RESTRICTED

FM FCO

TO PRIORITY HONG KONG

TELNO 1207

OF 10172OZ AUG 92

RESTRICTED

041

113672

MDLOAN 3270

Mars calle TOP COPY Q DIST?

INFO ROUTINE WASHINGTON, PEKING, BTC HONG KONG

CHINA'S MFN

1. WE NOTE FROM PATTISON'S (WASHINGTON) TELELETTER OF 4 AUGUST (COPIED TO BRADLEY) THAT THE PELOSI BILL THREATENS SANCTIONS TARGETTED AGAINST CHINESE STATE CONTROLLED INDUSTRIES. WE ASSUME THAT STATE-CONTROLLED CHINESE EXPORTS TO THE US REMAIN MORE VALUABLE THAN PRIVATE SECTOR EXPORTS, THOUGH WE ARE UNCERTAIN INTO WHICH CATEGORY THE MAJORITY OF THE LARGE FOREIGN-FUNDED JOINT VENTURES IN THE SOUTH WOULD FALL. WE WONDER WHETHER YOU HAVE MADE ANY ASSESSMENT OF THE POSSIBLE DAMAGE THAT THIS SELECTIVE TARGETTING WOULD HAVE ON THE HONG KONG ECONOMY? IMAGINE THAT ENFORCEMENT DIFFICULTIES FOR THE US, AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE CHINESE TO DISGUISE THE ORIGIN OF EXPORTS TO THE US, COULD ALSO PUT GENUINE PRIVATE SECTOR EXPORTS AT RISK.

CHALKER

WE

YYYY

MAIN

75

.ASIA/PACIFIC ECONOMIC

HKD

ERD

ECD (E)

ECONOMIC ADVISERS

FED

JOINT DIRECTORATE NAD

PLANNERS

SEAD

DISTRIBUTION

80

SPD

PS

PS/MR GOODLAD

PS/MR HOGG

MR CROWE

SIR J COLES

MR BEAMISH

MR HUM

MR BONE

MR MASEFIELD

1

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DTI//HD/EEP MR COOKE DTI//OT4 MR HAMPTON

DTI//OT2 MR LOVE

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