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The Telegraph" reprints an
W
article
E live in days of fear. Gloom is our companion
and apprehension our guide.
People are afraid that depression will come upon us--and by fearing it, they bring depression
nearer.
They are afraid of war. Fortunately they cannot create war simply by dwelling in dread of it. But this fear prevents them from taking a cool and balanced view
A. S. WATSON & CO., LTD. Hongkong Hotel of events.
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ONERINE REPLINNOISTANC
Music hath charms
Sunday Classical Concert
at Repulse Bay Hotel
Under leadership of
Geo. Pio-Ulski
Programme for Sunday, 31st July, 1938.
1 p.m. **** 2.30 p.m. PROGRAMME
1.
Der Freischuetz. Ouverture
2. Flattergeister. Waliz
3. Andante from 5th Symphony
4. La Tosca. Selection
5.
Oriental. Serenade
6. Monte Cristo
Mado. Passe-Doble
For Reservationa
phone 27775,
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Hongkong Telegraph.
THURSDAY, July 28, 1938
BRITAIN HOLDS THE WHISTLE
There is one strange thing about the apprehension that is abroad. It Is not based upon any reasonable version of the frets that exist to-day. it springs from a belief about events that are supposed to lie in the future. It depends upon prediction.
And most of the gloomy prophecies. that are current will not stand one moment's steady Inspection
war-
For instance, there is the punte. What is the source of it?
The knowledge that certain coun- But there tries possess ambitions, always have been ambitions in the world. And only rarely have they
feel to war.
coni -
by" GEORGE MALCOLM
THOMSON
N nny case, people have an entirely mistaken nellon about German strength and reudi ness for war. They pay too much attention to the speeches of German politicians and too little to the equip ment of Gertuan soldiers.
Austria
berause there is one war the Poles. in Spudr And another in China we
into conflict.
They
"WHY THERE WILL
BE NO WAR"
The longkong "Telegraph" is reprinting this article from the London "Evening Standard" The article caused great discussion when it was published in London
Mr. Thanson writes every Wednesday in the well-known and respected London evening journal.
WH
JHAT of the other sup- posed danger spot? What of Spain?
Franco cannot clean up that coun- try for a long time.
The defence will always best the attack.
Other things being equal, the men who advance to the assault are beaten by brave and well-equipped defen- ders.
In the Middle Ages the bow beat the charging knight.
in the
Even when he has made an end of the enemies who face him he last war the machine-gun beat the has still to deal with the fofs who advancing Infantryman.
If there are new instruments at lurk in his rear-some of their lu
disposal of the aggressor now, his own ranks. The moment he hun the finished with Barcelona and Valencia be sure that they will be countered the disaffection among his followers by the ingenuity of man. Invention i always met by counter-invention. WHR Dedi its opportunity.
The tank meets the anti-tank gum, Franco has taken too much foreign the submarine succumbs to the depth- arsistance to be a satisfactory leader charge, the nine is circumvented by for a Nationalist Spain. He appeals the parzvane.
national pride-from behind hedge of foreign bayonets. So his appeal is not impressive.
19
-DAY defence is stronger than ever, owing to the
We have nev
enemy.
The fact that nations are arming
In the Far East I predict that development of the rapid-firing gun. But nations niways have been armed,
As for air attack, I am among the Japanese will follow a more Mr. Neville Chamberlain. Bri-t as a natural impulse for a
conciliatury policy towards Britain. those who say that the menace of The Germano divisions that marched They will do so because they realise the bomber to London is exaggerated, cannot be tain's Prime Minister, has made munity to make its defences strong.
At this moment we are witnesstrag into
were poorly equipped. that it pays them better to share the I believe that London a popular and very shrewd ntove simply a return to the usual state of Their airplanes were obsolete.
Their tanks were of inferior type. China market with us than to shut destroyed by attack from the air.
new age in warfare. us out of it altogether.
And artillery is in sending Lord Runciman to things after the almorini degrer of
may have impressed the Austrians, If they were proposing to close the The rifle is done.
as the rific. disarmament that followed the war. but they did not have much effcet market to us they would require to going the same way Prague. Me has been canny
on the trained observers of foreign conquer and hold down all Chine. The magazine rifle is out of date, T confused notion le that Powers, including the Americans and The Job is too blu
Just ns the musket has passed away. about it, too. But the construe-
The swift fre of the machine-gun The Germans are just anxious
has put out of business. tion placed upon the despatch of
Still, it may be said, the claim
to 148C their influence with the
The gun, too, must go. For cen- President the former
of the ourselves are about to be plunged of the Sudeten Germans to be united Japanese to prevent a complete con- turtes it has been the queen of the
to the Reich may precipitate war, But war is not an in-
quest of China and
complete closure battle. But its relgn must come to Board of Trade to keep an eye fectious disease. It is just as likely
Again 1 mąke a prophecy.
of the market to us. For if we were
an end. In a time of swift move- The Sudeten Germans will make shut out, they would be shut out ment, we will seek a more accurate on the political manoeuvres in that the horrible spectacle of war in
a settlement with the Czechs, accept too. And the Germans sell half as method of launching projectiles of an Czecho-Slovakia's capital, parti-Spain and China will be a deterrent ing a measure of autonomy within much again to the Chinese as we do.
Carcho-Slovakia.
Nor would the Germans he pleased One prediction more: Why? Because while they remain to see the Japanese,
their cularly with respect to the Sude upon the war-impulse.
allies, Industrial recovery In that entntry they serve ten German problem, seems to
instrument of Hitler's polley within war
as an exhausting themselves in an endless the United States.
Brid military occupation of The big crops that will be gathered the Czech State. They can exert China. be just what Mr. Chamberlain
Germany will prefer the on the harvest fields of America will pressure upon the direction of Czech Japanese to keep their hands free bring beneft to the railroads. And is anxious to avoid. Germany
to Germany. policy useful
and their strength undamaged so that here it is not the price of wheat but Besides, and France have apparently
dwell in one of the depressed areas march against Russia.
Sudéten
Germans some day, if need arise, they may the quantity of the harvest that is
Important. jumped to the conclusion that
Europe. If he added them to his subjects Hitler would be taking over Britain has ceased to stand aloof
lower than that of his own people lasting principles which make war yourself with machiner to enable from the affairs of Continental
and who are afflicted with a severe much more of a gamble than some you to share in the harvest of com- Europe and is now going to take
merce and industry that is to come. an active part in their solution. Mr. Chamberlain
was at some pains to point out that Viscount
The Italian railonal economy Is Runciman was going to act en- feeling the strain. Last year they
has not misled Berlin and Paris. They believe the British repre- sentative is to speak for his Government, And who can blame them?
I make this prophecy. There will be no European war now war for a long time to come.
Who is going to make war? Where are we tu seek the evil-doer who is about to plunge us into that ealumity?
Italy? Nothing could improbable.
Le
more of
the
a people whose standard of life is
The Italians have an embarrasing and tuglorious war on their hands As it is. In Abyssinia they have on degree of unemployment. enterprise of colonial development that will call for all their resources
and maybe more.
to £25 millions or less.
And
will come in
So be of good cheer, Dwell not QUT, apart from any local
dismally on the past, but look with considerations, there
are confidence into the failure, and equip
BUT
foolish people seem to think.
A JUBILEE FOR CIGARETTES
tirely independently; but that bad an adverse traile balance of £58T was a war that made first Britain ja rank ead. Chance and self-asser-it, if only its swear-words, quickly
This year trat adverse millions.
and then the rest of Burupetion brought the cigarette smoker adapted himself to the Egyptian balance will be bigger still. Unless elgureite-conscious.
into his own. "Please blow the habit.
In the first few months of 1888 he they can reverse the balance they Although the Western world has candle out," said a hostess to Oscer
Wilde, its smoking." "Happy and his comrades returned home, known tobacco for over three cen- candle," murmured Wilde. The bringing with them the cigarette. will have to pay out gold. their stock of gold probably amounts turies (and before its first appear-osters
took the hint and Wilde Soon there were few communities in ance weed and herb smoking was lighted a cigarette.
any part of the country which did common; clay pipes have been dis-
not include at least one cigarette- Their harvest has been a fallure. covered among Saxon remains), the
That was an example of the self-smoker, and the taste spread. The cigarette just celebrating the They must now import wheat, maybe aftieth anniversary of its arrival into assertion. The chance lay in that, at flies of old newspapers show how as much as two million tons of popular favour.
the beginning of the eighties, a large the bulk of cigarette advertising number of British troops went to suddenly increased. That would cost them £15 millions.
'seventies of Egypt for the Sudon campaign. In Now wars are not made on bad last century, to smoke a cigarette in Egypt cigarettes were an everyday Goschen's Good Turn harvest. War goes with the bursting a public place or to be known to do thing, and the British soldier, who so in solitary style branded you as, has never visited a foreign country granary.
at the least, a bohemian, at the worst, without bringing back something of
In that event where does Germany stand? If that country is our other
source of anxiety, what message do we get from the harvest delds of the Reich?
A message of cheer. Germany is importing three times as much wheat as she did last year.
is
There is really no point in pretending to an isolation and lack of interest which are both equally and obviously impossi- ble. Britain is known to be a champion of peace and the leader of the appeasement programme in Europe. What is more na- tural than that the Government, in order to keep a clear view of events, and incidentally to pre- vent their distortion by the pro- not by any means an Impossi-
problem in Czecho-Slovakia
paganda of one element or an-
bility, but rather a probability. other, should place a responsible
There is always the chance, of and competent man like Vis- count Runciman on the spot? course, that the reaction in the -Reich is inspired-in other French approval of such a
words; that because they could mensure was to be expected.
not very well criticise a nove But the German approbation
obviously made to avoid misun- was not quite so certain. The
derstanding, the Germans have fact that Berlin has offered no
their fingers criticism, but, in fact, has ex- pralsed it with pressed the warmest satisfac-crossed. But that is the thought tion at the British mave rather of a nasty, suspicious nature, removes the suspicion that Ger- and probably quite unjust,' many was not anxious for a set- What Britain is doing in tlement of the Sudeten ques-Prague, it appears, is unofficial- tion. For there was a feeling inly refereeing in what niay be some quarters that trouble termed a semi-final round in across the Czech border suited the German-Czech political con- the plans of Herr Hitler very test, at which Russia and France well. If the German approval and Poland and Italy, and all is sincerely given, then, it means the Balkan states, aro interested that a solution of the minority spectators.
In the sixties and
GRIN AND BEAR IT
NATIONAL VEDICAL
JOURNAL
Cops, cath my United Triare Remeteate, Zar
By Lichty
·FLIGHT
"We gotta have more X-rays, Fisbeel Readers these days demand pictures, pictures and more pictures!"!
New brands appeared. The soldier was not the sort of man to be much deterred by a social prejudice that had already suffered its first defeat. The national revenue from tobacco duties rose sharply in 1888. They would have risen even higher in the following year had not Goschen, in his Budget, roduced the duty by fourpence in the pound as conces- sion to the working man.
Ever since that time the pipe and the elger have been making a gradual retreat before the cigarette. The Great War turned millions of women to smoking; neither the pipe nor the cigar
wan
to Atting them. Now 1 generation has grown up which has never learned, as its fathers night have done, the technique of the pipe, and the elger does not conform with the
speed at which they live their
lives.
To-day, over 150,000,000 pounds of lobacco go into elgarettes a year, and the
fifty thousand million cigarettes which Britons smoke annually re- present three-quarters of the coun- try's entire tobacco consumption. This vast supply would lay a road ten cigarettes wide between the earth und the moon.
Why They Began It
The figures of the United States faro on an even grander scale. As far back ng 1928 Americans smoked ninety-seven thousand milion cigarettes a year, and their elgarette consumption is believed not yet to have reached its peak.. On the Con- tinent cigarettes have grown
in 11 favour to an amazing extent. Ger- mans-to-day-their fathers were the staunchest of pipe smokers in the world consume
forty
thousand millon cigarettes annually, nearly six hundred per head of the popula
(Continued on Page 5.)