CONFIDENTIAL

MANIS 011/3

dur Pasten,

If the new outs

outspokenners

of the "don't rock the Sampan" crew proves increasingly to reflect the vicer

FROM: K A M Saunders

Hong Kong Department

DATE: 19 June 1992

cc: PS/Mr Patten

Sir J Coles

Mr Ricketts the majority (see parra & &

the attached letter), you might just

find the coonrutional issue a lot easier to handle than we've been predicting.

Mr Hum

PS/Mr Goodlad

HONG KONG POLITICAL SITUATION: LOCAL ATTITUDES TO

DEMOCRATISATION

Α

B

1. Mr Goodlad might like to see the attached letter from Mr Paul, which gives a good up-to-date reading of local Hong Kong opinion on the democracy issue. The two broad political camps have now set out their stalls publicly, and are stepping up their campaign to put pressure on us and influence the new Governor, at a time when they suspect key

decisions are being made.

2. The main weapons in the liberals' armoury are their position in LegCo and, their biggest gun of all,

Mr Martin Lee, who is so effective in mobilising

international (western) sympathy for his cause. Hence the two LegCo motion debates due next week and the week after, and Martin Lee's visits to France and Germany this week,

followed by the European Parliament in Strasbourg early next

month. Meanwhile Mr Allen Lee and a delegation of his CRC supporters are in Peking this week. Yesterday's Financial Times reported their meeting with the Chinese Party Secretary, Jiang Zemin and Jiang's remarks about chaos

versus political stability. In their confrontation with the United Democrats the CRC's trump card is the approval and

support of Peking.

KS1ADL/1

SLM

CONFIDENTIAL

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