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CONFIDENTIAL

(b)

Domestic sector

2

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2.

China's

Following a year of

economy continued to

part of 1993, by 14.1% in

growth momentum was well

quarter.

current

robust performance in 1992,

grow strongly in the early the first quarter (1). The

sustained into the second

The gross domestic product (GDP) for the first

half of the year, estimated at Rmb 1,264.7 billion at

prices, was higher than a year earlier by about 14%

in real terms. In the face of this continued buoyancy, the

government had revised upward its GDP growth

for 1993, from 10% to 12% and then to 13%. For

be achieved, the real GDP growth

slow down to around 12% in the

Chinese

forecast

this annual forecast

rate would only need

second half of the year.

to

to

3.

Performance showed

considerable

variations among

different economic

sectors.

While output of the

9/

gross industrial

agricultural and the transport sectors grew by about 4% and

respectively in real terms in the first half of 1993,

output (excluding output from village-run enterprises), at Rmb 1,666 billion at current prices, grew at an unprecedented rapid rate of 25.1% in real terms (2).

(1) Unless stated otherwise, the growth rates quoted

hereafter are on a year-on-year comparison.

(2)

Year-on-year growth rates in gross domestic product and gross

Gross domestic

real terms of China's industrial output:

Gross industrial

output*

product (응)

(%)

1989

4.5

8.5

1990

3.6

7.6

1991

7.2

12.9

1992

12.8

21.7

1992 H1

12.0

18.2

H2

13.6

24.9

1993 H1

13.9

25.1

* Excluding output from village-run enterprises.

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