Medium Range Forecast and GDP
Revenue
106,070 110,820 126,330 137,580 155,790
174,900
197,030
Central Government
Revenue/GDP %
16.8 17.5 17.5 16.8 16.7
16.4
16.2
Expenditure
Expenditure/GDP %
104,770 96,760 121,180 146,540 164,980 16.6 15.3 16.8 17.8 17.6
179,240
16.8
203,500 16.8
Surplus/deficit /GDP %
0.2
2.2
0.7 -1.1 -1.0
-0.4
-0.5
Other Public Expenditure
General Government Expenditure
(excluding equity)
18,540 20,840 23,120 25,770
27,740
30,840
17.8
18.9 19.5 19.5
19.3
19.2
GDP CALENDAR YEAR
633,020 633,020 721,010 821,230 935,381 1,065,399 1,213,490
Money GDP growth
Real GDP Growth
13.9
3.9
13.9 13.9 13.9
5.0 5.0 5.0
13.9 5.0
13.9
5.0
TOTAL
Additional Revenue from maintaining revenue share at 17.5%
Loss of revenue if GDP growth 1% lower GDP -1 %
Loss of revenue if GDP growth 1% lower GDP - 2 %
6,310 8,101 11,771 15,589 41,770
1,109 2,405 4,067 6,062 8,499 22,142
714,680 806,873 910,960 1,028,474 1,161,147
2,218 4,789 8,063 11,965 16,702
708,349 792,643 886,967
992,517 1,110,626
43,737
PADS Category A project expenditure 2,390
( Public Works sub-committee)
as per cent capital exp
3,680 6,400 6,830
3,789
11.6 15.0 13.8
6.9
Medium Range Forecast at Constant 1991/92 prices
Deflator
100.0 108.5 117.7 127.7
138.6
150.4
Current expenditure
72,260 76,783 80,010 84,249 100.0 106.3 110.7 116.6
88,725 122.8
93,472 129.4
5.3%