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THE CHINA MAIL, APRIL 21, 1941.
JAPAN STILL IN FEAR OF
OF THE SOVIET
(This is the fifth of several uncensored articles appearing in the "Manila Bulletin" on the Pacific "war of nerves" as seen from
thin Japan by an American observer).
MAKING NEW
ENEMIES
AS
JAPAN IS RAPIDLY AS POSSIBLE, BUT HER ONE TRADI- TIONAL FOE RUSSIA · CONTINUES TO HOLD THE HONOURED POSITION IN DEFENCE PLANS.
The opinion long has prevailed in the islands that some time, somewhere, a second Russo-Japan- ese war is inevitable. The two countries were on the verge of it in 1939, but Moscow had more important projects on hand. Tokyo, aware of the probable con- calm her hot-tempered sequences, managed to
Kwantung army officers who were all set for a de- cision fight.
Now, the enigmatic attitude of the Soviets is one of the two most effective brakes on Japanese ex
The serenal
the poder pr Inated States Navy A has bren mentioned belate. Japanese ON- pansionusis
respotisive dy
1
IN
far
('11-
opening of the Harbin-Vladivos- tok railroad, which the Japanese closed in 1931; the right to run sealed trains to Dairen; recogni- tion of Soviet sovereignty over Outer Mongolia and Sliking, and Ninghsia provinces,
The
Stalling
Japanese,
oln touts.
Can
grant only the last of these de- hands. if they expect to avoni domestic trouble If the list is a Russian Correct synopsis of the wishes, it is clear Stalin is sim- ply staling.
He is holding the Japanese ni arm's length also by refusing to sign a permanent shenies treaty and by delaying any tangible de-
the it velopment
commercial negotiations which have been un- der way
Moscow for several months.
Violent
It must strit his sense of hum- our to note the Japanese patience with
methods dilatory Such Kwantung army into starting which. a year ago, would have
provoked
anti-Russian somewhere in Manchukuo.
development Another
at least. Tokyo press outbursts, Assuming spokesmen, who now claim nego- more likely, however
tiations between the two coun - that Moscow's policy is to courage worldwide warfare, wait
tries are proceeding "amicably." armies to knock each used to describe Russia's foreign for rival other out, then pick up the pieces, policy as the "actions of a hysteri- the Suviets would have an excel-¡cal għi." Busta has plenty of real and lent opportunity in the Far East.
{་¢tct! belund her
American Japanese thetical
An
fubtless, would nivan the end of marked activities in the Fin East
She holds the Japanese
time. empire m Tempor dy at least,
to tmer
Part
WIR
POSOLVIN
war.
113
Russia's tactical position, of ecuree, is the major reason why Sta:in now has the upper hand. But the Sovicts wen part of their influence by defeating the Japanese at Nomonhan in 1939. More Than Skirmish
That border skirmish bas as- sumed amazing importalice
chplomatic develop- ¦ subsequent
ments Three overlapping battles were fought, the Japanese win- ning the first two against untrain- ed Soviet "shock troops." Then command poured the Red army good German mechanised equip- ment and some of their best men to the struggle, animalulating a Japanese artifery division renting sout cars some 40 miles within Manchukuo before peace We declared
the whip hand, and she is play-, Even if the Nipponese army re- maibed as a hallwark in Manchu- ang he advantage to the limit
Belare the diplomatre inlette kuo, its mechanised forets would
short
Tuel at 1
ot desperately the chip. whiteh Tuit Stabin's pocket.
1. Y. fu Japan's reserve gasoline Russia ante Jagain, Joking for a non aggon, sufficient for one year. An attack
That way
In 1936, before on the Indies might exhaust hadti
of this amount, because Tukye signed the alta comntern
aut at present they Germany
are not adding Staccament
Ripa's
Dutch destruc idea
to to theat Italy
tion of Indian wells, por lo aby thwart this pact and protect he
ell, but the Japanese atmy lun Sucre ful landing, would ed down the proper ition because another year's wait before Japan any considerable they shortaghtedly be eyed they could acquire
11. because the le
on:1 on top 1214 would be
States the Planted
would embargo pean estat ly
hipmartits immediately mport of the Kwan- younger offing Tunat my 1dl yond the Mar Japanese manch
Prex Tee Vidivo fok and
Mongola
Angdumada
יקוז:1
Categ
Fol
1411
J
At But tor
49911 ame elf-detetue
Of Doubtful Worth
To day, the odds have chang Cit
wants Japan
}
10:
Navy Caution
1110
Th would be a logical manent for Hus a to tep m. attempt to
Alanchukire more of the Japanese en-
14b meinding pe as pess abies,
toutual Segments in north cana These are the arguments the navy has been impressing upon the army in order to delay the The southward programme. country could not be secure, as Jong as the Russian menace re
unshackled, and the mained fleet, as defender of the home. land, is aware of it. >1
CON the her expan aggression pact
Anil it badly onits want Stalin merely
smiles and
Foreign MUL members; treats ister Yosuke Matsuoka to a free train ride and an interview and, merely a neutrality pact. the worth of which is doubtful. Without
ARSUPANC mimetox dy. Katy kan
IL Japanese An match would be dangerous. allack upon the Dutch East In- dies, for example, would neces- sitate a large array of capital bulk of flanking the warships available transports, breâuse loss of man power is extremely high,
any assault against a well- defended island
coastline. Naturally. the Japanese would leave as many warships in herme waters as could be spared with-
the foredooming onit
southern
expedition.
Vulnerable Flank
The Jitters
Shortly after that drplay ol Strength, Mopeow signed the new famiral reageressIDGE PR WHE
Within X Get malay
lew, weeks, The Soviet attack against Finland hergash.
Japan retired some of her lend- ing officers in disgrace and imme- diately
long-rang" mechanisation programme for an amy that hoved itself hopeless- ly nutria ed with the tanks and cars previously at its armured
in Later thi posal
a boundary siemarcation. trealy-deta's
!hegaH
uf
I which have never been published The Soviets kept much of the and they had won.
Actually, the Japanese muvy has
to-day lear one gival
That a Russian submarine wil streak
ani Soviet Der Tag and torpedo close to Japati American vessel carrying evacuvos
small Russian bombing of a Officers the United to
States. believe, an probably correctly, railroad station, Filaerchi, near that such an incident would pro- the Nonni river nearly precipitat- voke an immediate American-ed fighting on a much wider scale in the middle of the Nomonhan Japanese conflict, with no one in the United States willing to be incident. Kwantung officers were lieve that a Japanese submarine both frightened and angry by the them be- Asjattack, and many of had not committed the act. one officer said. "We can't stand ved the time had come for what another Panay."
they considered an essential Japa- nese drive against Russian out- posts, notably Vladivostok, which is within easy bombing range of Tokyo quieted the hot- This particular brand of jitters Japan. was prompted by the fact that heads after thrce tense days.
submarines have been Soviet
Some day, the Japanese believe, increasingly active lately around Stalin will attempt to avenge the Russian defeats which One of them chal-series of Vladivostok. in
lenged and stopped a Japanese have characterised Japan's north- freighter in the Japan sea a few ward expansion, Simultaneously, is fretting weeks
officials, the Kwantung army ago. Japanese
with friendship hankering for
to repay the Soviets for Nomon- Russia, made no protest for this han, a dark chapter in their mili- incident, although they consider tary carcers.
Meanwhile, Japanese expansion- and foreignists hope and pray that the sea as "our lake."
Many Japanese observera, believing that Stalin way may be found to postpone American the day of reckoning, until Japan actually wants an Japanese war, are puzz'ed by can build up her war machine his disinclination, to accept the with the raw materials they ex- of the find in the path A quick and pect to obvious course:
that Japan "southward programme." assurance could proceed southward with. out Russian interference, in the hope that it would result soon In warfare.
But if Russia chose to strike hard at that moment, in revenge for past wrongs, the Japanese Hank would be comparatively vulnerable. At least 80 Soviet submarines
based are now Vladivostok. Hundreds of nero-i planes reportedly are available in that area for duty and a con- certed aerial attack would wipe out Japan's great industrial cities, Osaka, Kobe, Yokohama and Tokyo, which consist mainly of flimsy wooden houses.
drills
Anti-air raid
are held twice annually throughout Japan that in useless preparation for
who The people eventuality.
bland hopelessly inept. participate are But even well-trained fire-fighters would have go chance against the holocaust that incendiary bombs would start in Japan. The ab- sence of air raid shelters would mean a frightful loss of life.
"Number One Enemy"
The fact that Japanese believe the Soviets capable of such a re- venge war is indicative of their deep distrust of this "number one enemy."
Theoretically, auch a develop ment is possible, as the aftor- math of warfare which the Sa- vieta could easily taunt the
Stalin may come to that later. him to keep At present it suits
Wide-
the
Japanese dangling,
"ANGEL” OF ST. DUNSTAN'S.
has made exorbitant demands as matron the
some
spread reports in Tokyo said he Miss Winifred Boyd-Rochfort, of St. Dunstan's - and price
of a non-aggression once called by the blind men "our
has died
Park at pact. These include, according to angel"
rumours in diplo Hall, St. Dunstan's Annexe, Brigh- unconfirmed
circles: Return of all ton.
the matic
could not obey Manchukuo north of Harbin and As she
attend at command to the old Chinese Eastern Railway King's
some "face-saving, Buckingham Palace the O.B.E., (probably for
In the New consideration"); return of Kara-which was granted
(southern Saghallen); re- 'Yeur's Honours, was sent to her.
'futo
"