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Hongkong Telegraph.

Thursday, December 7, 1939, Wyndham St., Hongkong Telephone: 26616

THE prefix "Special to the Telegraph" In used by the "langkong Telegraph” to indicate news which is strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni→ Eations Ordinance, 1838. Buch news an bear the indication “UP” is gezelved in langkong on the date of publication by the United Press Associations, who re-

verve all rights and forbid republication. either wholly or is part without previous

mrrangement,

Chaos In Civilisation

The FUEHRER: Make that shell-burst look more real or ́I don't go`on.

Hitler has again postponed his visit

ما

the Western front

SGANG

HITLER'S DILEMMA

H

UNDER

PRESSURE

TITLER to-day stands at the also have to be handed back to and Britain. He then spoke of the on a weak Germany by Russia, be-

crisis Bupreme

of his Lithuania.

dangers of "Indirect aggression" cause Germany is at war and fa not A few weeks before the outbreak hinting that German minorities in Germany, In fact, by her attack on On Strange, meteoric carcer.

of war German admirals were ex- the Baltic States were preparing the Poland, has enabled Stalin, to re- his next decision hangs some plaining that the functions of the way for German operations aimed bulld

the Imperial Russia of the thing not less important to him German Fleet would be to maintain against Russia. Britain and France Tsars without the loss of a single than the future of Germany. undisputed supremacy in the Baltic, declined to give him a blank cheque man or the firing of a shot. His own future and that of his three-quarters of the Baltic to Rus- guard against this danger. But, taking age, Mr. H. C. Balley exam Cussia To-day the Nazis have conceded to act as he thought necessary to Writing on this page a few days. regime are at stake. ·

sia and have entrusted to Russian a leaf from Hitler's book on technique, potential material ald which THE depths of impotence to

by which Stalin has imposed his will on the could give to Germany,

and By gross miscalculation and keeping the sea routes which member nations have dragged bungling diplomacy he has faced Germany receives vital imports of Baltic States and, in the same mo- cluded that, in the immediate future, raw materials from Sweden and ment, has compelled Germany to re this would be of little value. Nono the League of Nations is no better himself with Hobson's choice. Finland,

nounce all vestige of excuse for the less, there are those who hold Either he must capitulate and Finally they have allowed Russia "staging a come-back"- later.,

that Russia does not wish to see exemplified than by the Russian accept peace on such terms as to become the arbiter of the extent

Germany collapse. before the Allies to which they can pursue their invasion of Finland. For Soviet the world may impose or ho dream of domination over the Bal. Y establishing a common Russo- and, with this in mind, may render

must fling the whole of his re- kans. No longer can the boast be German frontier, under

her such help as is possible, The cover of friendly rela- Conversely, a victorious sources into a single gigantic upheld that Germany will extend her superacial effort to break the Allied re- frontlers to embrace all areas con- tions, Stalin has facilitated Dolshe- muny, if not too weakened In the ΟΣ the struggle, might again face East to sistance.

talning German minorities. Instead, vik political penetration

territories. At the ame redress the disadvantages she has nt Itussia's behest, those minorities German The hesitations of Berlin during are being hurriedly recalled; forced time he has allowed Hitler to con- suffered at Russia's hands.

It is probably a safe assumption, Nazi leaders are alive to all the im- sions the past fortnight suggest that the to abandon their homes and posses- vert Germany into the second largest

to stort a new life In the Slav State

in Europe. To remove therefore, that the policy of the the obvious dangers thus created for Kremlin will be to let the extent of plications of their dilemma. Divided Reich. counsel can be dedisced from the Thus Stalin achieves one more of Germany Hitler will have to negoti- its nid, or intervention, be condi confusion and contradictions of the the objectives for which, he strug- ale porulation transfers on a hither- tioned by the actual course of hos

tilities. Here, then, is another to unprecedented scale. statements which

during pour out of the gled

the long-drawn-out

PLEASE Turn To Pago 3. German Capital, How could it be negotiations this year with France otherwise?

Russia this year was President of the League of Nations-the highest League poat which any member- nation could attain.

·

was the essence of the Hitler plan for 1939 that the Eastern

objectives should be gained without engaging Germany in war with the Western Powers. Even at the mo-

ment it is conceivable that the arch- strategist still clings to a belief that the war can be stopped and his men- gre gains conserved. But if such hope persists it has by now become very Blender.

We

Roverses have thus been imposed

THAT

WINTERS THAT

DESTINIES OF

By Frank Robertson

This was not realized until the last

+

CHANGED

NATIONS

Ger-

But may not the fantastic situa- tion which has arisen in the world, where three groups of rival nations are at war, lead to a revivification of Geneva? It can be done if the the world will only give Geneva chance to carry out its charter.

World horror at the Red aggres- sion against the tiny Finnish Re- public la greater than that caused by any act of aggression in the past. The League still has many sup- porters. Most of them are small

Weather forecasts are also valu-jeceded, when a four day gale set in countries, bonsting of no armaments

able in land werfare, since an offen- and the ships were forced to run for NE of the things that give like that of the Passchendaele, the ореп sea. This rained all or war-like means to check aggres.

ONE

enances of surprise and gave the people have missed in carried out in bad weather will un-Turks chance to strengthen their sora.

But unity is strength. Tho

may recall his oft-repeated boast, "If they oppose me I shall England and France, and Ger-doubtedly fall. That make has come fortifications. After landings had unity of a dozen small countries can

erush them." This probably pro- many as well for that matter, to be one of ill-omen, for the water been effected bad weather still dog- smash, by economic means, any but vides the clue to Hitler's impulse since the outbreak of war has logged land of Flanders made rapid ged the Alled troops, and terribis heat in Novémber, followed by awe- to-day. But does he relain un-been the familiar voice of the movement almost impossible. On ful cold and a blizzard that raged the strongest of the big Powers.

diminished his powers of absolute Announcer rending out the the other hand the Germans were for three days incapacitated 3,000

When a country is at wor Finland. Indeed, has shown the control?

more fortunate, about abe months men. Evacuation was the influence of the fighting chiefs weather forecast.

Inter, for a mist covered their attack and this was carried out safely. imperative, smaller countries what resistance to

is increased, and there are reports The reason is that in these days in March, 1018, enabling them to Hardly had the last foothold been aggression сап accomplish. The that the German General Staff has when wars are fought as much in effect a surprise, and the Allies were

lost something of the confidence it the air as on land and sea, it la vital driven back for a considerable dis-Thus at the end the weather was relinquished than a fierce gale broke. firm attitude adopted by that tiny

might have felt two months ago. that Information about the weather tance. country, which fights a fore-doomed

kind, for had this gale taken place Clearly the Service Departments should be kept from the enemy.

* X

during embarkation Iosses would battle, has aroused the admiration of have developed a supreme contempt Weather forecasts in modern war-

have been heavy. STRIKING instance of the part These examples prove how much the peoples of democracies and for the Party's handling of German tare are valuable State secrets.

diplomacy. It could hardly be

played by frost in the history 'of weather affects campaigns on sea, in totalitarians alike. The Finns have otherwise, for within two months

tho dug in their heels and let it be Ribbentrop has succeeded. in con- Great War, and it is said that the the world is seen in the French re-the air and on land. Therefore,

verting situation of some promise Into

one which must appear grimly in 1914 had his offer rejected by the very severe.

help the British Expeditionary Force the winter of 1704-95, which was weather

The Dutch had hoped countries a secret. It might be sug- unjustifiable barren.

At the end of July the Reich, on staff, who refused to take his propo- that their feet would make the post-gested that this scheme hits both as both sides are likewise ways, sat seriously, and who asked him tion of the invader intolerable, but paper, could count on support from whether he thought that the army General was able to march his troops and Great Britain this is not so how nature took a hand. The French affected. In the case of Germany Their morale will be strengthened Italy and Spain, with Japan making put up umbrellas whenever It. by the vigorous support which is an effective diversion in the Far rained! After all perhaps General across the frozen rivers Mass and over. England la more fully in- East. Nor was it certain that other Staffs. were not so wise in the Wal, and it captured the whole of formed about the weather over Ger- coming from other small nations. European States, impressed by an opening days of the Great War as His decision to make the attempt, that over England. The

the Dutch navy lying in the harbour. many than the Germans are about The Argentine's demand for

of appearance Axis superiority, I were the generals of ancient Rome,

greater part of English might not throw in their lot with the who never began a battle until their to a large extent, was influenced by that the Leaguo boycott of Russia is a atop Central Power. To-day

the famous weather forecast of weather comes from the Atlantic Germany augurs, the meteorologists of those Disjonval, who during his long im- and it moves from France and Bil- alone, without one in the right direction. Russia can stands

real days, had carefully friend.

studied the prisonment in Utrecht, had studied lain across Germany. no moro stand the concerted blockade

weather signs from the nearest hill the spiders, and had found that they The nightmare of the old German They were wiser than they knew- of the world's amali countries-a General Staff is realised-Germany, for there are many Instances of how were excellent weather prophets.

without allies, committed to blockade which could be accomplish-, uguinst a coalition of unknown pro-jof wind or an unexpected fall of Napoleon's defeat in Russia, although northern hemisphere, and from ships

War such blind forces as a sudden change

Weather played a decisive part in EVERY day hundreds of reports ure received from all over the ed without navies or air forces-portions.

rain, the premature arrival of he consulted in meteorologists in-N tho Atlantic, which than can Germany stand the blockado REALISING, too late, that the have helped to change the course of planned his march upon detailed French

winier, an unusually sharp frost, stead of spiders. The French leader meteorologists to forecast British and imposed by the navies of France and

Western Powers would fight in history.

information given him regarding the reports help the Britult to get cor

weather. Similarly pursuit of their engagements, Rib- Great Britain.

climate of bentrop was despatched to Moscow

Rusala. Unfortunately for his plans, the winter set in earlier rect forecasts of the weather over to negotiate the terms for Soviet

Germany, Weather experts in Ger- was more Bevero than usual, many are unable to get forecasts of Germany's weakness and anxiety neutrality. And it is the mark of ONE striking example of this and

occurred in 1917 and resulted in Then came a sudden thaw, which weather over the British Isles and that he should have paid so heavy the smashing of the German Zen turned the roads into marshes and they try to make up for this de- a price to Moscow,

pelln feet, after which the enemy no Napoleon'a great army melted away ficiency by using radio messages. In Poland he has conceded tainer placed. any faith in those nussia a good strategie frontier in dirigibles. On the night of October too at the hands of Nature and the from ships at ros and from Neutral place of a bad ono. Germany, on 19-20 thirteen zeppelins started for Russian raiders. the other hand, has been olied to England and nine of them got over

** assume responsibility for 20,200,000 London and dronced some bomba. bitterly hostile people leavened only Then an unexpected depression de-THE Dardanelles campaign-in 1018 from using ordinary reports. But Russia is quite evidently consolidat by some 750.000 persons with racial veloned over the Atlantic and leht provides another instance of these are not, pearly accurate for the Ing her position in the Baltic vis-a-vis ; affinities towards the new rulers. winds rave way to northerly ones, weather playing a largo part in a needs of, the fighting states.

Weather, therefore, plays ́älmost Germany, and intends to be in a

In the Boltle the Nazi diplomats They were driven southward over campaign at ren. It is said that this have abandoned all hope of expan- France and had fa descend out at n was the worst blow the weather dealt as great o part in winning wars as position to resist any now Hitarian slon north of East Prussin and have for to discover their position. Faur the Allies during the last Great War. does economic power, morate, and eastward impulse.

surrendered to Russia all the ports were brought down and the flagship Beltish warshins tried to force the of course armies and navies and nit. north of Memel, which itself may captured intact.

straits and the move almost suc- forces.

meteorologist who volunteered to volutionary war against Holland in every effort is made to keep

conditions over warring

known that in no circumstances will they give way to aggression.

It is early to prophesy. Finland, unhappily, will almost certainly be averrun, for who lacks the man power of the Soviet. Whatever the outcome of the Finnish adventure, however, the country likely to suffer most after Finland is Germany.

Д

1

23

melted the ice, and the whole of

*

reason ta

enable

countries. From 1014-18 Norwegian. meteorologists worked out Всто principles of weather forecasting To which they used when debarred

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