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THE CHINA MAIL, OCTOBER 25, 1938.

The China Mail

Ninety-Third Year of Publication

tial military force capable of worrying the Japanese- by its mere existence and of exacting toll of the invader on ground sel- ected by the defenders, rather than in fighting pitched battles

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lery and mechanised ́ divisions furnish an enormous advantage. It may well be doubted whether it was worth China's while, apart from sentimental considerations, to fight things out round Canton with such forces as were at the command of the Fourth Route Army, and it is conceivable that nothing would have pleased Gen- eral Hata more than to have the Generalissimo gather into the Wuhan sector large forces which could be systematically destroy- ed by the concentrated weight of Japan's converging armies co- operating with naval guns and hundreds of heavy bombers. China's cause is better served by the Generalissimo's decision to play on General Hata the trick played by the Germans on the Western Front during the Great War, cause him to assemble all resources for a great attack, only to find the opposition" disappear- . ed, and prepared to create a div- ersion elsewhere. The advance of the Japanese on Hankow has been steady, but slow and costly. Over 300,000 casualties, killed, wound- ed and victims of cholera or Hong Kong, Wednesday, Oct, 26, 1938. malaria, have been exacted of

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AFTER HANKOW?

the Nipponese armies in opera- tions lasting four months along the Yangtse Valley. If China has the strength to continue, drawing Between the puzzling circum-the Japanese on to further such expensive military adventures, stances associated with the surthere can be no talk of peace, eg- render of Canton last week and pecially not on the terms credit- the decision yesterday to refuse ed to Tokyo just now. General Hata gains Hankow, but he gains battle for the Wuhan cities there just what General Fushuro ob- are obvious parallels: so striking tained in Canton, a devastated that we may begin to wonder city, bereft of water, light and public utilities. The similarities first judgments have not done a between the fates of Canton and grave injustice to Kwangtung's Hankow are too striking to be military leaders. If it is fair to mere coincidence. They bear the assume that the decision to aban-hallmark of a settled policy, pain- don Hankow was based upon high ful in many ways, but essentially

sound. policy and strategical considera- In the meantime, the gravest tions, it is not unreasonable to disservice is being done to China by the publication of rumours conjecture whether some of the with less than the flimsiest bases, reports which came through dur-creating the very atmosphere the ing the week-end, to the effect Japanese would desire, the at- that General Yu Han-mou retired mosphere of defeatism, the sus- picion that leaders have lost indirect obedience to orders heart and are running out, fear from High Command, did not, that unity in purpose and action after all, contain more than a is no longer present to sustain China in the ordeal that still lies germ of truth. An objective study before. The final battle is not of China's military problems must over nor is it won, either with confirm this much: that nothing the fall of Hankow or of Canton. is really changed by the fall of The outstanding and encouraging fact is that China lives to fight Canton or Hankow, Japan having another day. That the chances once entered upon the invasion have been fully calculated is of South China. Canton was illustrated by the revelation in to fall sooner or later. Des-the local trade returns that in September when the imminence forces available in

of a South China invasion be- would undoubtedly came obvious, China imported

pilitarily, more dis-

the surrender of The best hope of China,

still lies in mobility, in the

Hong Kong through Canton than $10,000,000 of motor Such an enormous îm-

* indicates realisation the future would see fight- ‚s new terrain where rail- guerilla warfing

ways would take

secondary the occupied areas, in the place: certainly not acceptance of preservation intact of: subatan-defeat.

fure

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