CHAPTER 6 : PRICES

General

6.1

The rate of inflation continued to ease in the first

half of 1982, following the trend that emerged in the fourth

quarter of last year. This, in part, reflected the easing of

inflation rates elsewhere in the world. Domestic influences

have also been favourable. Aggregate demand in the economy was generally not exercising much pressure on prices, property

prices and rentals generally continued to fall, the exchange

rate strengthened by 6% during the first half of 1982 in terms

of the import-weighted exchange rate index and the growth rate

of the money supply (HK$M3) declined by 3% during the same period.

6.2

G.D.P.

Although there is no up-to-date estimate of the

deflator (which provides an indication of the

the overall

rate of domestic inflation), on the basis of developments in

the economy during the first half of 1982, the forecast rate

of increase of 9% still looks attainable. On a year-on-year

comparison, the rate of inflation, as indicated by the various

Consumer Price Indexes (which provide an indication of how

inflation is affecting consumer

prices)(1), averaged about

11% in the second quarter. This compares favourably with

average rates of increase of 15% in 1981 and of 13% in the first quarter of this year.

(1)

/ Imports

...

There are three consumer price indexes: Consumer Price Indexes (A) and (B), and the Hang Seng Consumer Price Index. of the three indexes are as follows:

The characteristics

Aproximate

Proportion of urban households covered

(8)

CPI(A)

50

CPI(B)

30

Hang Seng CPI

10

Monthly expenditure

range in 1979/80

($)

1,000 to 3,499

3,500 to 6,499

6,500 to 19,999

48

Share This Page