HOPEFUL PROSPECTS.

THE HONGKONG- ELEGRAPH TUESDAY, JULY 3, 1917.

THE ALLIED OFFENSIVE, and Cirey, then carves in again to an average of 10,000 men ; and into France at Senones, Ban-de- these figures very often prove the Sapt, to enter Assos near Ste,, maximum numerical strength Marie-aux-Mine, running thence of a German Division. on the Alsatian slopes of the To get an idea of the vanishing Vouges range, down to Thann,"te of the man-power of Ger- Dannemarie, Altkirch and many, we have only to consider Seppois, close to the frontier, the lees active parts of the Wout- The German Retreat Analysed of Switz land. All told, this are front. Fifty-one Divisions between bont from St, Quentin represents holding the sboat 570 kilometres, or 350 Moronvillier and the frontier of miles.

Switzerland, on a 270 mile-front, present about 500,000 man, or nearly 2,000 men per mile, mak- ing an average of only about one in to the yard, or, exactly, even men to every six yards.

[SPECIAL TO THE “TELEGRAPH "| Now that, owing to the arrival of reinforcements withdrawn from the Eastern front, the German retreat has subsided and trench warfare entered a new phase, it is worth while to recapitulate the gaine obtained and review the actual situation of the Allies in

France.

Every where along the Western front, except in its northern part, frem La Basses to the sea, the country is mountainous, especially cutb of Laon, east of Rheims, in the Argonne, round Verdon, at Bun de-Sapt, and all through the Yonges. To start an offensive in

fines

To make it still more clear,

SECO

were the Germans wishing only to double the garrisoning of this front of 270 miles, they would be these mountains would be a

of arcessity, compelled to use the terribly Coxwing Through.

fair. dangerous Verðan remains a practical other 51 Divisione, making there Bat It is known (100ording to a Beater's message dated Jans 26) proof of this assertion: consider total of 102 Division,

where can these. 51 LAW that between 90 and 100 enemy able forces were engaged in an

Divisions be taken

from? Divisions have been withdrawn awful offensive only to obtain

They Gould

from and crusi from the battle since the begin-appalling loasen

nowhere bat from the St. Quentin- ning of the British and French defeat. Hindenburg therefore

Moronvillier front, which would April offensive, and, at bad the idea of attacking

be thus completely evacuated! conservative calculation, these towards the bend in the front, at

And the result of such a Divisions must have suffered at the most delicate point, at the least 250,000 casualties. These junction between the British and casualties would, in fact, imply a French Armier, and he left only loss of only one-fourth of the the required number of troope to total strength of thess Divisions, bold the treaches along the froot

by

the nature in whereas it may be taken for fortified granted that a still larger pro- mountains. Our incessant and portion of loeses necessitated bard pressing assaults shattered

his plane,

their actual withdrawal.

ern

According to Mr. H, W. Allen,.

270

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three yards on their front from Moran Tillier to the Swiss frontier, CHINA'S LATEST UPHEAVAL leaving disastrous gap of $1 miles undefended! They would then have only about two men to Sir,What the late President the yard, whereas the French Xuan Shib-kai, clever, sb'e and strategista calculate 10 men to the intelligent in a high degree, The result in that masses of the yard to resist or deliver an offen- could not successfally accomplish, the well-known war correspond. German Army are concentrated sire. This shows the atter deple. Geceral Chang Fes, who has been aply described as a man "of no ent, at the beginning of April between the ses and the Saippetion of German man-power, laat, there were 143 German River skirting the Moröarillist The truth seems really to be tact or diplomacy and of less Divisions in Fracoe, and 147 beights, or front of 170 miles. that there are only some 153 or political sag city," has been able according to Reuter in a mee- The Britieb, including the Belgian 155 Divisions in the snemy lines to do How has it been done? saga from London dated June 26 Army, hold about 90 miles of it on the Western front. I take this The explanation is simple Yasu There are now 153 Divisions, or and the French, including the from Reuter's telegram of Jane Shib-kai attempted to re-tablish 28 from London, and from the the Monarchy with himself as 155, secording to the Gaulois Bussian Army, shout 80 miles. (Paris, Jans 26) or to Renter, Facing the French, on their statement of the Galois at even Emperor by a procesa, that wand (London, the same date). The whole frons of 350 miles as far se date, and this including 12 Divi- vary ingenis but at the same variety of sources of information Switzerland, there 102 ions of Reserve! In plain time much too elaborate, and shows that these figures are very German Divisions and though the figures, this means that the his attempt was made inoppor- reliable. The conclusion is there German positions facing the Garmans have no only 1,550,- tunely. Chang Fat, on the other fore that 253 Divisions, at least, French lines are naturally ferlifi 000 men to oppose the Allies in hand, is an admirable example of were required successively by the ed, it may be safely supposed that France and Belgium, whereas the the poet' belief that "foola inab Germone to resist on their West- the greater part of these 102 British Army alone, in France, in, where angels fear to read."

frontasmely, the 100 Divisions is need against the front today, exceede these figures! If Not that Chang Fan is precisely Divisions, or thereabouts, which of the present offensive between we take into account. that the fool, or that Yuan Shih-kai in any were so much decimated that they St. Quentin and Moronvillier. French Army to day representa way comported himself augelical- were afterwards necessarily with- On the other hand, if we exfoulate still over 4,000,000 combatante; ly! Still it is perfectly clear that drawn, plus the 153 st present that it is only reasonable that the the Belgian, about 200,000; the bad Yaan adapted the drastic still opposing the Allies. Of offensive should necessitate three Russian, about 15,000; the methode by which Chang has ↑ courts, particular Divisions may times more troops than on the Portuguese 30,000; the American, brought about his extraordinary have been twice withdrawn and less active parts of the front, then one expeditionary Corps, the coup d'etat he would have been twice reformedy but this shows there must by about fifty-one namercial saperiority is now equally successful. There need be the strain imposed on the German German Divisions on the French undoubtedly in favour of the no doubt, however, that Chang's Army.

active front of 80 miles and about Allies. We can now oppose four euccess will be of a very evanescent Bindenburg had 43 Divisions the same sumber of Germosa men to every German.

description, as it is impossible for of available

bis Divisions

This of itself explains why the China ever again to tolerate the the remaining Western front; out of these, portion of 270 miles, which is Germans are so anxious to avert Manchas. Ohang Fuu has over thirty-two were consumed by the three times greater than the front the danger of a Russian offensive reached himself and will soon Allies offensivs between April 9 from the Scavine to the Suippe in the East, to save men for their find that his triumph will be very and 27, according to Mr. EL W. Rivers.

simies and therefore to import la short-lived. How be was tolerat Allen's report, and a dozen In the same manner, to stend bar by any means and from every ed so long by the Republicans Divisions, or thereabouts, is no the British cffensive, the Germans where. Hence also their ancese when they were in the ascendancy more than sufficient for him to were obliged to mses 51 Divisions ingforts to create a diversion at will long remain a mystery. He contemplate any powerful attack against the 90 mile-front from the rest of the Western front in was openly aggressive of their with a chance of sucozse. the sea to St. Queatin. Allow creating diplomati: complications onjta and bag now opposed them Part of these losses has become ing the same proportion of Ger- in Spain with their pirate ships, most dramatically. The reply of of some value to the Allies; in an Divisions as above, to man and starting a campaign on the the Southern Provinces will soon faat, from the 16th to the 30th the trenched from the ses to necessity of incressing the deter nine what is likely to be the of this extraordinary of April, the French captured Ypres, which seems the less active Spanish Army. Against what realt 21,350 prisonere, and British part of the Northern front, name nations would this increase be

Chinese puzzle." counted 19,343, making a total of ly six Divisions, then there must be directed? A glance at the map. 40,693 men, equal to fon: German forty-five Divisions concentrates will provide the snewer, plainly Divisions. This roat led naturally between Ypres id St. Quentin, stowing who ate the neighbours to a big loen of German material on a 60-mile front, or abɔut;

of Spain. alao, during that same fortnight, 8,000 Germse per mile, giving

We must remember that the namely:-

an average of about five men to first German

that Army the yard in the cffensive ares, invaded Belgium, Luxemborg To explain these figures, I and France numbered OTEL would like to refer the reader to

2,000,000 men of the best Saiylugpun. School v, Middlesex Trenob Mortare-227 were ac- the report of Mr. B. W. Allen. trained class. The Germans had

· Regt. (B. Co.). counted for by the British and This war correspondent, who is then by far the numerical and 118 by the French; total, 348

Last evening, the members of Geually well informed, telegraph material superiority. The above Machine-gune.470 fell into ing from the French Besd- figures show that they lost in the Baiyingpan School Chess British hende and 412 into French quarters on the 1st of May, gave retrievably the former ascendency team, winners of the Hongkong bands; total, 852, or more than the following estimate of the and they lost the latter as well. School Chess Championship for the whole amount of machine German Army situation; such since Krapp was obliged to start 1917, visited Monet Austin for a gana.composing the armament of figures reproduced in building new gan factories in friendly match with B Company,

reserves

Heavy and Field Cane-257 taken by the British and 180 by the French; total, 437.

were

(

Yours, &c.,

J. r. M. Hongkong, July 3, 1917.

CHESS MATCH.

the whole Bassian Armice in 1904, the London Daily Chronicle. order to create a new armament 25th Middlesex Regiment. An before the Manchurian contest. Mr. B. W. Allen says an into counteract the tanks, the super enjyable evening was passed,

Aeroplopes. 269 German fantry

Company now rarely tanks and the new French 20-inch and sfter a keen struggle, the machines were brought down by exceeds 150 mea and the regu- the British and 97 by the French lation strength of a Carman logans. They can, of course, build 8siyingpun boys won by 13 A new armament, but they cannot games to 21. The games of during the month of April, mak" fantry Battalion is to-day 750 mon.manufacture new men; the more boards 1, 2 and 3 were parti- ing a total of 366,

though many battalions have that go, the less men they will cularly interesting and attracted These figures convey their own actually, no more than 600 men get to man their war machines, a large number of spectators. story and help as to form a more including about 100 suxiliar. The few men remaining must accurate idea of the considerable iss. Now, German Division fight intensely, and Hindenburg

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losses offered by the enemy dur- consists of three Lafantry Begi himself was obliged to stimulate swing of a battle, a somewhat ́ing his famous strategical retirements of three Battalions of five them in the following language; prolonged withdrawal on an im- Companies each, giving the "You know the stake and what

portant part of the front. "I may following figures:-150 men per you have to do. Look around you conclude with a termark by at the destruction of cities and General Oberfila:----"A further Company, is five Companies -750 The British have extended their Battalione of 750 men make 2,250 with which you see our own turn into a debole, so that the men in the Battalion, Thas thrre felds, of forests and of custries, retreat at the present time could front on a length of 140 kilometres,

men per Infantry Regiment, and Fatherland threatened, and, in actual limited but powerfal or, say, about 90 miles, from the thres Infantry Regiments of 2,250 worse degree, if we are not the counter-fasives of the Boches North Sea shorea (Lombarigyda

victore l'

can only have in view either of being one mile and a half, north men make the Division, 6750 men. The Artillery of a Division

Ih. face of: these figurna, it is there achievements: delay our of Newpars and within one mile consists of from 9 to 12 batteries, easy to realise that the das will advance till their new line of south of the harbour of Westende) that is to Bay, an storage of con ocme when another collapse retreat is fully ready to receive down to the northern saburbs of

2,000 men... There are also of the German front will take them, or try to wear our offensive Bi. Quentin. Tae French front machine gansera to the number place. If they now do not shorten out till it resolves into #lall more extends from St. Quentin to Bheims, Verdon (150 miles distant of 500 men. Reckoning one or their front, it is either because favourable to a new withdrawal." two squade of cavalry, represent the new positions to which they lack of men in the German from R: Quentin), then goes rounding about 200, men, and finally will have to withdraw are not yet. The lead the powerful means SUZUKI & CO. St. Kittel to Pont Mouson, Nomsey, Parray, here if all apps and men of the sazility ready, or because of the imminent stack of the Allies are the seme eslent into Lorraine at Avricourservice, as 800 men, in rond danger of ordering, in the fall reasons of the Garmen retient.

"Agures this reduces the Division

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