UK £ millions (at 1991-92 prices)

0

30

Scenario 3: HK$ worthless from 1 July 1997

Emerging costs of benefits to Hong Kong HMOCS

25

2007/08

20

15

1997/98

10

5

Trigger level: HK$30

HMOCS and 35% potential HMOCS $1851\pr8\1

2017/18

027/28

:when the exchange rate from 1 July 1997 is assumed to be

HK$8

HK$12

HK$16

Trigger

& then constant

level HKS

HK$20

HK$29

HK$13.76

HKS

& then worthless;

depreciating

@ 25 pa

13.76

0

53

118

192

87

377

16

65

139

43

324

22

0

51

7

236

30

0

0

0

1

173

2037/38

Years: 1997/98 to 2070/71

2047/48

Trigger level: HK$22

N

Trigger level: HK$16

Trigger level: HK$13.76

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