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pensions "on terms no less favourable than before". But the

value of the Hong Kong dollar is not fixed, and there is no

sterling safeguard or other special provision for HMOCS

members: indeed a separate provision indicates that "privileged treatment for foreign nationals" will not be

maintained. Moreover there is no general confidence in the

civil service that these clauses of the Joint Declaration

will be honoured (or that HMG could or would enforce them).

ELEMENTS OF A PACKAGE

(A) COMPENSATION

8.

In 1988 Ministers accepted the need for a compensation

scheme funded by HMG. Detailed proposals could not be taken

forward immediately, but officials have now refined earlier

proposals, in consultation with the Hong Kong Government. Details of the proposed low-cost scheme and extra background

are at Annex C. However the Treasury wish to discuss

further the details, such as whether the scheme should be

selective and targeted, with a view to minimising the costs.

9.

This scheme is more modest than a traditional

compensation scheme and is likely to fall short of HMOCs

members' expectations, but it addresses the White Paper obligation to provide compensation. The cost of the scheme is difficult to predict. The most likely figure is between

£20-30 million, with a maximum of £44 million. (These

figures are only indicative: depending on the details of

the scheme the cost might be lowever). In 1988 the cost

was estimated at £10 m to £20 m. The scheme at Annex C has

been designed to form part of a package, with a sterling safeguard (see next section) (and adjustment to UK pension supplement (SPOS) regulations (final section)). But if no

such package can be agreed, one option would be to introduce a compensation scheme only. Views differ on the impact this would have. It might buy some time with HMOCs officers.

Alternatively, however, HMOCS officers might see it as so

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