Mr Ricketts

Mr Burns

PS/Mr Goodlad

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FROM:

M V Stone

DATE:

CC:

Hong Kong Department

12 May 1992

PS/Mr Patten

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Mr Broadbent,

Economic Advisers

Mr Cox, HKD

SENIOR TREASURY IMPRESSIONS OF HONG KONG

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1. The Minister may be interested to glance at the attached report from Paul Gray, Under Secretary at HM Treasury on his visit to Hong Kong in early April. Mr Broadbent, Economic Advisers, has offered a number of valuable comments on

Mr Gray's report. Overall, Mr Gray has come away with the right impressions: prospects for growth are good; the linked exchange rate mechanism is valuable and working; and the integration of Hong Kong with Southern China is of

major and growing importance. On Mr Gray's more negative comments which are fairly mild considering his perspective

-

- I would offer the following brief comments;

(a)

Inflation. Mr Broadbent has commented in some detail on inflation in paragraph 3 of his minute. This is not a problem that the legislature or Hong Kong people would allow the Hong Kong Government to deal with in a casual manner: it affects everybody. But there are practical limits to what can be done, given the underline causes.

NJCABZ/1

146

(46)

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