30 March 1992

CONFIDENTIAL

HKA 233|1

Foreign & Commonwealth

Office

BY FAX

M Waters Esq

Principal Assistant Secretary

Civil Service Branch

Government Secretariat

Lower Albert Road

HONG KONG

Dear Mike

London SW1A 2AH

Telephone: 071-

CIVIL SERVICE PENSIONS: A POSSIBLE COMMERCIAL FUNDING SCHEME

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1. Thank you for faxing us a copy of Richard Margolis' report on this. We have found the report suitably impenetrable.

-

We

2.

We are still studying the report but should be grateful for your early clarification on one aspect chart one. We have great difficulty in working out how Mr Margolis has calculated the second last column of the chart - Value of Investment on Retirement. The figures seem unduly high. cannot see how they relate to the third column (Amount Commited) and the fact that the discount factor and hypothetical rate of interest tend to indicate that the return should be negative. I attach a chart showing our own

calculations.

3.

It would clearly be helpful to know quickly whether this is an error on our part on on Mr Margolis'.

4.

On a more general note, we note from para 6(b) of your telno 925 that you think it unlikely that the commercial loan option will run. This is of course a matter for HKG. But we shall need to have convincing arguments from you in order to persuade the Treasury that you have not simply been going through the motions.

Yas aye

للنار

M V Stone

Hong Kong Department

MVSAEV

CONFIDENTIAL

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