CONFIDENTIAL

Commercial hypothecation

7.

Ms Brown said that the Treasury had learnt accidentally of a commercial hypothecation scheme which HKG had asked a consultant to examine. They were very interested in evaluating this option thoroughly. They saw little point in formulating proposals in London without first seeing the consultant's report, due at the end of January, which would presumably cover what could be done with Hong Kong providers. Mr Rayson commented that practicality, political acceptability and affordability were three essential considerations for any proposal. Capitalisation met the

first and third, with the second untested. The private sector proposal would seem to meet the first two criteria but they could not yet take a view on whether or not it was

affordable. They needed to identify the extent of HMG

support necessary to make it viable. Ms Brown said that commercial hypothecation could in principle achieve the same

objectives as a sterling safeguard.

8.

Mr Burns explained that we would need to advise

Ministers on what to say to head off precipitate action on

the part of the HMOCS Association, who were due to hold

their AGM on 14 January 1992. Ms Brown said that we would

have to tell the Association that matters were under

consideration. As the team had attempted to lower the

expectations of the Association, the latter would not expect

any decision by January. Mr Fish added that it could be

counter-productive for the Association to go public in

January and considered June 1992 (when HMOCS officers have

to decide whether or not to sign up for the New Pension

Scheme) as a more important date. That would mean that HMG would have to make public any arrangements by about March 1992. This point was generally agreed.

9. Ms Brown proposed that the Treasury should discuss the

option further with inter alia the Bank of England. They

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CONFIDENTIAL

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