THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 1938.
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BRITISH EMPIRE
United Kingdom
Eish Frea Hiata
Australasia
To-day 2,100,000,000
World
495,800,000
40,600,000
}
3,000,000
0,650,000
Union of South Africa Canada
8,000,000
10,375,000
-105,750,000
1011 1,020,000,000 419,400,000 45,400,000 5,800,000 8,000,000 7,100,000 135,000,000
41,900,000
30,250,000
60,000,000
14,900,000
43,600,000
34,700,000
later date ur
127,000,000
00,250,000
01,170,000 $1,000,000
Soviet Russia
France
Germany
Italy
United States Japan
fertility are at work, though her po- among whom the same influences: pulation is still increasing, and will were seen at work. probably continue to increase for To change from the small family, another twenty years-Ull I reaches in which the number of children li 10,000,000.
deliberately limited, will not be easy. But according to Mr. Crocker, who It will be a case of the cradle versus the problem on the spot, comfort, mad will involve drastic our housing schemes, Japan's people are marrying at a changes in
avolding marriage, which have boycotted the baby, as despite strong social pressure upon garages have replaced nurseries. then to marry.
studled
Such la a bird's-eye view of the Action Required
population problem in some of the
IN his speech at Margate, and In Italy the case is much the same. work's typical States. What stands IT is particularly noteworthy in this There, too, the Government is doing out from it in its menace to the Inst year
when opening the its utmost to increase the birth-rate British Empire. If the population of dard of comfort is highest, there the connection that, where the ston- Budget, Mr. Chamberlain drew and to make Italy one of the most Great Britain tank by 10,000,000 or decline in the birth-rate la tnost attention to the new set of pro-rolific nations. But there, too, the 20,000,000 there could be no study marked.
expert verdict is that its measures flow of emigrants to the Dominions Action is clearly required, but of blems which "the progressive lave not permanently increased the oversea, where the population now what character should it be? Here the biometricians do not help us. marriage and pro-
Professor The authorities on the subject are
Carr-Saunders has
no
Hongkong Hotel decrease in our population" is have encouraged arms they may tends to stagnation or decline.
going to raise. They are vast vented the birth-rate from falling agreed with a singular unanimity doubt as to the urgency of the matter and terrifying problems which nore rapidly than it has done. that the small family customary to- or the stupendous difficulties which In Asin's most highly civilised day la the true cause of the world will have to be overcome. He holds demand the closest study.
State, Japan, there are distinct indi- wide movement of depopulation. that there must be a reform in the cations that forces unfavourable to They can point to the ancient Greeks, outlook upon marriage na the prelude. The heur is at hand when our
Stubbs Rd.
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The
Hongkong Telegraph.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 1938.
Autumn or Fall?
population will decrease. It huns risen continuously for the last 250 years It doubled Iself between
1801 and 1861: it doubled itself once PERSONALITIES OF OLD HONGKONG
more between 1851 and 1911. But Now thla automatic advance
ceasing. We are approaching one of the turning-points in world history.
DR.
Falling Population
R. GRACE LEYBOURNE, a statis- teinn of special authority, after detailed investigation of the figures,
Fate's Strange Trick On A Brilliant H.K.
Lawyer
When corn ears turn brown has calculated that a definite decline and hang downward, when nuta in the English population will begin
Hongkong during the first By T. PAUL GREGORY the pleasure of Her Majesty be in 1941. By 1851 the population will thud on thin sod or clutter on
known." Meanwhile, the official have fallen from 40,500,000 to 38,-few years of its history was the the bare earth, when leaves 500,000. By 1975 it will have been mecca for all sorts and con-community which thrived upon Coroner of the Colony. Mr. redden and yellow, when the halved and will fail to 19,000,000.
ditions of men who flocked here gossip jra licu of infre- Percy Caulincourt McSwyney, lawn caretaker rakes them into
news from the out-who seemed to have been This calculation assumes that fer-in search of wealth, adventure, quent heaps, and coal trucks rumble ity will continue at its present level and a successful career.
Some side world
was keyed up to a former classmate of his, had in speeded-up delivery, there is There are experts who regard that as had been sailors before the expectancy, and the following been forced to resign from his no mistaking the season. But
an optimistic assumption. Dr. Enid mast, others, army veterans announcement in the Government once, and he was nominated to do you call it autumn, or fall? Charles, another statistician of als from India, and a formidable Gazette of July 29, 1846 was re-fill the vacancy. This latter the most avid appointment was, however, but "In every way,"
tinction, calculates that if the rate of host of nondescript individuals garded with Baya IL
temporary; for tl.a Government learned Englishman of old Lon-fertility should continue to fall as it of various crafts and profes attention:
"Mr. N. D'Esterre Parker, felt that Mr. Parker was better in at present doing, a century hence ¡sions. Among these latter were the population of England will have a number of lawyers, many of Solicitor of the High Court of fitted to serve as Proctor in whom subsequently proved to Chancery, and one of the At-Admiralty than as a Coroner, This would be about half the popu-be pariahs of the legal profes-torneys of Her Majesty's Courts and be was accordingly gazetted Common in that capacity on January 12, on of Greater London to-day. Itsion, whose sojourn here was of Queen's Bench, is an alarming figure, and were it
verified, it would mean the fall the British Empire.
shrunk to only 4,420,000.
Peculiar Decline
of
dan, "fall is better on the merits than autumn. It is short, Saxon, picturesque. It reveals ita derivation to every one who uses it, not to the scholar only as does autumn. We once had
usually short and troublous. Pleas, and Exchequer, in Ire- 1847. as good a right to it as
Many of them, moreover, were land, has been duly admitted to
The year 1847 was, morcover, the
"Sydney ducks" and these men. practice as a Solicitor, Attorney, the annus mirabilis the "won- Americans, but we have chosen
especially by their irregular and Proctor of the Supreme derful year" of his stay in to let the right lapse so that to
methods, brought disgrace upon Court of Hongkong. Mr. Parker Hongkong for on every hand use this monosyllable now is
the profession, so much so that is likewise a legally constituted he prospered. His legal prac little better than larceny." IT will naturally be asked whether by the year 1845, the European Public Notary of the High Court tice Increased by leaps and
· faith can be placed in such calcula Apparently autumn is now lona. The answer is that the statis-residents felt that one of their of Prerogation of England. English, while fall is American, ticians of the world are in tolerably most urgent needs was for a Office at Messrs. Bowra and bounds, so that he felt it incum- bent to seek additional asais- Further investigation revents close agreement. Moreover, there is fully qualified member, of the Bar Co's., Queen's Road."
the fact that in 1021 calculations of who would not only be able to
tance, and despatched a letter to Mr. Norcott D'Esterre Parker his younger brother William in autumn as better suited to the probable population in 1931 were verse, with fall congenial to mate in the Registrar-Cieneral's office represent them honourably in was born in Ireland about the Ireland to come out and join him prose. The searcher can scare-for non-omcial use. When the 1931 legal matters, but who also year 1818. Very little is known in Hongkong. The administra- eely find a poetic reference to Census Returns were available, the would be willing to assist in the about his life at Home, save that tion, too, had come to regard
error in the estimates was only 0.13 building up of the infant Colony.he
graduate of the him as one of its most promising per cent.-a negligible amount,
fall whereas he encounters autumn almost at every turn-
though in her case it threatens to be
ous than
un
was
re-
Was
Their wishes were soon to be University of Dublin, and was a The decline in population is not go-gratified; for late in June 1846, member of the Irish Bar. He servants. His successful dis- "yellow autumn wreathed withing to be pecullar to Great Britain, rumours were circulated that at was, however, apparently a man/charge of his duties as tem- nodding corn," "autumn is the mellow time," "autumn nodding more marked and much more danger-long last a barrister who was with high connections; for his porary Crown Prosecutor in- fluenced the Governor to name In other countries. The really o'er the plain," "an autumn that he civilised world is affected. In profession was shortly to settle in the Colony was at once wel- on November 30, 1847, an an- ornament to his establishment of a legal practice him permanent appointee, and grew by reaping," "autumn days France, the low birth-rate has for are here again," "autumn's fire," nifty years been causing anxiety, and in the Colony. This person comed, and from the very begin. "happy
autumn-fields," "the there a drop in population from 42, whose identity was not dis- ning of his stay he possessed announcement to this effect was
The local published in the Gazette. windy lights of autumn," and 000.000 to 39,000,000 is anticipated by closed, was stated to possess extensive clientele.
His speedy rise in the esteem "autumnal leaves in Vallom-1080, the decline setting in next year. "extensive legal acquirements administration favourably
and he
of the general publie was un- brosa."
In Germany, ever since the Nazi and experience." and, moreover,garded him,
to bo suddenly advent to power, thery bus been was avowed to be a "welcome appointed by the Governor, Sir fortunately Autumn has won classic ap anxiety about the birth-rate, which acquisition to the society of the John Davis, to serve as tem- dashed by an apparently proval and wide
has shown a distinct tendency to sanction
Naturally enough the porary Crown Prosecutor, "until inexplicable performance, which through long usage; it be-is predicted by the biometricians from
A positive decline in the population place." speaks the scholarly. Fall is 1946 onwards. popular because of its shortness
According to Kahn's estimate- and ease of enunciation. But prepared before Herr Hitler's reme- nutumn remains the poets'dial measures were put into force- favourite
autumnal it will sink from its present figure of glory has a poetic ring and fall, 66,000,000 to less than 50,000,000 by 1975; or, by Burgdorfer's calculations, it seems, has none.
it will fall to 47,000,000 in 2000.
Theory-
because
ago
Almost 150
years Thomas Day died without learn- ing much from life. He was an ardent apostle of Rousseau, the
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The Exception
fall.
to
To
HE most important exception to
the world-wide decline is likely to i be Russia, pertups beenuse her civilisation is too rudimentary to be affected by the mysterious forces at work. The present population of
150,000,000 Is expected His enthusiasm for reform'double itself in the next sixty years. even coloured his idea of the A Russin of 300,000,000 inhabitants wife he wanted. Day adopted, confronting a Europe with shrunken an orphan girl and tried to train and sinking population will be un her after the Rousseau princi-wieldy, heavily armed Soviet State of even graver problem than the un- ples. But she jumped when he to-day. fired a blank shot near her, screamed when he dropped hot sealing-wax on her hand.
In fact, she reacted as any normal girl would, and Thomas Day decided against marrying her. For she would not behave according to his theories.
And human nature
Years later he was still trying
The renson for Her Hitler's strenu- ous efforts to increase the German birth-rate la now ticar. The por- tentous Russia of the future will be" a tremendous peril to Germany.
As yet, however, err Miller's measures have produced disappoint- ing results, though it is true that they have raised the number_of births from 078,000 in 1930 to 1,181,- 000 in 1034.
In the opinion of Professor Carr- Saunders, the best Birlish authority
to train other lives. He experi-on the sublect, "all that has happen- mented with a colt this time. so far in that an unusually large
number of first births have been crowded into a year, and no abiding change has been produced in the rate of fertility.". He thinks the foreen at It kicked Thomas Day and he work too powerful to be readily mas
But the harso knew nothing about Rousseau.
'Phono 28240.
never recovered.
tered.
GRIN AND BEAR IT
By Lichty
SILENCE
The BILGE HOUR ONL COMEDIAN DOE TRUFFLE BAGE PREPL WATER PROGRA
CONTROL ROO!
LAUGHTER (HARD)
10449
"Wert week is Joe's birthday—I'm thinking of buying him two
new pagi!"
brought the young Irishman's lofty visions of success down about his cars like the collapse of a house of cards. It seems that one January day in 1849, Mr. Parker finding time hanging rather heavy upon his hands
WALB
hoping that something would turn up to allay the tedium; for life in Hongkong was now for the first time be- ginning to surfeit him. As if in answer to his wish thoro ar- rived in his office a Chinese police informer by name of Leo Kip-tye, who told him that at Ping Chau, an island between Hongkong and Macao, there was n junk anchored which had on board a number of articles from the wreck of a European ship.
"How jolly it would bơi thought young Parker to him- self, "if I could just find out. what the name of the wreck may bo. By Jove, I think I will go out and have a look."
Leaving his office in charge of his brother William, Mr. Parker sot off for Ping Chau, in com- pany with the above-mentioned police informer, and another | Chinese whose namo la not man- tioned in accounts of the episode. Upon their arrival at the island they found the Chinese junk beached upon the shore, and being caulked by a number of boatmen who, were (Continued on Page 7:)`