remained

substantial (paragraphs 5.13 and 5.14) but fewer

building plans were approved (paragraph 5.12).

1.7

Since the second half of 1981, prices of residential

property have decreased substantially (paragraph 6.10).

Mortgage rates have also eased, from the historic high of 21%

in October 1981 to 16% at the end of the

the first half of this

year, leading to substantial reduction in monthly mortgage payments (paragraph 5.9). These factors, together with rising

household incomes, should have greatly enhanced the position

of potential home buyers. But there were still important

factors which induced them to continue to refrain from

committing themselves.

These include, inter alia, the

possibility of a further drop in flat prices, the uncertainties concerning general economic conditions and the

unfavourable influence on wealth of a sluggish stock market

(paragraph 3.15).

1.8

Compared with the first half of 1981, the total area

of land sold by the Government in the first half of this year

increased by 31%, made up of a decrease of 8% for industrial

land and an increase of 49% for non-industrial land (paragraph

5.16). Despite the lack of a reliable measure, it seems that

the price of land has declined further (paragraph 6.4).

Inflation and the monetary aggregates

1.9

indicated by the

The annualized rate of inflation,

various Consumer Price Indexes, slowed down further to 12% in

the first half, from 15% in 1981. Aggregate demand in the

economy was not imposing much pressure on the general price

level; and world prices continued to ease. Money supply (HK$M3) in fact decreased by 3% during the period (paragraph

3.4). Other factors, such as stable property prices and rentals, and the strengthening of the Hong Kong dollar also

contributed (paragraph 6.1).

3

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