CONFIDENTIAL

"

showing Ministerial pronouncements on numbers when the 1990 Bill

was going through Parliament. As you will see from these, the

emphasis was on the 50,000 being a ceiling figure. The 225,000

was described by the Home Secretary during the Second Reading

debate as "an estimate of the absolute maximum number of people

who might benefit. Long and very careful consideration was

given to the numbers issue in Cabinet and any proposal to change

the 50,000 now would require further Cabinet consideration and

amendment to the primary legislation, and would be highly

controversial. I see very little prospect of Ministers being

prepared to re-open the issue. I therefore doubt whether any

useful purpose would be served by the matter being considered as

part of your review of the Scheme.

6. Your letter of 17 July asked whether we should not aim to

Parliament simultaneously the proposed Orders in

submit to

Council for the second tranche and for the BN (0) cut-off dates.

This is indeed the way we

would look to introduce

March/April next year and have one debate covering both issues.

these Orders being handled. We

both at the same sitting in say

[7. The Foreign Office have been consulted and agree with our

views on these issues.]

IB.2/JM

CONFIDENTIAL

CJ KELLY

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