* Paper I

(P.2 of 2)

Core Programme gathers momentum, there may be some renewed pressure on resources in the latter part of the year.

The forecast inflation rate for 1992 is 9.5% and actual growth the increase in 1991 was 12%.

Over the medium term (1993 1996), the trend growth rate of GDP in real terms is projected to be 5% per annum, and the trend inflation rate, in terms of GDP deflator, 8.5% per annum.

:

Key Sectors

Share in GDP :

Manufacturing

Wholesale, retail, import and export

Transport, communications, financing

and insurance

Community, social and personal

services

Total exports of goods

17%

24%

30%

15%

$899 billion (1992

forecast) or 123%

of CDP

Total imports of goods.

$921 billion (1992) forecast) or 126%

of GDP.

(Note: All figures are in HKS. Under the linked exchange

rate system operated in Hong Kong, US$1 HK$7.8)

Economic Services Branch

Government Secretariat

12 October 1992

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