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CONFIDENTIAL

would need to consider whether the step-by-step approach still makes sense. By mid-March we may be able to judge whether the commercial loan option could be a feasible

alternative to sterling safeguards, so we could then put the whole package to OD(K). That would in practice probably

have to be after the election.

C

11. If Lord Caithness is unable to make any substantive

announcement in Hong Kong, we shall try to negotiate a new form of words with the Treasury about our continuing

consideration of the issues. They recently agreed that we

should say that we recognise HMOCS officers will need to

know well before the end of June what arrangements HMG are

to make for them in 1997. However, it now emerges that the Treasury game is to use this deadline to squeeze us into

accepting that there will be no HMG-funded sterling

safeguards.

محمد

fas

PF Ricketts

Hong Kong Department

NC1ABU/4

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