phrase is 'which they can neither create nor direct'.

Those in charge of Sino-British relations in the years of

co-operation perhaps overerestimated their capacity to

direct events and to impose a rational framework on

irrational forces. They discounted the still unexhausted

reserves of prejudice and emotion on each side, the deeper

currents in the stream.

It is sad to have to leave the Hong Kong story at

this point, with so much to do and so much that has been

done brought into question, with the main issue still

unresolved and the risk SO high that damaging and

irrevocable decisions will be taken. We are back on that

famous window ledge from which the Unofficials were more

than once rescued in the 1982-4 negotiations, and this

time saddled with stronger suicidal impulses. But it

would be wrong to be totally despondent. Even if, as it

seems, we are condemned to follow the dark scenario, the

whole achievement of the time of co-operation will not be

lost. Those thirteen years, from 1979, when the issue of

the lease was first raised, indirectly and with some

trepidation, during Sir Murray

Murray MacLehose's visit to

Peking, have left a foundation work of agreements and

habits of consultation which cannot be entirely erased. In

particular, even in the worst case, the Joint Declaration,

the territory's sheet-anchor, should survive, though

under strain. If that happens, it will be ironic, though

providential, that the main product of a rejected policy

should be the insurance against the full consequences of

its successor and should supply the safety net against

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