Classification

SECRET

OUT TELEGRAM (CONT)

Caveat

Precedence

DESKBY

of State would be likely to be brief and subject to last minute

That would not look good

change or cancellation.

presentationally in Hong Kong.

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!

risks

involved in your going to

in Peking

While there are clearly Peking against the unpromising background of last week's events, I share your view that the balance of advantage is against postponement. I doubt whether we will get much in the way of assurances about your treatment in response to the representations made by Lord Caithness and Gr A Donald, but subject to Alan Donald's views I do not think that the Chinese would wish to put you in an impossible or humiliating position. To the best of my recollection they have sought to avoid this during previous gubernatorial visits, even when they took place

I am sure that in equally difficult circumstances. Moreover, the best chance of arriving at a reasonably satisfactory way out of the present impasse, or laying the groundwork for one, lies in direct discussion between you and the Chinese officials principally

If we lose next week's concerned, in particular Lu Ping.

opportunity it may be some time before another can be created.

3.

can

I understand your wish not to be in China, or about to go there when/if fighting starts in the Gulf. I have had a word

There is war

with those concerned but I

+

ab

fear, that there is no (no) useful

the timing of possible. hostilities guidance we can give as to whether

whether ĕtrat iztikt bayan,

сансов

or return start you would have to The Chinese "would presumably accept the need

Hong Kong,

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It fighting does

short notice

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HURD

for you to be

ui

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