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THE CHINA MAIL, APRIL 26, 1938.
"occupied" vast areas in North
The China Mail
Third Year of Publicati
the incom- "occupation,"
arge proportion of to hold down the It is reckoned that Japan has about 900,000 men on the continent, of which some 400,000 are held in Manchukuo SA. Wyndham Street, Hong Kong in case of war with Russia. Of the rest, perhaps 300,000 are fighting in North China and about 200,000 in Central China. In the North at least 150,000 must be needed for garrison work and for the fighting which still continues in Shansi; in Central China at Garrick Street, London, W.C.2 least 50,000 must be kept in the
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Yangtze valley to defend and hold the occupied territory. By this reckoning there can at most be
em-
All communications intended for 10 more than 250,000 men
ployed in the offensive against publication should be addressed to Hsuchow, and it must be difficult
fenough to feed and supply So the Editor, and be accompanied by large a force as this Against the Writer's Name and Address, Chinese, including some of the them there are well over 500,000
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best divisions in China and com- manded by her ablest general, Hankow Headquarters are Bot letting them suffer either shortage of supplies or of replacements. For the first time it might almost be called a fair fight, and for the first time the Chinese are more than holding their own
There is no doubt that these events, particularly the shock of Taferchwang, have sobered the Japanese nation. Even so long ago as January 22, when all seemed to be going smoothly, Prince Konoye warned that "far distant Hong Kong, Tuesday, April 26, 1938. is the end of the conflict. We should expect," he said, "that it
before will be a long time
HSUCHOW
the
2
THE BRICKWALL OF settlement is reached. Ours is a momentous task, unparalleled in history." Recognition of this truth is reflected as Lord Elibank As issues are now joined on pointed out in his attempt to the Hsuchow front, Japan has narve the British Government to good reason to pray that she has more vigorous insistence on its not again miscalculated. As has rights, in 2 more conciliatory been pointed out, more than the lattitude to foreign Powers at outcome of a single battle is at Shanghai. The Japanese Navy stake. Defeat for China in the notwithstanding its spite out- new offensive on which the Jap rages on defenceless passenger anese have embarked will golcraft and junks, is no longer agog down as just another defeat. For to launch an attack on South Japan, defeat would be calamit-China, and even if it were ous. It would be a blow from Army could not spare the troops. which she would never recover, There are signs (cautiously re- except perhaps by committing vealed in the Japanese press) of herself further in China to an moves to "limit" the conflict, but extent perilous in the extreme, it is questionable whether this is and with the moral certainty of now possible. Japan has been final defeat still mocking her dragged on by her military lead- armies, and by further giant ers from a "local incident to an strides on the road to economic invasion of North China, from jas well as military collapse. It North China to Shanghai and is significant that in spite of the Nanking, and finally to a major tremendous weight of the initial war of nation against nation ia blow, beneath which the Chinese which no compromise is possible. armies were compelled to give It is a fight to a finish, with the ground, General Li Chung-jen's finish far distant and yet obscure. men are able to stage a violent In most wars strategy is decided Counter-offensive, while in strate-by policy, but in China Japan's
gic manoeuvring the Japanese policy has been altered to keep- have again and again found they pace with the course of the war. have met their match.
For long it was stated that Japan The explanation is, largely, of had no territorial ambitions in course, that the Japanese are at China" On March 22 Prince last discovering the consequences Konoye said that "I can at least of their extended lines of com- safely say that Japan is deter- munication, subject to constant mined not to evacuate even an guerilla attack. The distances, inch of the territory now occu- from a military point of view, are pied by the Japanese forces." staggering. Hsuchow is 400 miles Japan has failed to break down from the main bases at Tientsin China's resistance; she has failed and Tsingtao, over 180 miles from to upset Chiang Kai-shek's Gov- the secondary base, Tsinanfu, jernment and failed to organise and from Nanking. The Japanese her own. All China is united are in this action entirely depend-and determined; as the Red ent upon one railway, the Tien-Army men say: "We are the fish tsin-Pukow, and over that they and the people are the water cannot claim unhampered control through which we move."
And Unlike the Yangtze, the Yellow yet Japan is resolved to conquer River does not provide an easy all China. This task is not only waterway from the sea, though "unparalleled in history" but in- its broad flood, now rising rapid-possible; we shall see whether ly with the melting snow, is a the grim little soldiers of Japan- serious obstacle to a land army, can achieve the impossible when Moreover, the Japanese have now first they have taken Hsuchow