MTRC CASH-FLOWS FOR THE AIRPORT RAIL

1. Projected cash-flows for the MTRC's operation up to the year

2010 are attached.

2.

The Airport-railway is not being constructed as a stand-alone

project. To do so would not be cost-effective. The attached

financial plan shows the AR construction in the context of the

MTRC's overall operation.

3. The plan is shown first under a mainstream case, which is the

case expected to occur, and then under a downside case. In the

latter case, all the projects risks (no profits from property

development, increased cost, lower revenue from the existing MTR

operation, higher interest rates, higher inflation) are all shown

as occurring throughout the period. The probability of such a

case is extremely low.

A.

All figures are in money of the day. The inflation factors

used by the MTRC in their calculations are different from those

used by the Government: the MTRC must take into account inflation trends in overseas countries where it will order rolling stock,

steel and electrical equipment.

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