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ARE THE ALL'ES WNNING?}

DE. DILLON'S OPINIONS

Under the title Shall we wait and sco further a remarkably outspoken article on the position of the Allies in the war is contributed to the rightly Review by Dr. E. J. Dillon, ne bief: Correspondent of the Daily Alegraph, who proved his foresight by predicting early last year that Bulgaria puid join the Germans.

Dr. Dillon's opinions are histown, re- marks a London daily of May 12th, but they are set forth with his usūți vigour aud knowledge in the extracts thich wo print below. He says:

There is probably no people if Europe more easily deluded than the Batish nor any that contents itself more readily with flinny excuses for the blinders of its chosen leaders. The bulk of the Bei- tish people are still patient, trudful, and of good cheer. Notwithstanding the most sinister deterrents they dill seem willing to ge ou “playing the unme,” und follow their leuder even though he prove a pied piger hurrying thêu to the abyer,

The story of Warsaw may be repented at Verdun, "Already," the Germans tell us, wo have attained one moment ous result; we have broken up tie Allies? boasted offensive in the spring. e' have denli a stunning blow to the French from which they are not likely soon to pcover. France is too weak to hold her present line abridged though it has been by the increased share, taken by the kritish. It is the English whose ture has now 2014 to bear the brunt of the war and supply men as well as money. In words their pitch is high and strenuous, but, in dreus it is fittul and low. We have obtained these advantages far cheaply than the French or British have the Courage to avow. Our losses ire, 19 mearly as possible, half the total léged! by our enemy, whereas theirs, are not less than oura.

The enemy is still attacking and attacking violently. The Allies, as usual, on the defensive, amply supplied, one piously" hopes, with men and muri. tions. And the nation is watching eager ly and waiting patiently for the promised great offensive in spring.

more

The war is still being waged or our Allies ferritory. The Central Empires (Germany and Austria) are immune from the hardships of foreign invasion, The discomforts which the blockade is inflict- ing on them are as nothing compared with these. Belgium is German. "The richest departments of France are Ger- man. Berbia and Montenegro av Ger- man. The mineral wealth, the great metallurgical works and factories and artisans of all these countries have been lost to the Allies and this loss has been doubled by their employ ment against us. And as we have not contrised to keeps so we have failed to reover there. Nay, we are still loging grund..

STRONG BLOWS NOT SPARCHES.

This war will not be terminated by 'sperenica", ahane, victory, but by freig blows on the battletislas. And, it is tor the purpose of having them deals from the plenitude of the Empire's power that a Mar-waging Ministry should take the place of the well-incaning master of logical fence who we Jod the nation to the verge of rain.

The Germans are still strong, much stronger than is commonly assumed. The story of the melting away of their re serves to 700,000 is a puerile fabrication. They claim that they and their Austrian ally are turning out more high explosives a week then the Allies and the United States combined. For they have no -slackers, no conscientious objectors, but only selfless patriots and a Government which compels the few unwilling to du their duty.

.

It is these qualities and the perfect organisation based upon them that en able the Central Empires to turn out 460,000 shella a day. The total of our output is wisely kept secret.

We are not winning this war. To con vey any other impression to the public would be cruel and unpatriotic What is more, we cannot and shall not win it unless we change our system and its champions and alter our course at once. The crucial question is whether, before it is too late, the nation will displace the leaders who are wasting instead of utilising its resources in men, munitions, and money.

THE KING ON RUSSIAN VALOUR.

BROTHERHOOD OF ARMS.

The King, who came up from Windsor for the purpose, received at Buckingham Palace the members of the Russian Duma who are visiting Great Britain. After they had been presented, his Majesty addressed them as follows:

NORTH SEA STRATEGY.

MR. BALFOUR'S HINT OF CHANGES.

Something in the letter Mr. Balfour to the Mayors of Lowestoft and Yarmouth will be not a little disquieting to students of naval war, writes the naval correspon-

ent of The Times. The First Lord appeara Gentlemen of the Council of the to adumbrate a reversal of that policy of offonsive defence which has been follow- Empire and of the Dung

I am very happy to receive you in myed by our forefathers with uncress since, capital and to offer you a cordial wel King Edward III. fought the Battle of come on your visit to my country; Slays in 1340, and Drake singed the beard Some years ago my dear father received of the King of Spain nearly 200 years the representatives of the distinguished later. The frontiers of England are bodies of which you, gentlemen, are the coasts of the enemy." Only once did menihers, and I consider it a privilege our rulers voluntarily adopt an attitude that. I am enabled to meet you hereof passive resistance as an exchange for to-day. My pleasure in doing so is

one of active, resolete opposition, and much enhanced by the opportunity thus given me to convey to you, and through then the Hollander came up the Medway you to the great Russian Empire, the and destroyed the ships off Chatham heartfelt desire of myself and of my people that the relations of our two countries should become even closer and more intimate. To-day we are pursa ing a common ain in the brotherhood of arnis. May we remain firmly and lastingly united when we have tagether attained the vietorics for which our armed forces are now so valiantly fighting.

I can assure you, gentlemen, that the whole nation has followed with the Keenest interest and the deepest admira tion the marvellous feats of arms performed by the gallant Russian troops throughout this war and the brilliant achievements which, jointly with the Russian naval forces, They have recently accomplished, in the face of formidable difficulties, in the Ottoman Asitic provinces of the Empire.

Con

I have conveyed on various occasions to ay dear cousin and Ally, the Em- peror, your august Sovereign, my warm congratulations on the victories of his armis, and I do not desire to let. this opportunity pass by without per- sonally expressing to you my hearty acknowledgment of the eminent services rendered to the common cause by Rus sian skill, courage, and endurance.

NAVAL ACHIEVEMENTS.

The Armies of our two countries are engaged in felds widely distant, but I rejoice to think that my gallant sai ors have been able to render services in concert with their Russian comrades, and that in other ways my country has gladly given what I believe to be useful and effective help.

The consolation which Mr. Balfour offers to those who have suffered, and those who fear they may still suffor, from raids such as that which took place on the East Coast on April 25th is of doubtful character These good folk will hardly be made less apprehensive for the safety of their lives and goods by being told that the raiders incur a serious risk when pay- ing these visits, or that the bombardment of their towns offers no military advantage to the enemy. The Germans do not undertake enterprises of this nature save for some definite purpose, to which in all probability the destruction of private property and non-combatants bears mere- ly an indirect relation. The date of the fast raid was fixed, it is likely enough, in connection with the Irish rising, but the military object of these adventures is to bring about a redistribution' of our naval forces which shall be to the advant- age of the wily and unscrupulons foe.

GENERAL NAVAL POLICY, After the attack made on Scarborough and the Hartlepools in December, 1914, the Admiralty issued a statement in which it was pointed out that although these raids may cause loss of life among tho civil population and damage to private property, they must not in any circum- stances be allowed to modify the general naval policy which is being pursued." The soundness, sense, and strength of this line of action were deservedly acclaimed by the whole nation at the time. Those who had clamoured for some local pro-

tection, and others who had asked "What is the Navy doing?" wère sileno. d. I trust, gentlemen, that during your visit to this country you will be able. The satisfactory nature of the disposi to assure yourselves of the whole tions made by the Commander-in-Chief, hearted vigour with which my whole and of the policy thus expressed by the Empire is performing its part in this Admiralty, was fully justified later on. simperious war, and its determination The enemy, undeterred by the perils in- to make every naerify in furtherancevolved in the undertaking, attempted to

of the catise which and iny Allies repeat the adventure, and was soundly have at heart. When you return home I am sure you will be able to inform your fellow-countrymen, that they can midently rely on the support and hearty co-operation

British prople

drubbed by the British forces under Bir David Beatty of the Dogger Bank on January 24th, 1913.

VI iku ....

I would also wish to express my sin cere hope that the two countries, with their great resources and their immense possibilities, will understand that it is for the benefit of both to establish close intercourse. Every nation can learn from another and give to another; the better they know each other, the more true that becomes, and I earnestly hope that our two countries will give

Cam of their best to each other munity of interests in this respect will go far to strengthen the bonds which at present unite the two nations.

Mr. Balfour's reply to the expostula- tions of the citizens of Lowestoft an1 Yarmouth is, in effect, that they may expect comparative immunity from raids in future owing to alterations which are being mad in the distributions of our naval forces. The underlying suggestion is that as no repetition of these raids was expected no adequate preparations had been made to meet them; that now, however, a recurrence has taken place certain movements are under way for the purpose of affording protection to this part of the coast In effect, that the general naval policy is in process of change, certain modifications having been imposed upon the Admiralty by the It is true that the action of the enemy. First Lord adds that these moveisenta can be carried out without in the least imperilling our naval preponderance That is an assurance the elsewhere.

I wish you, gentlemen, a pleasant stay in this country, and 1 trust you will carry away with you a happy re collection of your visit to these shores. M. Protopopoff replied as follows:- On behalf of the Legislative Chambers of Bassin I beg to thnak your Majesty country must be glad to have. What it most warmly and deeply for your Mamay well ask is, why they were revealed jesty's gracious reception and for the at the instance of a deputation from the friendly feelings you, Bir, have been raided towns pleased to express towards the Russian Mr. Balfour indicates the alterations nation. I can assure your Majesty that in the disposition of our squadrons on the high appreciation which you have the East Coast as threefold. Important been kind enough to express in regard to the Russian, military and naval forces presumably based upon some port which forces are to be brought southwards, and will be of the highest value to them in my hitherto not been made use of for this arduous and terrible struggle, in this purpose.

It will require no wild which your Majesty's sailors and soldiers guess on the part of the enemy to ascer take, together with France and our other in both the composition of these forces Allica, such a powerful and glorious and the harbour at which they are to be part. We beg again to thank you, sir,stationed. Their aerial scouts will give most humbly and deeply.

friends.

It is a mischievous fallacy that time is on our side. The Germans still have

them all the information they require. A between 7 and 8 million men, to draw

further deduction is obvious. As the Ger from, and their quality will be approxi- mately equal to that of the Allies I

mans anly use vessels of the highest speed go further, and assert that they dispose The people of Great Britain, loth to for the raids, the forces to deal with of nearly two millions of their best admit that their heroic Ally (France) has them, in order to be effective, must have troops, whom they have kept back for fared so badly (as the Germans allege), a similar quality, as well as a preponder the coup de grâce. The attempt to ex-

cling to the belief that the great spring ance of gun-power. The weakness of this haust them by attrition appears futile. offensive will strike the Teuton with dis- strategical change seems to lie in the sub

On the water we are more fortunate may and hearten ourselves and our stitution of squadrons in fixed positions. None the less, even there conditions have widely circulated Preen organ tells us which we have been officially told the But Senator Humbert in his on our own coast for the periodical sweeps €7-18 changed to our detriment. A time has

come when every nation, however insigni France has accomplished fally, and battle fiert was in the habit of making ficant its Navy, may, if it possessed i more than fully, her share in the common through the length and breadth of the sufficient number of submarines, cripple task. Has not the moment come to take North Sen, and which had such a fruit- or ruin the seaborne commerce of its this into account!" enemy. And that is the task which the Germans have set themselves to-day. If they can so paralyse our foreign trade that we shall be relatively isolated and absolutely impoverished, they will have brought frightfulness in its worst shage

to terrorise ̈us"

A WAR CABINET.

An acquaintance of mine sets down the loss of commercial shipping since the beginning of this struggle at over 2,000,000 tons. Our losses continng with a tendency to increase rather than diminish. Our commercial fleet is being whittled at both ends by the enemy an the one side and by ourselves and our Allies on the other. It has now become possible to determine how long we can tand the strain of this process, which is intensified by the further trouble that he submarines are not only reducing our tonnage below our abnormal require nents but are rendering it occasionally impossible for us to utilise even the trans

porta available.

la it right, then, to proclaim that time

is on our sidel

4.

It is highly probable that after a while the consequences of this naval semi- paralysis will make themselves felt in this country and most scutely among the working classes.

(Contrayed on next Column.)

Can inefficiency hope to

SUBMARINES AND MONITORS..

On the part of our Russian Allies weful outcome in the early part of the war. can rely upon grandiose exploits of heroism, but miracles cannot be expected.

The other new defensive measures are We do not stand a chance of winning concerned with the use of submarines and if the war continue to be conducted some time longer by the men of routine. To monitors. As regards the submarines, these placed politicians the struggle in these are lurking beasts, and so far have hardly yet a reality, be to beat effetency, els ruuving at high speed. Both in the never proved ability to torpedo res- chaos triumph over organisation, the Right affair and off the Dogger Bank Bir blind force of the angry bull match the David Bratty found no great difficulty intelligent manœuvres of the matador?in avoiding their attack upon the swiftly The corollary to the negative anawera moving battle cruisers by the use of the which the queries must evoke in the dis-helm. Experience rather points to the placement of the Government respon-employment of the under water boats av a sible for the lack of plan, the disorgan menace to the raiders when returning to isation of the nation's forces, and the their own lair, and when a reduction dissipation of its substance.

of speed may be necessary on enfering The stereotyped answer to all demands their own minefields buch a reduction, for a change of Government is the in-would be the more necessary if there was posibility of finding any successor to the Premier. Is that plea admissible? suspicion of our having laid fresh Will it be seriously maintained that mines after they had left port and in

their homeward track. there is no strong man in Great or Great- er Britain who would not conduct the affairs of the country much more success fully than the men responsible for the Dardandles fiasco, for the Mesopotamian expedition?

What is needed is not a pulitical but a war Cabinet, not a little Parliament of 22 theorists, but half a dozen live men. By such a committee the mistakes of the past might possibly be repaired.

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defence is the most disturbing feature The proposed use of monitors for coast of the whole scheme, These slow, un wieldy machine which, as the official as to afford complete protection. Built Eye Witness" at the Dardanelles said to operate in shallow, tidelers waters, this wobbled into port, steering wildly may method of using them could hardly bave as fixed floating forts act as a bait to the been in the mind of their designer. To cuemy, but it can hardly be proposed to employ them for defence instead of offence station them in such number on the coast is directly contrary to all the generally (Continued on next Columa) -received notions of British naval strategy,

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