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THE CHINA MAIL, APRIL 14, 1939.

The China Mail

Ninety-Third Year of Publication

SA Wyndham Street, Hong Kong.

FN

Telephone 20022

London Office:

mocracies are not mistaken for cowardice. Peace is more prob. able if the actual position is clarified and the determination and ability to resist under- cer- tain provocation is made plain.

Thus it is entirely possible that such moves as Britain has just announced and those which have been taken in the United States since Munich will bring about a condition where positive

7, Garrick Street, London, W.C.2 peace-making tan begin. The

active policy pursued by Presi dent Roosevelt has been one of Notice To Contributors.

the biggest factors in the regain. All communications intended for ing of the initiative by the demo- cracies. And the support for publication should be addressed to this policy given by a large part of the country has made it more the Editor, and be accompanied by effective. The close-reasoned wall and statesmanlike declaration the the_Writer's 'Name and Address, other day by Mr. H. L. Stimson has had great weight and should not necessarily for insertion but a Lives of American policy in be studied. It puts the alterna-

a guarantee of good faith.

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Hong Kong, Friday; April 14, 1939.

F

DEMOCRACIES REBOUND

clearer light than has yet been thrown on them. And it re- inforces the point that clarifica- tion of purpose and preparation to support that purpose may be the surest road to peace.

The New War

HT

British · opinion has rapidly tended of late to move · away from the theory in the World War; and it must now be accept- ed as a probability that Britain would not again send abroad. a powerful expeditionary force on the scale of 1914-18.

The French proverb which says

But if this decision should be that "to talk of love is to make taken, it must not for a moment love" apparently does not apply be supposed that Britain would put anything less than the whole to war. More than a few peace of its power into the prosecution minded people have been seriously of war. Its aim would be nothing alarmed by talk of war and pre- less than to defeat the aggressive parations for war in demoncra-purpose of the enemy, by the best if not the most spectacular means. tic countries recently. And A powerfully equipped modern plainly such measures as partial army, with the newest weapons, mobilisations do not heal under-in a fortified position, cannot be lying conflicts. Yet London talks successfully attacked except by a force overwhelmingly superior. about 37 British divisions going The task of defending such an invader to France in case of war, Britain frontiers against is not making war in anything would not be the biggest task of

a modern war. but a diplomatic sense, and—if recent experience is a criterion -may be pushing war farther away.

The idealism which sought to make the League of Nations a substitute for war revolts at a fantastic arms race and at mili tary threats. Yet it appears that in the present stage of the world's thinking, to talk of war

ao

War- to-day is described totalitarian." It is likely to in- volve every able-bodied man and woman. In the first place, air power has entirely altered the position. The "front" now may be anywhere. The defences must be far behind the lines, not less than at the front. Secondly, suc cess at every stage will depend on superiority of equipment, and of transport, and on the supplies of raw materials and food.

and disease. This is the butter may be one way of staving of If war should come, it will be

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Britain's part to maintain, equip war. This is the motive actuat- and man an air force capable of ing the warnings both of Mr. meeting that of the enemy in at- Chamberlain and President tack and in defence of the home. Roosevelt. War talk from those land, and in defence of the fleet; secondly, to maintain command who will not go to war except in of the sea, protect sea transport, defence of vital interests is safer and carry food and supplies; than the boastful belligerence of thirdly to

| dictators in "unsatisfied" coun- cluding anatain an army; in-

tries.

No one can think, of course, that warnings improve the situs tion. Even if peace is preserved, there can be almost as much dan- ger and injustice in a new status quo based on democratic. mant as in the post-Versailles status quo which gradually integrated into the

Munich There is nee

appeasement

must be justice

expeditionary forcé, but not necessarily a vast one; fourthly, to keep war and other industries at maximum pressure,. perhaps under constant threat of air attack.

· One must envisage the whole iation

ing

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