy and is contemplal- ing action which she feels will realise her aims. One naturally asks what are the prospects for her in this quest for hegemony in Asia. She starts off with a comparatively empty treasury and facing an em- bargo on essential materials—avia- tion spirit and scrap metal which berto she has been able to import from the United States. Fifty-six per cent. of her requirements come from that country.
This seems to indicate that Japan's trade must immedlutely suffer eclipse since her merchantslips could hardly expert to trade with Europe, India
DEAR JOHN,
TOW that normal life is about to be interrupted and neither of us can be suro-when or where we shall next meet, there are one or two things feel I should like to say to you.
We are both fortunate that you are still at school while the world is occupied in turning itself upside down. When the time comes for it
August 8, 1940.
LETTER
TO
MY SON
to right itself again, you will have ramshackle structure for which they
talka
Besides don't forgel our about what Freedom la. It is by no
menna the same thing for you and' me as it is for Clegg, the road- mender, or for the miners' sons you were in camp with losi summer. There must be suffering and' 'dark- ness first, but out of the new dia- pensation, in the end, a new freedom will spring, and n better freedom. Revolution is always cruel, but it is seldom barren.
And the muffering and darknesя. now. We are probably necessary
earned them with our indo- lence. You know the tag about a Then again, the whole character people getting the Government it
a tremendous part to play-however stand, seemed supremely comic and of warfare is changing. In the old deserves. I have never thought that were to judge the irrelevant. Away went Peter, put- days soldiers manning the front line true; but if one small, it will be tremendous. Seeing ing up those ridiculous birds ikea were sustained with the knowledge democracies by their rulers one what a mess my generation seems lot of scandalised readers of that they were protecting their wives would certainly have to call them to have made of its job (although "Punch," and away went the social and children. To-day they have no effeta. Complacent. unimaginative, I haven't felt so carefree for such certainty. While they are busy Indifferent to suffering at home or the fact that 50 nations joined in order!
in the line their wives and children outside-too comfortable, in fact. sanctions against italy in 1035 shows near we got to our goal of abolishing war), we haven't the right to tell yours anything: you must find out for yourselves.
how
Historically, my generation doesn't matter in the slightest any more.
monthsi
But that is only one small bit of may be bombed to amithereens be-
Our rulers have foreseen nothing. and perhaps not a particularly hind their backs. That makes a tre- it edifying bit. One's personal emo-mendous psychological difference To-day France and ourselves are tional releases are not important and it's not a difference that favours calling these days. It seems to me that, the survival of war. black as things are for us now, and whatever the Immediate
outcome,
on Amerien. Yesterday China, Abyssinia, Spain, Czecha~ slovakin called on ua-and got no answer. We are left to fight alone now because we would not fight to- gether when we had the chance and the duty. All the democracies have let down all the other democracies: the only thing they have done col- lectively is suffer from a common
the prospects for the world are by
THERE'S another thing, too. no means hopeless,
We have all heard people pro- Though we are engulfed in the testing against the savage dis- We are the past. You are the fu- greatest war in history I feel post regard of the "rules" of war ture. The qualities you will most lively optimistic. about possibilities need in the next few years are self- of abolishing. warn In the future. fare,
atrophy of will.
reilance and
that 1 have already been
of this island adaptability. The Seeing
There aren't any rules of warfare: The decent people
deserve such rulers-though, world you are growing up into will through one war to end war, does war is a breakdown of rules. For a don't
that sound mad? Some of the face period of history (in the seven- perhaps, some of us who saw what be
work, and a u very different hard one.
It will demand discipline tors of current weakness in the de- teenth and eighteenth centuries pre- was happening and tried to say so of you, and service, and I know you mocracies may themselves actually eminently) monarchs waging war on were not faithful enough in our pro- better, order one another agreed on certain rules tests: when normal channels of pub- will give them, because I have noted te symptoms of u the beginning of a new spirit moving emerging. in you and your friends,
I was born just too soon to avok expecting a
ONE of the things that has so de- measure of certainly from fe-peace, social stability, pressed us has been the reluctance even a degree of enjoyment seemed. of the free democracies to prepare a part of one's birthright. You will themselves for defence and (so far at least not make that inistake! And as the small ones were concerned) if by any chance these things are to fight for their freedom when the
we didn't of war because it was necessary for leily proved Insuffelent them, In the midst of their aggran- throw up our job and go out into the disements, to avold a, disturbance of streets and factories to agitate and the social order from which they organise derived their prívliege: upset i1, and they were gone.
war. Hitler
WELL, now--whatever hap But revolutionmy wars are dif- fereat-and this is a revolutionary pens-there is going to be a
doesn't give a damn radical change. Good-bye to all, about upsetting the social order in that. And this it is that fills the democracies-In fact, he has ad- me with hope and even a kind But growing detestation of war, vertised that it is one of the things of joy, though I suppose we are
added to you all the more precious time came. for not having been expected,,
What a situation! And yet do you bred from their experience of the he is after When we have got it know, at this moment when our sufferings and futility of the last one into our heads that this war is only about to see the end of many country is in neule perfi I don't feel (and coupled with the tremendous th emilltury manifestation of a vast things that 1 personally trea- despondent, I actually feel exciled, change in outlook' brought about by social, economic and political up- sure. even elated, So much that has been the growing ease of communications, heavál that is shaking and remould- rotten for so long and seemed to be which makes national boundaries ing the whole world we shall feel
We have often agreed that this is
better about it and we shall stop 11 war of ideas, but so far all the indestructibly entrenched is about to look silly) has set in motion sone talking nonsense about "rules" (Ant idens have been on the other side.
be consigned to the rubbish heap. The very pace of this catastrophe is a reassurance,
.
Well, now it is the people's turn. urselves that What we need to arm ourselves with partially even if all of us and of our order in this country. to-day is not only
Antler
thing historic,
after all, even the Nazis have been That is why the other skie has out- Peoples have begun to question ruthless to a plan.)
marshalled us at every point in the whether national sovereignty is any
game. Thero has been no inspire- With what astonishing rapidity longer the supremely important thing sufferings more terrible and wide- little conviction.
Our country is about to undergo tion here-and, since Munich, too, things that seemed part of the regu- it was. Hence their half-hearted- lar pattern of our lives have sudden- ness about its defence. I say "e to since the Black Death, but spread than any that have happened ly reconic meaningless. I took Peter gun," because it was, at the time it don't let us for a walk on the hills yesterday. whs raught, only IR
how beautifully careful formed, almost sub-conscious idea. we have always been in this little This gave brute force feudal corner of England to conform But the tendency is good.
will not oblige the Dictators by their job, you and your Irjends can with the social code and to keep Peler on the leash going through the
been doing any such thing: It is of for get busy on the site that has been building a new phersont
tremendous too deep and sturdy a growth for cleared and start woods? Well, yesterday caught midway in
political movement-but the end of that--and my generation, though we world. the movement. don't you see, is have talked and written so much
I hope you'll do well in the swim- What, for the moment, about preserving it (nnd, to da using next Saturday,
You know
went down in ruin Freedom would guns but broers. And when both
its chance. perish from the earth. Freedom the guns and brooms have done
The small Powers have
11
when I got to the woods something went snap, and I let him off. -or-Australja-un-anything-like-the-Suddenly-the-pheasants-and-his-harTM proved"a"decisive Weakness Con="justice,have-even-done-our-spot-of-
same scale. Japan more than uny other nation depends on trade for her internal economy. Unlike China she is not self-supporting, and she cannot divert the materials she re- quires from China, now so bitterly hostile.
Japan's greatest anxiety must be ber precarious position in China, where she can neither complete her task of conquest, nor gracefully withdraw from the unhappy adven- ture. The more anxiety she displays in trying to conciliate China the more she acknowledges her own weakness. Japan cannot hope to win over China to her side after the way she has mercilessly and ruth- lessly destroyed her cities, and rendered millions humeless.
It is the business of statesmen to envisage the future, and the wisest of them are those who take into their purview the numerous factors which are at work moulding that future. If an important element omitted, then the policy which is followed tends not to good fortune but disas- ter. The factor which Jupan cannot they make is
ignore in the estater States. So
the policy of the Iar they know that the United States will not view with indifferences any alteration in the status quo of the Netherlamis. Mr. Cordell Hull the Secretary of Stale, has made that statement and has not retracted it.
There is no reason to suppose that Gormany or Italy would allow Japan to retain any conquests if they were successful in Europe, and certainly
could not hold them If they were 110t successful. What must give Japan further cause for fear is the fact that Gershony'ʼn much vaunted- altack on Great Britain has. not materialised, and so much was the situation changed, that, such an at- fempt at Junding would now be almost welcomed in the British us-1t would give, the 'ormy, of the 'Empire
Lordship, and
Federation.
the whole elaborate, tabu the seeds of strength and fighting for it) are certainly not its
sanity. And it will develop.
list and only guardians.
Will America
Come In?
THE American Institute of Public Opinion has over the past months been taking a census of American opinion on the question: Do you think the United States will go into the war in Europe or do you think we will stay out of the war?
The trend of American opinion has been as follows:
U.S. wii U.S. will 1939
go it stay out October ... 46 p.c.
54 .c. 1940 February
May
32 p.c.
68 p.c. 51 p.c. 45 p.c. The questions for the May result were asked after May 14; the day of the German break-through at Sedan.
an
Since the Norweglan cam- paign and the beginning of the Low Countries offensive there has been a sharp drop in the number of Americans who feel confident of ultimate Allied victory.
Eight months ago 82 per cent. thought the Allies would win, 7 per cent, thought that Germany would win and 11 per cent. held no opinion. In the first week of Junc 55 per cent. thought the Allies would win, 17 per cent. that Germany would win and 28 per cent. held no opinion.
Germany's
inadequate stocka
of
an opportunity which it really seeks. petrol; and at the same time making Britain's sea power is unquestioned her ports untenable. That air. force and in growing stronger; and at the
is not only superior in skill and end of the war will be of enormous courage, but also in quality of strehlth; for quite elemely the Italian machines. These machines are being fret Cúinnot destroy it and the" Ger-
added to monthly by the enormous
man have not the means of doing so. That In the first reason for the delby in the battles The sec- ond la the destruulive power of the British Air Force, which relent- Iessly, day anti might demolishing
output in Britain, the United States
and in Canada.
These are factors that a wise Japanese statesman will consider be- fore he embarks upon a' policy which Is fraught with such danger. 2:j
fficulties
UNDYING FLAME
Your affectionate
FATHER.