ifl.rb/Oct 93/22.10.1

Contingent Liability

RESTRICTED

8. The text also raise an issue

Solicitor's clear advice is that

this

-

for the Treasury: Treasury

despite our efforts to avoid

taken together they constitute an assurance by the UK

Government that it stands behind Hong Kong's obligations pre July

1997. We are very unlikely to be able to secure changes to avoid

as this would require changing both the detail of the texts

and the structure of the package.

this,

9. The size of the liability is greater than we originally

thought: around 3.5m at todays exchange rates (35m HK Dollars).

Hong Kong's original estimates of £100,000

£200,000 did not

include staff costs or the cost of deposits on booking halls etc.

The last time the meetings were held out of Washington in Thailand

in 1991, the total cost was $19m (£12.5m). As the bulk of costs

is incurred at the time of the meetings, the Hong Kong estimate

of costs pre-July 1997 in the region of £3.5m looks reasonable.

Hong Kong's financial strength makes it very unlikely that the

liability would ever crystalise.

10. We have no statutory cover for taking on such a liability,

however, and as a liability over £100,000

it would need to be

reported to Parliament by way of a Treasury Minute. Such Minutes

not unusual; Departments lay about 10-15 a year. They are almost

always uncontroversial. They do not require Parliamentary

approval, but Members need to be given 14 working days in which to

object. Any objections, which can take the form of an Early Day

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