THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 1938,
HIP!
-It's Stout.
HIP!
-It's Milk Stouti
HURRAH!
→II's MACKESON'S —Wish'. the goodness of milk that does you good afterwards.
MACKESON'S MILK STOUT
THE ORIGINAL AND GENUINE MILK STOUT
Sole Agents:-A. S. WATSON & CO., LTD.
WINE DEPT,
TEL. 20616.
MOUTRIE'S
FOR
BRITISH RADIOS
G. E. C. ALL MODELS PYE.
TRIAL
ALL MODELS
DEMONSTRATION SUITABLE TO YOUR CONVENIENCE
HIRE PURCHASE TERMS AVAILABLE
S. Moutrie & Co., Ltd.
YORK BUILDING
When
you go
You Must Have a Car, No Matter How
Little Exploring You Had Planned to Do !
CHATER ROAD.
home,
Have an All-Britsh FORD » TEN,” carrying only £1.196. Annual Tax, in Great Britain, but with an engine developing over 30 loh.p., amply powered for its full complement of passengera and their luggage. Ita clutch, gem-box, steering, brakes, suspension, are as good na the engine, And the bodywork in a picture, inside and out, comfortably roomy, retifully upholstered. alpped with everything of real utility and convenience. You cannot buy a car of so much value for so little money. The Ford Home-Leave Delivery - Scheme applies to this to all Ford modela. Under that Scheme you can buy your Ford "Ten" anywhere, as British price, plas cost of delivery to the landing-stage. On the expiry of your leave you can bave it shipped to your destination overseas, at one, inclusive charge if you wish, Alirmatively, you can buy with an agrred figure for the car's pe-purchase when you are finished with it. Both the Home-Leave Delivery Scheme and the Re-Purchase Plen were organised for your personal convenience, as parts of that Ford Service which is world-wide.
Catalogue on application, or from Ford Dealers everywhere.
Alloh FORD "TEN" Salon, £150.
Double-Entrance Saleon, £162.10s. Touring Cor. 4162,10%. Leather Upholstery and Sliding Roef. 530 extra. All Print Wars, Doproderet
Ford
FORD MOTOR COMPANY LIMITED, DAGENHAM. EBBEX, ENGLAND. LONDON GHOWROOMS: REGENT ST., W.1
WALLACE HARPER & CO., LTD.
NATHAN ROAD,
KOWLOON.
'Phone 59245.
ARSENAL STREET,
HONG KONG
'Phona.28240.
"Prest-O-Lite" Batteries
Automotive Types
Prest-O-Lite
One of the oldest names in Automotive story--and one of the most honoured.
First of all every Prest-O- Lite lo a good battery-the lowest cost per
mile month of service.
THE FINEST OF QUALITY BATTERIES
Obtainable at the
EMPTY CRADLES
Western World
World
in the
Small Increase Over 25 Years
BRITISH EMPIKE
United Kingdom
To-day 2,100,000,000
$5,800,000
46.600.000
Irish Free #late
3,000,000
Australasia
9,650.000
Union of South Africa Canada
8,000,000
10,375,000
1911 1,620,000,000 419,400,000
45,400,000
5,800,000 0,000,000 7,100,000
165,750,000
135,000,000
41,900,000
30,250,000
00,000,000
64,000,000
43,800,000
34,700,000
$27,000,000
01,170,000
00,250,000
51,000,000
Soviet Russin
France
Germany
or
Italy
United States Japan
fertility are at work, though her po- among whom the same influences pulation is still increasing, and will were seen at work. probably continue to Inercase for
To change from the small family, unother twenty years-till it reaches in which the number of children is 90,000,000.
deliberately limited, will not be easy.
to the
Action Required
decline in the birth-rate is most
marked.
But according to Mr. Crocker, who It will be à case of the cradle versus studier! the problem on the spot, comfort, and will involve drastic our housing schemes, Japer's people are marrying at a changes in later date or avoiding marrrlage, which have boycotted the baby, ns despite strong social pressure upon garages have replaced nurserica. them to marry.
Such is a bird's-eye view of the population problem in some of the In Italy the case is much the same, world's typical States, What stands is particularly noteworthy in this IN his speech at Margate, and
There, too, the Government is doing out from it Is Its menuce last year
when opening the its utmost to increase the birth-rate British Empire. If the population dard of comfort in highest, there the connection that, where the ston- Budget, Mr. Chamberlain drew and to make Italy one of the most Great Britain sank by 10,000,000 or attention to the new set of pro- expert verdict is that is measures flow of emigrants to the Dominions
prolife nations. But there, too, the 20,000,000 there could be
no steady
Action is clearly required, but of blems which "the progressive have not permanently increased the oversea, where the population now what character should it be? Here the biometriclans do not help us. Hongkong Hotel decrease in our population" is have encourage, though they may tenda to stagnation or decline.
encouraged marriage and pre- The authorities on the subject are Professor Carr-Saunders haa no going to raise. They are vast vented the birth-rate from falling agreed with a singul unnimity doubt as to the urgency of the matter and terrifying problems which more rapidly than it has done. that the small family customary to- or the stupendous dimculties which In Asia's most highly civilised day is the true cause of the world- will have to be overcome. He holds demand the closest study.
State, Japan, there are distinct indi- wide movement of depopulation. that there must be a reform in the cations that forces unfavourable to They can point to the ancient Greeks, outlook upon marriage as the prelude. The hour is at hand when our population
will decrease. It has risen continuously for the last 250 years, it doubled itself between 1801 and 1851; it doubled itself once more between 1851 at 1011. Bul now this automatic advance 3- censing. We are approaching one of the turning-points in world history.
Garage
SHOWROOM
Phone 27778/9.
Stubbs Rd.
The
Hongkong Telegraph.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 1938,
Autumn or Fall?
in speeded-up delivery, there is
But
DR.
Falling Population
R. GRACE LEYBOURNE, a statis-
ticlan of special authority, after į a detailed investigation of the figures,
has calculated that a definite decline 1941. By 1951 the population will in the English population will begin
PERSONALITIES OF OLD HONGKONG
Fate's Strange Trick On
Brilliant H.K.
A
Hongkong during the first Į place."
Lawyer
Naturally enough the the pleasure of Her Majesty be
When corn ears turn brown and hang downward, when muts thud on thin sod or clatter on have fallen from 10,500,000 to 30,-few years of its history was the community which thrived upon known." Meanwhile, the official the bare earth, when leaves 500,000. By 1975 it will have been mecca for all sorts and con-gossip in lien of infre-Coroner of the Colony, Mr. redden and yellow, when the halved and will fall to 10,000,000.
ditions of men who flocked here quent news from the out-Percy Caulincourt McSwyney. lawn caretaker rakes them into
This calculation assumes that fer- in search of wealth, adventure, side world was keyed up to who seemed to have been heaps, and coal trucks rumble.
tility will continue at its present level. and a successful career. Some expectancy, and the following a former classmate of his, had the announcement in the Government been forced to resign from his no mistaking the season.
There are experts who regard that as had been sailors before
others. army veterans Gazette of July 29, 1846 was re- once, and he was nominated to do you call it autumn, or fall?
an opimistic assumption. Dr. Enid mast,
the most avid fill the vacancy. This latter Charles, another statistician of dis- from Indin, and a formidable garded with "In
appointment was, however, but every way,"
tinction, calculates that if the rate of host of nondescript individuals attention: says
"Mr. N. D'Esterre Parker, temporary; for the Government learned Englishman of old Lon- fertility should continue to fall as it of various crafts and profes- don, "fall is better on the merits is at present doing, a century hence sions. Among these latter were Solicitor of the High Court of felt that Mr. Parker was better sort, the population of England will have a number of lawyers, many of Chancery, and one of the At-fitted to serve as Proctor in whom subsequently proved to torneys of Her Majesty's Courts Admiralty than as a Coroner, Saxon, picturesque. It reveals shrunk to only 4,426,400.
Bench, This would be about half the popu be pariahs of the legal profes-of Queen's its derivation to every one who
Common and he was accordingly gazetted uses it, not to the scholar only lation of Greater London to-day. It sion, whose sojourn here was Pleas, and Exchequer, in Ire-in that capacity on January 12, as does autumn. We once had is an alarming Ogure, and were it usually short and troublous. land, has been duly admitted to 1847. as good a right to it as the verilled, it would
mean the fall of Many of them, moreover, were practice as a Solicitor, Attorney, The year 1847 was, moreover, "Sydney ducks" and these men, and Proctor of the Supreme the annus mirabilis the ''won- Americans, but we have chosen the British Empire,
especially by their irregular Court of Hongkong, Mr. Parker derful year" of his stay in to let the right lapse so that to Peculiar Decline
methods, brought disgrace upon is likewise a legally constituted Hongkong-for on every hand this monosyllable now is
the profession, so much so that Public Notary of the High Court he prospered. His legal prac
than autumn.
LINC
IL is
faith can be placed in such calevla-
to
re-
he was
little better than larceny." IT will naturally be asked whether by the year 1845, the European of Prerogation of England.tice increased by leaps and Apparently autumn is now tions. The answer is that the statis-residents felt that one of their Office at Messrs. Bowra and bounds, so that he felt it incum- English, while fall is American. Uciana of the world are in tolerably most urgent needs was for a Co's., Queen's Road."
bent to seek additional assis- Further investigation reveals close agreement. Moreover, there is fully qualified member of the Bar Mr. Norcott D'Esterre Parker tance, and despatched a letter to autumn as better suited to the feet that in 1921 calculations of who would not only be able to was born in Ireland about the his younger brother William in vurse, with fall congenial to made in the Registrar-General's oilce represent them honourably in year 1818. Very little is known Ireland to come out and join him
the probable population in 1031 were prose. The searcher can scare- for non-official use, When the 1931 legal matters, but who also about his life at Home, save that in Hongkong. The administra cely find a poetic reference to Census Returns were available, the would be willing to assist in the he AVAN & graduate of the tion, too, had come to regard full whereas
error in the estimates was only 0.13 building up of the infant Colony. University of Dublin, and was a him as one of its most promising he encounters
Their wishes were soon to be member of the Irish Bar. autumn almost at every tura per cent.-a negligible amount.
Ho servants. His successful dis- "yellow autumn wreathed with
The decline in population is not go-gratified; for late in June 1846, was, however, apparently a man charge of his duties as tem- nodding corn," "autumn is the though in her case it threatens to be
ing to be peculiar to Great Britain, rumours were circulated that at with high connections; for his porary Crown Prosecutor in- mellow time," "autumn nodding more marked and much more danger-long last a barrister who was catablishment of a legal practice fluenced the Governor to name a'er the plain,” “an autumn thatous than in other countries. The really an ornament his in the Colony was at once wel him permanent appointee, and grew by reaping," "autumn days whole civilised world is affected. In profession was shortly to settle comed, and from the very begin- on November 30, 1847, an an- are here again," "autumn's fire," fty years been causing, unclety, anor in the Colony. This person ning of his stay he possessed announcement to this effect was
France, the low birth-rate has for "happy autumn-fields,”
W13 "the there a drop in population from 42, whose identity not dis-extensive clientele. The local published in the Gazette. windy lights of autumn." and 000,000 to 39,000,000 is anticipated by closed, was stated to possess administration favourably "autumnal leaves in
and Vallom- 1980, the decline setting in next year. | “extensive legal acquirements garded him,
His speedy rise in the esteem brosa."
In Germany, ever since the Nazi and experience," and, moreover, appointed by the Governor, Sir of the general public was un- fortunately to bo suddenly advent to power, there has Autumn has won classic ap-anxiety about the birth-rate, which acquisition to the society of the porary Crown Prosecutor, "until inexplicable performance, which been was avowed to be a "welcome John Davis, to serve as tem- dashed by an apparently proval and wide sanction has shown a distinct tendency to fall. through long usage; it be- A positive decline in the population
brought the young Irishman's is predicted by the biometricians from
down speaks the scholarly. Fall is 1940 onwards.
lofty visions of success popular because of its shortness
about his cars like the collapse According to Kuhn's eslimate- and ease of enunciation. But prepared before Herr Hitler's reme-
of a house of cards. It seems that one January day in 1849, autumn remains the poets" dial measures were put into force-
Mr. Parker finding time hanging favourite because autumnal it will sink from its present figure of
rather heavy upon his hands glory has a poetic ring and fall, 60,000,000 to less than 30,000,000 by 1075; or, by Burgdorfer's calculations,
WAN hoping that something it seems, has none.
It will fall to 47,000,000, in 2000.
would turn up to allay the tedium; for life in Hongkong was now for the first time be- ginning to surfeit him. As if in answer to his wish there ar- rived in his office a Chinese police informer by name of Lee Kip-tye, who told him that at Ping Chau, an island between Hongkong and Macao, there was a junk anchored which had on board a number of articles from the wreck of a European ship.
The Exception
Theory-
Almost
150
yenra ago THE most important exception to Thomas Day died without learn the world-wide decline is likely to ing much from life. He was an be Russia, perhaps because her ardent apostle of Rousseau, the civilisation is too rudimentary to be French educationist.
affected by the mysterious forces at work. The present population of His enthusiasm for reform about 150,000,000 is expected even coloured his idea of the double itself in the next sixty years. wife he wanted. Day adopted, confronting a Europe with shrunken an orphan girl and tried to train and sinking population will be an her after the Rousseau princi-even graver problem than the un- ples. But she jumped when ho wieldy, heavily armed Soviet State of fired a blank shot near her, screamed when he dropped hot ous efforts to increase the German scaling-wax on her hand.
In fact, she reacted as any normal girl would, and Thomas Day decided against marrying her. For she would not behave according to his theories.
And human nature
Years later he was still trying
A Russia of 300,000,000 inhabitants
10-day.
The reason for Her Hiller's strenu-
birth-rate is now clear. The por- tentous Russia of the future will Ge- a tremendous peril to Germany,
As yet, however, Herr Hller's measures have produced disappoint- ing results, though it is true that they have raised the number of birtha from 978,000 in 1930 to 1,181,- 000 in 1034.
In the opinion of Professor Carr- Saunders, the beat British authority to train other lives. He experi-ed so far is that an unusually large on the subject, "all that has huppen- with a colt this time, number of first births have ucen But the horse knew nothing crowded into a year, and no abiding about-Rousseau.
mented
change has been produced in the rate
of fertility." He thinks the forces ot It kicked Thomas Day and he work too powerful to be readily mas- never recovered,
tered.
GRIN AND BEAR IT
By Lichty
SCENCE
CONTROL ROOT
}(HARD)
The BILGE HAUR DINH COMEDIAN
DOE TRUFFLE BIGE HAERAL WATER PROGRA
WHILE
"Next week la Joe's birthday—I'm thinking of buying him two, new gaga!"
"How. Jolly. it. would be," thought young Parker to him- self, "if I could just find out what the name of the wreck may be. By Jove, I think I will go out and have a look.".
Leaving his office in charge of his brother William, Mr. Parker act off for Ping Chan, in-com- pany with the above-mentioned police Informer, and another Chlnose whose name is nót men- tioned in accounts of the episode. Upon their arrival at found tho the island thoy Chinese Junk beached upon the abore, and being caulked by h number of boatmen who word (Continued on Page 7)