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4.

Treasury officials believe that Mr Portillo will not be prepared to agree the Governor's position. I am not optimistic that, in that case, OPD (K) would agree to overrule the Chief Secretary and impose our preferred solution. One possible way forward, hinted at by the Treasury would be for the Secretary of State to accept a less generous sterling pension safeguard in exchange for Treasury agreement to the SPOS. This proposal has some attraction because a sterling pension safeguard, even at the rate of HK$16:£1, is unlikely (except in the most extreme circumstances) to offer any practical benefit to pensioners, whereas the SPOS amendment would in time provide a valuable supplement to their pensions and would provide some limited protection against exchange rate movements. My judgement is that a sterling pension safeguard at a lower rate than 16:1 but

combined with the SPOS amendment would be of more real value to

HMOCS members (and to existing pensioners) than a pension safeguard at HK$16: £1 without the SPOS amendment. But we could not explore this approach unless the Governor was content: and we should first establish how far Mr Portillo will go on the sterling safeguard before contemplating any further significant

concessions. (If the Governor was content, the Secretary of State might deploy the line to take in square brackets under

SPOS).

5. The Secretary of State may wish to discuss the proposal in paragraph 4 above with the Governor at their meeting at 9.30am

on 29 July.

Than

J C Morris

This

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Lissumed ite

I agree with

what is proposed. He will do

very

helled if the

Santay 1 Stati

can seah Cha Gaveam's views at their

resting, in alumes of bacision with Do Portillo.

gdl.min.ADM

SLM

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