CONFIDENTIAL

24

MINIMAL ECONOMIC COSTS

機密

29.

the

The

CPG's Hong Kong apparatus is ambivalent as

economic costs which the CPG is willing to incur for

confrontation over the constitutional package:

(a) Some point Co the PRC's heavy investment in

the

the

territory, the dependence of Guangdong and

coastal provinces оп Hong Kong and the

increased political muscle of these areas in

the

new Politburo.

AS

result,

...

こ is

In when?

claimed, the CPG cannot afford so rock the

Hong Kong economy as badly as in 1982-83.

(b)

Other sources insist

that

the CPG will be

(c)

undeterred

They

by short-term business losses.

Im that provincial governments and PRC

state enterprises will be unable to resist

political decision

squeeze the te

D

O

"

}}}

economically until the CPG's views on the 1995

elections prevail.

The

United Front has been surprised that local

(the stock market in

business

sentiment

particular) has remained

robust

throughout

CONFIDENTIAL

機密

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