Background

China Most Favoured Nation (MFN) Status

1. The prospects for US renewal of MFN status are not looking encouraging this year. Although the President has unconditionally renewed MFN, Congress and the Senate can veto that decision if they are able to muster a two thirds majority, or they can seek to add onerous conditions on renewal next year. The US trade deficit has expanded enormously, and China now has the third largest bilateral surplus with the US. In addition the US has disputes with

China on textile quotas and intellectual property.

are also concerns about China's performance on human rights

and fears about China's role in arms proliferation.

There

2. effects for the Hong Kong economy because of the huge volume

of China/US trade which goes through Hong Kong.

Withdrawal of MFN status for China would have serious

3.

Renewal with conditions could also damage Hong Kong as

it would introduce uncertainty which would act as a

disincentive to investment in the territory.

4.

Non-renewal would also damage the extensive US interests

in Hong Kong. The US is one of Hong Kongs largest investors

with a total investment of about USD 6 bn, involving about

900 US companies, including over 140 factories.

5. HMG are supporting the renewal of China's MFN through

high-level contacts with the US Administration and selective

lobbying.

BRIAER/5

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