CONFIDENTIAL

over, the following figures illustrate the effect of injecting various com- binations of aid and credit into the whole project. Capitalisation of pre- commissioning interest is assumed in all cases.

Table 1

Total Escalated Package (£1616.35m)

Subsidy element arising from finance package including £90m on grant terms:

(£m)

A

B

C

D

E

F

Aid

Discounted

Provision

Aid

Actual

HMG Subsidy

Discounted

Discounted

(B+D/E)

HMG

Value of

Subsidy

Subsidy

Drawdown

Element

Dis-

count

90

63.35

677.25

252.46

1022.67

30.78%

Rate

12.5%

Dis-

count

90

59.43 1354.51

410.15

952.31

49.31%

Rate 15%

Amount of aid required (NPV in brackets) to provide discounted debt service cost at 10% equivalent to that which would have arisen if the contract was supported at a range of interest rates between 72% and 10%

Dis-

10%

count

0

Rate

12.5%

(0)

9.5%

£72.2m

(£50.8m)

9%

8.5%

8%

£141.9m

(£99.9m)

£209.3m

£274.3m

(£147.3m)

(£193.1m)

£90m of aid simulates an interest rate of 9.37%

770%

£306.0m

(£215.4m)

10%

9.5%

9%-

8.5%

8%

72%

Dis-

count

O

£72.8

£143.2

£211.1

£276.8

£308.7

Rate

15%

(0)

(£48.1)

(£ 94.6)

94.

(£139.4)

(132.8)

(£203.8)

£90m of aid simulates an interest rate of 9.39%

the.

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