JAN 28 '93 11:14 UKDEL

FCO 2

TUE 26 JAN 93 13:21

PG.07

GUERMENT HOUSE HONG KONG.

TUE 26 JAN 93 89182.

P0.10

(D)

|Inflation

(A)

CONFIDENTIAL

P.2/6

On

the staff's observation of rapid rates of monetary and credit expansion (second paragraph on Page 6), it should be noted that although the interest rates have declined substantially along with those in the United states, the exparmion in money supply during the year perated by the robust domestic stock GoTiritime A Money supply and credit growth

distorted by the huge amount

figured

subscription

shares tied up in the

The year-on-year sonstary growth has in fact to only around 138 by the end of 1992, which ia slightly lower than the forecast growth in nominki GDF foc. 199z et around 15#.

!

acknowledging that inflation remains a key policy damcom to be tackled, the XX Authorities note Bhat CONSUMET price inflation has been Moderating trend during most of 1992. For the year

■ whole, the rate of infiation, as measured by the

Pršom Tischma' {X}, ayuzzyed at

to

sepresented

originál

significant deceleration from

41, which was forecast of 9.5% and

the

qyeraga of 12%

recorded in 1991.

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