CODE 18-77

To:

MR HALL

PEP

Reference

8/117.

CONFIDENTIAL

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

cc Mr Nieduszynski AIR

Ms Anderson

Mr Murray

AIR1/2 O/R OT2/2d

From:

PETER LAMBERT

AIR1A

1/Green Zone

151 Buckingham Palace Road

215 1128

די

March 1993

IMPLICATION OF HONG KONG'S ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL POSITION

Mr Meadway's minute of 4 March to Mr Nieduszynski asked for the implications of action by the Chinese on Rolls-Royce plc. I have only considered the aeroengine business assuming that PEP will cover the Industrial Power Group.

Hong Kong

2.

Rolls has a very important customer in the Swire Group, who effectively manage and control Cathay Pacific Airways (CPA). CPA in turn own 30% of Dragonair, Hong Kong's secondary, short-haul carrier. The entire CPA fleet is powered (or will be powered) by Rolls-Royce engines, a unique commitment by a major airline. CPA is a major customer for the UK aerospace industry as a whole, pursuing a deliberate "buy British" policy on equipment and fittings; so that c. $50m of an aircraft's total $120m cost goes to UK companies. CPA's purchases in the 1990s from Rolls-Royce and other UK manufacturers is estimated to be in the region of £2bn. CPA and Dragonair are also significant customers of Airbus Industrie with A330 and A320 aircraft. Through CPA, relationships have been developed with China Southern Airlines in a major effort for their forthcoming equipment orders, so that the two companies can set up a joint engine repair and maintenance centre in the region.

3. Dragonair operates mainly to the PRC and expects to expand these services in 1993 with the introduction of the Airbus A320 powered by the V2500 engine (made by a five-nation collaboration in which Rolls have a 30% share). The Swire Group are deeply concerned about the current discussions between PRC and HMG. implications for future fleet purchases are serious, as indeed they are over PRC clearance for the new airport project in which

3AIRTK.171

The

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