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The "Telegraph" reprints an
W
article
E live in days of fear. Gloom is our companion
and apprehension our guide.
People are afraid that depression will come upon us--and by fearing it, they bring depression
nearer.
They are afraid of war. Fortunately they cannot create war simply by dwelling in dread of it. But this fear prevents them from taking a cool and balanced view
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Programme for Sunday, 31st July, 1938.
1 p.m. -2.30 p.m. PROGRAMME
1. Der Freischuetz. Ouverture
2. Flattergeister. Waltz
3. Andante from lith Symphony
4. La Tosca. Selection
5. Oriental Serenade
6. Monte Cristo
7. Mado, Paaso-Doblo
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The
Hongkong Telegraphı.
THURSDAY, JULY 28, 1938.
BRITAIN HOLDS THE WHISTLE
There is one strange thing about the apprehension that is abroad. It Is not based upon any reasonable version of the facts that exist to-day, It springs from a belief about events that are supposed to lie in the future. It depends upon prediction.
And most of the gloomy prophecies that are current will not stund one moment's lendy inspection.
For instance, there is the war- punle. What is the source of it?
The knowledge that certain coun- tries possess ambitions, But there always have been ambitions in the world. And only rarely have they
led to wor
The fact that nations are arming But nations always have been armed It is a natural impulse for n
Coin-
·byeen GEORGE MALCOLM
THOMSON
"WHY THERE WILL
BE NO WAR"
The Hongkong "Telegraph" is reprinting this article from the London "Evening Standard". The article caused great discussion when it was published in London
Mr. Thomson writes every Wednesday in the well-known and respected London evening journal,
WHAT of the other sup-
The defence will always beat the
posed danger spot? What attack. of Spain?
Franco cannot clean up that coun- try for a long time,
Even when he has made an end
Other things being equal, the men who advance to the assault are beaten by brave and well-equipped defen- ders. In the Middle Ages the bow In the beat the charging knight.
of the enemies who face bim he last war the machine-gun beat the hns still to dent with the foes who advancing infantryman.
Jurk in his rear-some of them in his own ranks. The moment he has the
If there are new instruments at disposal of the aggressor now,
F hed with Barcelona and Valencia be sure that they will be countered
Invention
the disaffection among his followers by the ingenuity of man, will find its opportunity.
is always met by counter-invention. The tank meets the anti-tank gun, Franco has taken too much foreign the submarine succumbs to the depth- any case, people have an assistance to be a satisfactory leader charge, the mine is circumvented by entirely mistaken notion for a Nationalist Spain. He appeals the paravane. about German strength and rendt- to national pride-from behind a
ment of German soldiers.
TO-DAY defence
ness for war. They pay too much hedge of foreign bayonets. So hils
stronger attention to the speeches of German appeal is not impressive.
than ever, owing to the politicians and too little to the equip-
In the Far East predlet that development of the rapid-firing gun. the Japanese will follow a more As for air attack, I am nmong Mr. Neville Chamberlain, Bri-unity to make its defences strong.
conciliatory policy towards Britain, those who say that the menace of The German divisions that marched They will do so because they realise the bomber to London is exaggerated. tain's Prime Minister, has made At this moment we are witnessing to Austria were poorly equipped. that it pays them better to share the I believe that London cannot be popular and very shrewd ove simply a return to the usual state of Their tanks were of inferior type. Cbian market with us than to shut destroyed by attack from the air.
Their airplanes were obsolete. They us out of it altogether. things after the abnormal degree of may have impressed the Austrians,
We have a new age in warfare. disement that followed the war.
if they were proposing to close the The rifle is donc. And artillery is but they did not have much effect market to us they would require to going the same way As the rifle. THE
E confused notion is that on the trained observers of foreign conquer and hold down all China. The magazine rife is out of date,
Powers, Including the Americans and The job is too big.
the musket has
passed the Poles.
The swift fire of the machine-gun The Germans are just as anxious in Spain and another in China we ourselves are about to be plunged
gun, loo, must go. For cen- into conflict.
But war is not an in- fectious disease. It is just as likely at the horrible spectacle of war in Spala and Chlon will be a deterrent upon the war-impulse.
in sending Lord Runciman to Prague. He has been canny about it, tou. But the construc- tion placed upon the despatch of the former President of the Board of Trade to keep an eye on the political manoeuvres in Czecho-Slovakia's capital, parti- cularly with respect to the Sude- ten German problem, seems to be just what Mr. Chamberlain is anxious to avoid. Germany
beenure there is one war
I make this prophecy.
Just
Japanese to prevent a complete con- to 1454 their influence with the ns put it out of business.
to see the
Thic
battle.
enemy.
nway.
One prediction more: Industrial recovery will come the United States.
of
Still, it may be said, the claim of the Sudeten Germans to be united to the Reich may precipitate war.
Again I make a prophecy.
quest of China and a complete closure furles it has been the queen of the of the market to us. For it we were
But its reign must come to The Sudeten Germans will make shut out, they would be shut out an end. In a time of swift move- settlement with the Czechs, accept too. And the Germans sell half as ment, we wil seck a more accurate ing a measure of autonomy within much again to the Chinese as we do. method of launching projectiles at on Czecho-Slovakia.
Nor would the Germans be pleased Why? Because while they remain In that country they serve as
Japanese, their allies,
in an exhausting themselves in an endless Instrument of Hitler's policy within war now nor for a long time to come. the Czech
State. They con
and military occupation exert China,
The big crops that will be gathered Who is going to nuke war? Where pressure upon the direction of Czech Japanese to keep their hands free bring benefit to the railroads.
Germany will prefer the on the harvest fields of America will are we to seek the evil-doer who is policy
useful
to Germany.
And and their strength undamaged so that
here it is not the price of wheat but Germans some day, if need arise, they tony the quantity of the harvest that is
important.
So be of good cheer. Dwell not considerations, there are confidence into the failure, and equip
There will be no European war
Besides, the Sudeten
France have apparently about to plunge us into that calamity? divell in one of the depressed areas march against Russia,
and jumped to the conclusion that Britain has ceased to stand aloof
can
Italy? Nothing could be more improbable.
of Europe. If he added them to his subjects Hitler would be taking over
BUT, apart from any local dismally on the past, but look with
foolish people seem to think.
The Italians have an embarrassing lower than that of his own people lasting principles which make war yourself with machinery to enable
a people whose standard of life is and inglorious war on their hands and who are amicted with a severe much more of a gamble thun some you to share in the harvest of com-
In Abyssinia they have an degree of unemployment. it is.
merce and industry that is to come. enterprise of colonial development that will call for all their resources | -and maybe more.
from the affairs of Continental Europe and is now going to take an active part in their solution. Mr. Chamberlain was at some pains to point out that Viscount The Italian national economy Is Runciman was going to act cn-had an adverse trade balance of £50 feeling the strain. Last year they
tirely independently: but that millions. This year that adverse Unless has not misled Berlin and Paris. balance will be bigger still.
they can reverse the balance they They believe the British repre- will have to pay out gold. And sentative is to speak for his their stock of goid probably amounts Government. And who
to £25 millions or less.
blame them?
There is really no point in pretending to an isolation and lack of interest which are both equally and obviously impossi-
In that event where does Germany ble. Britain is known to be a
stand? If that country is our other champion of peace and the leader source of anxiety, what message do of the appeasement programme the Reich? A message of cheer.
we get from the harvest flelds of
in Europe. What is more na-
Germany is importing three times tural than that the Government, as much wheat as she did last year. in order to keep a clear view of
The
Their harvest has been a failure. They must now import wheat, maybe
A JUBILEE FOR CIGARETTES
TT was a war that made first Britain ja rank cad. Chance and self-asser-it, If only its swear-words, quickly and then the rest of Europe tion brought the cigarette smoker adapted himself to the Egyptian cigarette-conscious.
into his own. "Please blow the habit. candle out," said a hostess to Oscar In the first few months of 1888 he Although the Western world has Wilde, known tobacco for over three cen-
its smoking." "Happy and his comrades returned home, candle," murmured turies (and before its first appear-
Wilde. The bringing with them ance weed and herb
the cigarette. hostess
and Wilde Soon there were few communities in took the hint smoking was common; clay pipes have been dis-lighted a elgarette.
any part of the country which did covered among Saxon remains), the
not include at least one cigarette- That was an example of the self-smoker, and the taste spread. The show how Jarge the bulk of cigarette advertising went to suddenly increased.
cigarette is just celebrating the assertion. The chance lay in that, at files of old newspapers as much as two million tons of it. Aftieth anniversary of its arrival into the beginning of the 'eighties,
That would cost them £15 millions.
Now wars are not made on bad harvest. War goes with the bursting
Kranary.
is
bility, but rather a probability.
events, and incidentally to pre-problem in Czecho-Slovakia vent their distortion by the pro- not by any means an impossi- paganda of one element or an- other, should place a responsible and competent man like Vis-There is always the chance, of count Runciman on the spot? course, that the reaction in the
French approval of such a
Reich in inspired-in other measure was to be expected. words, that because they could But the German approbation not very well criticise a move, was not quite so cortajn.
obviously made to avoid misun- fact that Berlin has offered no derstanding, the Germans have ¡criticism, but, in fact, has ex- praised it with their fingers pressed the warmest. satisfac- crossed. But that is the thought tion at the British movs rather of a nasty, suspicious nature, { removes the suspicion that Ger- and probably quite unjust. many was not anxious for a set- What Britain is doing in tlement of the Sudeten
Prague, it appears, is unofficial- tion. For there was a feeling in ly refereeing in what may be Home quarters that trouble termed u .semi-final round in across the Czech border suited the German-Czech political con- the plans of Herr Hitler vory test, at which Russin and France well. If the German approval and Poland and Italy, and all is sincerely given, then, it means the Balkan statos, aro interested| that a solution of the minority spectators.
ques-
popular favour.
number of British troops
In
In the 'sixties and seventies of Egypt for the Sudan campaign. last century, to smoke a cigaretle in Egypt cigarettes were an everyday Goschen's Good Turn a public place or to be known to do thing, and the British soldier, who, so in solitary style branded you as, has nover visited a foreign country at the least, bohemian, at the worst, without bringing back something of
GRIN AND BEAR IT
NATIONAL KEDIC JOURNAL
By Lichty
ye gotta have more X-rays. Fisbeo! Readers, these days demand pictures, plctures and ALore pictures!"
was not the sort of man to be much New brands appeared. The soldier deterred by a social prejudice that had already suffered is first defeat. The national revenue from tobacco duties
rose sharply in 1888. They would have risen even higher in the following year had not Goschen, in bis Budget, reduced the
duty by the pound as a conces- sion to the working man.
fourpence
in
Ever since that time the pipe and the algor have been making a gradual retreat before the cigarette. The Great War turned millions of women to smoking neither the pipe nor the elgar was fitting to them. Now a generation has grown up which has never learned, as its fathers might have done, the technique of the pipe, and the cigar does not conform with the speed at which they live their Ilves.
To-day, over 150,000,000 pounds of tobacco go into cigarettes a year, and the fly thousand million cigarettes which Britons smoke annually re- present three-quarters of the coun try's entire tobacco consumption. This vast supply would iny a road ten cigarettes wide, between the earth and the moon.
Why They Began It
The figures of the United States are on an even grander scale. As far back as 1928 Americans smoked
ninety-seven thousand million cigarettes a year, and their cigarette consumption is belloved not yet to have reached its peale. On the Con tinent cigarettes have grown in favour to an amazing extent. Ger- mans to-day-their fathers were the staunchest of pipe smokers in the world-consume
forly thousand million cigarettes annually, nearly six hundred per head of the popula- (Continued on Page 43