02-MAR-1992 17:08
G.I.S.
+ 852 537 1540
P.23
China
Macau
New Hong Kong
Airport
Macau Airport
Regional Airport Locations
Shenzhen Airport
O BO
Shenzhen Special Economic Zone
Annual Air Passengers
Despite the effects of recessions during the 1980s, the number of air passengers travell- ing to and from Hong Kong maintained a strong rate of growth, increasing from 8 million in 1980 to 20 million in 1990. These increases have contributed to making Hong Kong currently the 5th busiest airport in the world in terms of international pas- senger throughput, and Asia's leading tourist destination.
Currently, approximately 75% of all air pas- sengers travel to Hong Kong for non-business reasons. The majority of visitor arrivals are from Japan. Taiwan and North America while the majority of resident departures are to Southeast Asia. China and Taiwan. Ap- proximately 86% of all air passenger trips are generated from 14 major travel markets. These markets are expected to continue to dominate in the future.
14 Major Hong Kong Travel Markets
United States
Taiwan
Japan
Australia
United Kingdom
Thailand
Indonesia
Canada
Singapore Malaysia Philippines
India
Germany
South Korea
Hong Kong
China
-Kai Tak
12
24
36 km
The air passenger demand forecasts were developed based on the projected per capita gross domestic product for Hong Kong and its 14 major travel markets. The average annual air passenger growth rate is anticipated to be 4.4% between 1997 and 2010, and 3,2% between 2010 -
and 2040.
With respect to transfer and transit pas- sengers, who are travelling through and not to Hong Kong, the anticipated percentage of each by the year 2040 is approximately 10% and 5% of the total respectively. Transfer passengers are those who arrive on one flight and depart on another. Tran- sit passengers arrive and depart on the same flight. If an airline decides to establish a major hubbing route structure in Hong Kong these percentages could be sig- nificantly greater.
Annual Air Cargo
Between 1980 and 1990 the annual volume of air cargo transported into and out of Hong Kong increased from 258,000 to 802.000 tonnes. Outbound air cargo cur- rently represents approximately 60% of the total air cargo movement. Despite being 89th in terms of world population in 1989, Hong Kong's airport was the 4th busiest in the world in terms of air cargo. The world's
two largest single air cargo facilities are lo cated in Hong Kong.
In recent years, the volume of air cargo transported through Hong Kong has shown a direct relationship with the growth rate of the local economy. On the basis of this relationship continuing, total throughput was forecast to reach 2.3 million tonnes by 2010 and 8.9 million by 2040.
Aircraft Fleet Mix
The Boeing 747-400 is the largest aircraft currently using Hong Kong's airport in terms of size and weight, and has a seating capacity of about 400 passengers.
However, major aircraft manufacturers have identified the requirements for a future higher capacity aircraft. These new genera- tion aircraft are assumed to be entering the Hong Kong market by the turn of the century and will have significantly greater scating capacity than present aircraft, with potentially up to 900 passengers.
Wide bodied aircraft comprise a very high percentage of the flights at Kai Tak, and are forecast to continue to comprise ap proximately 84% of the forecast flights. By the year 2040, approximately 15% are an- ticipated to be the large high capacity aircraft.
Annual Aircraft Movements
Passenger aircraft movements comprised 80% of total aircraft movements in 1990;
the remaining 25% being all-cargo, civil local, non revenue and military flights.
The forecast passenger aircraft movements were developed taking into account the projected passenger demand, the forecast fleet mix, the average number of seats per aircraft, and a 72% average annual load factor (proportion of occupied seats per flight). All-cargo aircraft forecasts were similarly based on aircraft size and the ex- tent to which each cargo aircraft is loaded, although an additional significant factor was the assumption that a major proportion of cargo tonnage would continue to be cur- ried in the holds of passenger aircraft
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