CONFIDENTIAL
(90)
021401
Mats. oulz Нав
MDHIAN 6346
CONFIDENTIAL
FM WASHINGTON
TO DESKBY 050830Z NOV FCO
TELNO 2424
OF 050108Z NOVEMBER 92
INFO IMMEDIATE PARIS, BONN, UKDEL NATO, UKREP BRUSSELS, ACTOR INFO IMMEDIATE UKMIS NEW YORK, MOSCOW
INFO ROUTINE OTTAWA, U.S. POSTS
CLINTON : FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES
SUMMARY
1. KEY ISSUES ON WHICH WE SHALL CONCENTRATE IN OUR CONTACTS WITH THE CLINTON TEAM OVER THE NEXT THREE MONTHS.
DETAIL
2. CLINTON'S THINKING ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY WAS DESCRIBED IN MY TELNO 2032. HE HAS STRESSED THE COMMON GROUND HE SHARES WITH BUSH, INCLUDING ON POLICY TOWARDS THE FORMER SOVIET UNION. HE HAS JUST MADE A STATEMENT REITERATING THIS. ALL FORMAL BUSINESS UNTIL 20 JANUARY MUST CONTINUE TO BE CONDUCTED WITH THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION. BUT THERE ARE A NUMBER OF KEY ISSUES ON WHICH WE WILL NEED TO CONCENTRATE IN OUR CONTACTS WITH THE CLINTON TEAM BEFORE THEY TAKE OFFICE.
THE ALLIANCE AND EUROPEAN DEFENCE
3. CLINTON HAS EMPHASISED THAT HE WANTS TO KEEP SIGNIFICANT FORCES (100,000 TO 75,000 MEN) IN EUROPE. SOME OF CLINTON'S ADVISERS SAY THEY WILL TRY TO ADOPT A MORE RELAXED ATTITUDE THAN BUSH TO EUROPEAN DEFENCE MOVES, BUT THEY HAVE NOT MADE THEIR DOCTRINE ON THIS. WE HAVE POINTED OUT THAT THE KEY POINT ON THE FRANCO-GERMAN CORPS IS THE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE NATO INTEGRATED MILITARY STRUCTURE: THAT ALSO IS THE VIEW OF THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF.
NUCLEAR TESTING
4.
HERE CLINTON WILL FACE A CHOICE BETWEEN STICKING TO THE TERMS OF THE CONGRESSIONAL LEGISLATION (MORATORIUM UNTIL THE END OF JUNE, FOLLOWED BY LIMITED TESTING UNTIL THE END OF 1996) OR EXTENDING THE MORATORIUM. MOST OF HIS ADVISERS WOULD BE KEEN TO EXTEND THE MORATORIUM IF THE RUSSIANS AGREE TO DO SO. WE ARE POINTING OUT THAT AN INDEFINITELY EXTENDED MORATORIUM DOES NOT MAKE SENSE IN SAFETY TERMS. THE FRENCH PROPOSAL FOR FIVE-POWER DISCUSSIONS WILL
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