PM/82/65

PRIME MINISTER

CONFIDENTIAL

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Guangdong Nuclear Power Station

(40)

1. I have considered the case for British involvement in a

nuclear power station to be built in the Guangdong province of

the People's Republic of China. There is a possibility that the

UK could supply the whole of the conventional island, incorporating

the turbogenerator and ancilliary equipment together with up to

60% of the nuclear island. There would also be opportunities for

the sale of nuclear fuel.

2. The successful conclusion of this contract would lead to

significant export opportunities (up to US $2 billion) for British

companies seeking to participate in the project. Success here

would also provide a foothold in the Chinese market. There would

be attendant benefits to long-term relations between the UK and PRC

and more particularly between the PRC and Hong Kong. Such industria

cooperation (Hong Kong facilities would take some of the generated

electricity) would help to maintain confidence in Hong Kong at a

time when the territory's future is coming under close scrutiny.

3. There are difficulties, however, arising from the

non-proliferation aspects of the sale. Since the Chinese insist

that they will not accept International Atomic Energy Agency

safeguards or any other form of inspection, the contract will

represent an apparent retreat from our long-held position on

nuclear transfers with attendant damage to the credibility of our non-proliferation policy. We can expect criticism from India and

the Soviet Union on this apparently preferential treatment for

China.

4. On the other hand, the proposed sale raises no issues of

genuine non-proliferation concern. The deal would not conflict

with our formal obligations under the NPT or with the Nuclear

Suppliers Guidelines. China has already attained a nuclear weapons

capability without our help. None of the equipment or materials to be supplied are capable of significantly enhancing that capability even if it were economically sensible to divert them to military

The development of contacts with the Chinese on nuclear

use.

CONFIDENTIAL

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